flix
Flix

Public Key

npub1vxz5ja46rffch8076xcalx6zu4mqy7gwjd2vtxy3heanwy7mvd7qqq78px

NIP-57 Address

nobleturtle2@primal.net

Profile Code

nprofile1qqsxrp2fw6ap55utnhldrvwlndpw2asz0y8fx4x9nzgmu7ehz0dkxlqpz4mhxue69uhk2er9dchxummnw3ezumrpdejqz9mhwden5te0dehhxarj9enx6apwwa5h5tnzd9aqfxrunm

Publishing to

eden.nostr.land

nostr.fmt.wiz.biz

relay.damus.io

Author Public Key

npub1vxz5ja46rffch8076xcalx6zu4mqy7gwjd2vtxy3heanwy7mvd7qqq78px

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Last Notes

2024-10-13 19:34:30

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Persia is there...
But there definitely isn't space for everything... check out other more complete #timeline I've posted previously.

2024-10-11 09:56:10

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....and if you look at purely digital stuff, like apps, it's even faster. Whatsapp, Instagram, others reached huge markets in a very short time.
I can see a very simple way for Bitcoin to reach 4 Bn users in months: just have a major social media platform integrate it seamlessly in its app. Copy Nostr and add zaps to Twitter, Whatsapp or Telegram.
In the time it takes to update the userbase to the new features in the app, you have onboarded hundreds of millions of users.

2024-10-11 09:50:37

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The point is that cellphones did go from 5% to 50% in a decade...
https://m.primal.net/LQxG.png

2024-10-11 09:45:50

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What is the growth rate?
Again erring on the conservative side, adoption is doubling every 2 years. So 5% in 2024 should turn into 10% of the world (or 800M) in 2026.
IMHO that is very achievable. It'll just take a 2025 Bitcoin bubble. Right on schedule.

2024-10-11 09:32:40

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1% world adoption would be 80 million users.
So depending on what estimate we use, Bitcoin reached 3-7% in 2022. 5% adoption in 2024 seems a relatively conservative estimate. We have very good, public numbers from Coinbase, Binance, Kraken and others that reach those numbers.... and that is not counting Paypal, Revolut, Robinhood, Cashapp and others that offer Bitcoin in their apps.
https://m.primal.net/LSKE.png

2024-10-11 09:25:14

S-curve theory looks nice... but how does it stack up to reality?
https://woocharts.com/bitcoin-total-users/
woonomic does a good job of collating all the different estimates of Bitcoin user numbers...
#note1lep…85lh

2024-10-10 14:28:15

#Bitcoin adoption #timeline
https://m.primal.net/LRLa.jpg

2024-10-07 08:26:49

There's no way to build a backdoor that only the "good guys" can use.

2024-10-03 09:27:14

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Para empezar:
https://satsfaucet.com
https://reddit.com/r/Jobs4Bitcoins/
https://bitcoinerjobs.com
https://zbd.gg
https://fountain.fm
https://microlancer.io/
https://airbtc.online/

2024-10-03 09:25:24

Hola @npub1f0r…0snx @npub1cat…euhz @npub1huy…s34t fue una pena no poder veros en la #Wob24.
Estoy interesado en explorar cómo facilitar que miles de cubanos puedan ganar Bitcoin. He estado probando varias plataformas que permiten ganar unos sats por trabajos online... pero no puedo ver cuales funcionan en Cuba y cuales no. También quiero que la cantidad de sats que se gane no sea insignificante, que alcance al menos el salario mínimo en Cuba.
¿Me podéis ayudar a probar las plataformas y diseñar un programa que tenga sentido?
@npub1yn3…mzt0 te tendremos al corriente de la experiencia, por si podemos sacar un buen pod de aquí que sirva como ejemplo para más países.

2024-10-01 09:42:56

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Proof of Work.
Make the addictive videogame physically demanding. Make the AR game force you outdoors (Pokemon GO). Make it P2P so you have to interact with other people.

2024-10-01 09:36:10

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In Vernor Vinge's novel "A Deepness in the Sky" the space trading Queng Ho culture is obsessed with bio. They keep bonsais on spaceships and build parks in temps (space stations). "The park is the temp's soul".
Their integration of tech and nature, their appreciation for biotech as the highest form of advance technology, their obsession with building close-cycle, self sustaining ecosystems and their appreciation of the beauty of nature is one of the best attempts I have seen to imagine that...

2024-09-30 08:52:24

https://bushido.guide/market
@npub1jmj…6ec5 Este es el agregador/visualizador de ofertas P2P que te mencioné y cuyo nombre no recordaba... Está bien, pero creo que le falta un componente visual.

2024-09-30 08:39:03

#wob24
https://m.primal.net/LGQj.png

2024-09-30 08:17:23

Democracy is superior to the alternatives, but not for many of the blatant propaganda reasons taught at govt. schools.
It's not good because "The People" will make good decisions. That is a clear lie.
It's not because leaders are virtuous or selfless, they rarely are.
It's not good because some mythical "Will of the People" is expressed at the ballot box, that is propaganda.
It's not because of a non-existing "social contract". That is at best a meaningless abstraction and at worst a total lie.
It's not good because representatives defend their voters or care about their problems. That is simply not how politics works.
It's not good because it guarantees or defends human rights. If a majority does not care about them, they will not vote to defend them. If the political class does not care about them, you will not even have a choice to vote that way.
The great virtue of democracy is that it allows for a peaceful transition of power. It is a method to measure relative strength without fighting. It often (not always) prevents civil war.
It takes a lot of effort and time to build. A lot can be destroyed very quickly in a civil war. For civilisation to prosper, for capital accumulation to progress... Peace is a necessary condition.
Blood is a big expense. Votes are better than bullets.
All other systems, empires, kingdoms, theocracy, tyranny, totalitarianism, etc.. frequently lead to civil strife and massive destruction during transitions of power. If you are lucky, it's a relatively bloodless coup, but more often than not it's war.
Being able to change the rulers without killing thousands, sometimes millions is a great advance. Democracy is superior. But don't be fooled, it's no panacea. Even in a democratic system you are the only one able to defend your rights from your rulers and fellow citizens. If you don't defend free speech, property rights and the right to defend yourself, there is nothing instrinsic in a democratic system that will do so for you. Majorities can be as tyrannical as kings.
Churchill was right when he said "democracy is the worst form of Government except for all those other forms that have been tried from time to time."

2024-09-29 15:59:47

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Places to earn some Bitcoin
https://satsfaucet.com
https://reddit.com/r/Jobs4Bitcoins/
https://bitcoinerjobs.com
https://zbd.gg
https://fountain.fm

2024-09-28 17:48:05

Salvo un par que no tenían puesto el lightning address... creo que he zapeado a todos. #wob24
Si me he olvidado de alguien ¡decídmelo!

2024-09-28 17:33:39

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tienes que activar el LN address...

2024-09-28 17:32:58

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tienes que activar el LN address...

2024-09-24 11:49:23

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¡Sin duda!

2024-09-24 08:28:53

Art. 20 Constitución Española
Se reconocen y protegen los derechos:
-A expresar y difundir libremente los pensamientos, ideas y opiniones mediante la palabra, el escrito o cualquier otro medio de reproducción.
https://m.primal.net/LAIS.png

2024-09-24 08:11:42

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It was at best a defensive strategy. Perhaps able to hold ground in the US, but unable to gain ground.
#Nostr is aggressive. It can take #FreeSpeech to Cuba, China, North Korea, Venezuela...

2024-09-24 07:57:08

#FREESPEECH is the exception. In most places it is outlawed.
Elon's strategy of defending it only within the law is a losing one, but the best he can do as a corporate.
#Nostr as a decentralised protocol can do better.
https://m.primal.net/LAGk.png

2024-09-23 16:07:51

Woke rock-paper-scissors-lizard-spock in full.
https://m.primal.net/KzOO.png

2024-09-23 12:51:23

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It's all about the neighbours, more than the place.
Will they call the cops on you or trade with you?

2024-09-23 11:12:03

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You can probably use a wood gasifier. Less efficient but highly resilient. You can run a generator on it.
https://youtu.be/a6e3CprVTi8?si=hW-dS39xVqk_HIUj

2024-09-23 09:45:32

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By build an ark I mean:
Get a generator, some chickens and start building community ties so that you can buy black market gas with bitcoin.

2024-09-23 09:38:14

If this survey is true, marxist decels will be completely in charge in 10-15 years.
Better build an ark before it rains.
https://m.primal.net/KzAj.jpg

2024-09-19 11:31:16

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More questions on the e-naira:
https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/CBDC
How many users?
What tech stack does it use?
What companies are developing it?
How much privacy does it have?
How much transparency?
Is the issuance amount known?
How do people access it?
What apps do people use it with?
Is it convertible to normal Naira?
Are there exchanges to buy/sell e-naira?
Where can you pay with it?
Is it online only? or also physical shops?
Are salaries paid in e-naira?
Did the govt use incentives to promote adoption?
How does it compare to paying in Bitcoin?
Can accounts be blocked? For what reasons?
Is the govt using it for mass surveillance?
Also... it would be nice to have images and videos of e-naira payments, apps, etc...

2024-09-18 10:41:21

#timeline #history work in progress 31
https://m.primal.net/Ktiq.jpg

2024-09-18 09:36:52

https://m.primal.net/KtgL.png
US govt debt on its way to 40 trillion

2024-09-17 09:38:45

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0.2 BTC per trade. If you can do 5 trades at once to buy 1 BTC at a similar price, that would satisfy 95% of people. Maybe not huge institutional traders...

2024-09-17 09:32:03

What would the ideal Bitcoin exchange be like?
1. Fast
2. Liquid
3. Decentralised
4. Atomic tx
5. Private
6. Self-custody
7. Simple UX
8. Secure
9. Cheap
Bisq does an excellent job at being private, decentralised, self-custody and secure. It's cheap when mempool is clear.
It has atomic tx, but only for BSQ. It's very hard to do atomic for fiat payment methods...
It fails, for now, at being fast and have a simple UX. It is liquid enough for 0.01-0.1 BTC, but for large amounts it needs to improve.

2024-09-17 08:52:49

Anybody from #Nigeria has more info on their #CBDC #eNaira ?
https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/CBDC
How many users?
What tech stack does it use?
What companies are developing it?
How much privacy does it have?
How much transparency?
Is the issuance amount known?
Any good info on this, useful links, will be zapped ⚡

2024-09-16 11:57:26

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Congratulations!

2024-09-16 10:26:13

#timeline #history #Bitcoin
https://m.primal.net/KrgZ.png

2024-09-07 12:02:21

The previous US recession in 2022 was very mild. However the upcoming one is looking like a beast.
https://m.primal.net/Khzc.png

2024-08-31 14:17:06

Societal maturity follows a similar path to individual maturity.
Censorship stunts the learning process.
I see the argument for protecting small kids from harsh reality or lies. That same argument cannot be used for adults.
At a certain age you have to teach kids that people lie. That politicians, advertisers, historians, salesmen, scientists, journalists and even AIs lie.
You have to give them the tools to discern truth from lies, wherever possible and to keep a healthy scepticism in general.
Importantly let's not forget that censors are the biggest liars of all. They primarily censor anyone exposing their lies.

2024-08-18 13:38:45

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How about a water wheel driven crane?
Pulleys are old tech...

2024-08-18 13:24:32

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Water was a very big part of it. Slaves, not so much.
Floating a 10 ton rock up takes water and time. Pushing it up would take an almost unthinkable number of humans.

2024-08-16 08:43:00

Fiat money inflation.
Price controls, etc... they never learn!
https://youtu.be/U4aRuiO1OuQ?si=oRD9ji-8MEhticBc

2024-08-15 11:19:18

Why would you fund your enemies?

2024-08-13 07:59:04

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The hard lesson here is that there is no delete option for online content. If you upload, the data is out there. Or do you think that twitter has no record of your "deleted" tweets?
Similarly on Nostr you could easily delete from your own relay, or have some relays that offer a "delete" option... but other relays will not.
imho it's better to not fool ourselves and learn the lesson that we have to think before we post. Nyms, multiple npubs, other privacy options will have to do..

2024-08-12 19:37:33

Talking to an intelligent member of the UK financial elite. He is completely in favour of censorship. Thinks the US 1st ammendment is crazy. Believes that online pseudonyms should be illegal. He completely agrees with the UK crackdown on the "far right" protests.
His answer to the danger of the power to censor falling into the wrong hands is "don't let autocrats get into power".
I have reason to believe that his opinion is shared by a large part of the UK political and financial elite.
I see no solution to this. These successful, powerful and arrogant people will not change their minds absent a huge crisis. There is no stepping back from the Road to serfdom. I see a fall. I don't see any way to prevent it.
Our mission is to build the tools for a renaissance. Like Noah's ark, Asimov's Foundation or Rand's Galt's Gulch we can mitigate the fall, protect a remnant and shorten the ensuing chaos. We can try to rebuild on better foundations.
...but I don't think we have the power to stop the momentum of the fall.
I remain optimistic in the long run.

2024-08-11 10:05:28

Is Nostr working in #Venezuela ?
Please confirm. I will zap.

2024-08-03 07:32:36

#IJMbitcoin
Otro buen sitio para ganar unos sats...
https://satsfaucet.com/

2024-08-03 04:48:52

Pentagon Pizza meter jumping 🚩🚩🚩. Prepare for war.

2024-07-22 09:37:17

My guess: it's the algo.
#note1tw7…hne7

2024-07-22 08:53:29

It's funny that Twitter is so toxic despite all the moderation and censorship, while Nostr is always upbeat, constructive and friendly despite having none.

2024-07-20 16:58:05

Weimar Germany hyperinflation
https://m.primal.net/JXsm.png

2024-07-20 15:35:53

Debasement of the Denarius.
https://m.primal.net/JXoA.png

2024-07-13 11:06:51

Work on the ECB's CBDC "Digital Euro" continues to advance.
https://m.primal.net/JPGx.png

2024-07-11 09:43:22

#IJMBitcoin
4. Ganar Bitcoin
Earn Bitcoin
https://www.fountain.fm/
https://zbd.gg/
https://www.reddit.com/r/Jobs4Bitcoins/
https://lnmarkets.com/
Nostr (zaps)

2024-07-11 09:26:49

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Este era el informe:
https://m.primal.net/JMtY.png
https://river.com/learn/files/river-lightning-report-2023.pdf

2024-07-11 09:25:31

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1. No probablemente sólo vean el saldo en el canal que han utilizado.
2. Había un informe muy completo con estadísticas de uso y crecimiento de LN⚡. Lo busco... cuando lo encuentre te lo enlazo aquí.

2024-07-11 09:01:52

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Habrá que hablar con @npub1rec…lju2 para que le dé un empujón a Mexico!

2024-07-10 10:37:46

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¡No te estreses! He ido un poco rápido por avanzar con los ejercicios... pero ahora tienes todo el tiempo del mundo para practicar a tu ritmo. Y también para hacer preguntas por aquí.

2024-07-09 19:00:10

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Podéis usar el hashtag #IJMBitcoin para hacer preguntas, compartir experiencias, resolver dudas... ¡se aprende más después de las clases que en ellas!

2024-07-09 18:54:36

@npub1gcm…02s6 @npub14h7…jk3j @npub1cy5…mwmq @npub10r9…df7n @npub1efw…r0df @npub1fsf…mg6y Os animo a seguiros entre vosotros y practicar los zaps ⚡
#IJMBitcoin

2024-07-01 09:49:01

Acabo de comprar libros en @npub1zae…qz9x pagando en bitcoin.
https://m.primal.net/JEPg.jpg

2024-06-20 10:16:07

Bitcoin self custody wallet.
2. Piggy bank
-offline
-on-chain
-self-custody
-QR code to accept deposits
-Backup inside. No withdrawals without key.
https://m.primal.net/IrYJ.png

2024-06-18 15:05:21

What would granny-proof Bitcoin self-custody look like?
Something that can be used by a person with zero technical knowledge.
Pitch me your best concept. No need to rely on existing tech. Put as much imagination and sci-fi into it as you like!
Will ⚡️ zap best answers generously.

2024-06-12 09:23:50

I can't wait to see @npub1dll…0tz5 join Robosats @npub1rec…lju2 on @npub126n…e9ll
Sovereign computing + Bitcoin + DEX + Nostr

2024-06-10 12:46:59

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I can't actually see this note on Primal. Are you using the Amethyst Nostr polls?

2024-06-10 10:03:19

Wikipedia Nostr entry keeps getting edited to remove references to censorship resistance.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nostr
I'm starting to understand why WikiFreedia needs to be a thing.

2024-06-05 08:27:05

https://m.primal.net/IZRe.png
We can onboard a billion/year to LN using just batching. Oh future tech? Nope: tools exist to do it today. 50 channels takes ~2k vbytes, a day has 144k vbytes, so ~3mm/day or ~1b/year. But no one is doing it? Wrong again, here is a 50 open batch paying $2:
https://blockstream.info/tx/4599e32f43622cb551ef065e3f01c945956783a6efb280be231dc7e785580db7

2024-06-03 15:11:34

Más claro.
https://m.primal.net/IXRO.png

2024-06-03 14:42:05

Hay que darle la enhorabuena a Marc, que ha conseguido entrevistar a 11 de los 33 candidatos al Parlamento Europeo. Será muy interesante.
@npub1gy7…975x
npub1gy7mu0y64wgurj5y4gtg2xkz0l4nshyzmm4u7rha8r5dzcm60fzq54975x
https://m.primal.net/IXPv.png

2024-05-31 16:16:52

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Sure. Here's the DGT one, which was announced today.
https://www.eleconomista.es/tecnologia/noticias/12842760/05/24/filtracion-masiva-en-la-dgt-ponen-a-la-venta-mas-los-datos-de-mas-de-34-millones-de-conductores.html

2024-05-31 15:58:51

Here are the top 50 failed Bitcoin exchanges, ranked by the number of Bitcoins lost:
Coins lost - Name - Year - type of failure
850,000 BTC, Mt. Gox, 2014, Insolvency
523,000 BTC, Coincheck, 2020, Hack
119,756 BTC, Bitfinex, 2016, Hack
43,717 BTC, Bitcoinica, 2011, Insolvency
20,000 BTC, GBL, 2014, Ponzi Scheme
19,420 BTC, Poloniex, 2014, Internal Theft
12,000 BTC, F2Play, 2020, Email Phishing
11,900 BTC, Zclassic, 2018, Defunct
9,000 BTC, CoinDeal, 2020, Insolvency
8,000 BTC, Coinpayment, 2020, Insolvency
7,000 BTC, Moolah, 2017, Ponzi Scheme
6,500 BTC, Hashflare, 2017, Ponzi Scheme
6,000 BTC, CEX.IO, 2017, Insolvency
5,500 BTC, iCoin, 2019, Insolvency
5,000 BTC, BitConnect, 2018, Ponzi Scheme
4,717 BTC, NiceHash, 2018, Hack
4,000 BTC, Novacoin, 2018, Insolvency
3,500 BTC, Coinnest, 2018, Insolvency
3,300 BTC, Voiantix, 2014, Insolvency
3,000 BTC, Digibyte, 2015, Insolvency
2,800 BTC, Coinware, 2018, Insolvency
2,700 BTC, Bithumb, 2017, Hack
2,500 BTC, ZeppelinX, 2014, Insolvency
2,400 BTC, CoinFirm, 2019, Insolvency
2,200 BTC, Cryptopia, 2019, Hack
2,100 BTC, Binance, 2019, System Glitch
2,000 BTC, Japan-based Bitcoin Exchange, 2014, Insolvency
1,900 BTC, BTC-e, 2014, Hack
1,800 BTC, Bitstamp, 2015, Hack
1,700 BTC, Coinmon, 2019, Insolvency
1,600 BTC, BitGrail, 2019, Hack
1,500 BTC, Coinexchange, 2018, Insolvency
1,400 BTC, Hotbit, 2020, Hack
1,300 BTC, Bibox, 2019, Insolvency
1,200 BTC, CryptoLion, 2018, Insolvency
1,100 BTC, Coinjar, 2019, Insolvency
1,000 BTC, Bitfloor, 2014, Insolvency
970 BTC, CoinAlts, 2019, Insolvency
900 BTC, Coinex, 2019, Insolvency
800 BTC, GateHub, 2020, Hack
750 BTC, Coinbe, 2019, Insolvency
700 BTC, Coinwell, 2019, Insolvency
650 BTC, CoinCasso, 2019, Insolvency
600 BTC, CoinTrade, 2019, Insolvency
550 BTC, Bitstamp, 2015, Hack
500 BTC, CoinBnb, 2019, Insolvency
450 BTC, CoinCheckMe, 2019, Insolvency
400 BTC, CoinBite, 2019, Insolvency
350 BTC, CoinConnect, 2019, Insolvency
300 BTC, CoinCurve, 2019, Insolvency
...there are more!
This is why we need #DEX

2024-05-31 15:55:01

Just a tiny sample of failed Bitcoin centralised exchanges and the coins lost.
This is why #DEX
https://m.primal.net/IUAM.png

2024-05-31 15:32:32

This week in Spain we have seen data leaks from Banco Santander, Iberdrola, Telefonica and DGT. Personal data for the entire adult population is on sale to spammers, scammers, hackers, thieves and worse...
ALL centralised KYC databases will leak. They are huge honeypots.
This is why the best projects DO NOT WANT YOUR DATA.
Unfortunately stupid regulations force many companies to require that data...

2024-05-30 14:36:41

Hey @npub1vmz…ly0t please talk to @npub1vtl…jrhd he's doing great stuff in Nigeria!

2024-05-24 13:36:43

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Reading up on https://comit.network/
Very interesting... I don't quite understand yet.

2024-05-24 13:24:35

Centralised --> decentralised
1. Centralised, intermediated (CEX)
2. P2P multisig with mediator (DEX)
3. P2P atomic
3 already exists (see Bisq), but only on-chain.
Can it be done with Lightning ⚡️?

2024-05-22 18:05:36

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Now do one for how to get a million zaps 😉

2024-05-22 09:05:53

Bitcoin holidays:
January 3rd is Proof of keys day. https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Proof_of_keys_day
May 22nd is Bitcoin Pizza Day
https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Bitcoin_pizza_day
The Halving every 4 years.
Any others I'm missing?

2024-05-21 10:28:46

China has very likely wargamed this 100s of times. They know that a conventional war is a losing proposition for them and will continue to be so for the next decade.
That is why they will absolutely bet on unconventional tactics:
Bio, cyber and economic war.
All while having the West fight endless asymetric wars of occupation in Afghanistan, Iran or South American jungles.
https://primal.net/e/note1ga8pvrsphlc4490kecvgdwfer69y2ygz0vxmtr5el96x0dscuwrq9kzqdc

2024-05-21 09:25:31

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Auxai tartas en Aravaca
https://m.primal.net/IJMw.png

2024-05-21 09:25:01

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Cryptocafé
https://cryptocafe.madrid
https://m.primal.net/IJMv.png

2024-05-21 09:24:02

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El restaurante chino Hunan
https://m.primal.net/IJMu.png

2024-05-21 09:22:47

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El restaurante Voraz Madrid
https://m.primal.net/IJMr.png

2024-05-21 09:21:44

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Cervecería la Dichosita en el mercado de Guindalera acepta #Bitcoin
https://m.primal.net/IJMq.png

2024-05-21 09:20:28

Ruta #Bitcoin por #Madrid. Un paseo por unos cuantos lugares donde puedes gastar tus bitcoins. https://btcmap.org/
https://m.primal.net/IJMn.png

2024-05-20 17:13:57

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For Russia the outlook is also grim. It has held its ground in the European front, but now it has to fight on two fronts and is also being outflanked by US navies. Europe has gained control of the Baltic Sea, making Scandinavia much more difficult to hold onto and threatening St. Petesburg. It will inevitably be ground down in a war of attrition.
https://m.primal.net/IImr.png

2024-05-20 17:09:42

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Unfortunately for China, India can also do the math and decides to abandon neutrality at the perfect moment. As Chinese fleets are tied up in Oceania and the Pacific and Chinese armies are defending the coasts in the north... the Indian army launches a surprise attack on multiple fronts. India enters Tibet, Thailand and even some core China provinces. The surprise attack is crippling.
China and Russia are forced to sue for peace almost immediately.
https://m.primal.net/IImc.png

2024-05-20 16:54:37

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China can do the math. It cannot hope to hold onto its Pacific conquests against the overwhelming naval superiority. It steams ahead to forestall Australia, but they can see the writing on the wall. Their minds are on negotiating an acceptable peace that allows them to claim some kind of partial victory.
Similarly Russia has little more to gain. It can hold on for a while until US armies start landing on Eurasia... and could probably fight a conventional defensive land war for a long time, but there is little incentive to take it that far...
https://m.primal.net/IIlr.png

2024-05-20 16:31:49

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At this point USA is rocking a powerful 17 SC economy. With another 8 from its allies in NATO it's significantly superior to the sum of China's 10 and Russia's 8... but not overwhelmingly so.
However the NATO naval superiority is key in the battle of the Pacific. The US will be able to bring to bear 5 fleets in the Pacific theater plus 4 from Australia. China's 3 fleets will be pushed back very quickly unless something changes very quickly.
https://m.primal.net/IIlF.png

2024-05-20 15:46:11

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Europe is suffering heavily from Russian sabotage in the back lines and its economy is in trouble. However help from Canada and the US is starting to arrive by sea in enough numbers to make up for losses. The Ukraine-Belarus-Scandinavian front remains static.
In the South the Middle-East alliance remains neutral, but continues to slowly gather strength and support, especially in Africa. US military bases in Morocco, Algeria and South Africa are perceived as a threat and could lead to conflict in the future.
https://m.primal.net/IIjS.png

2024-05-20 15:40:34

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The Pacific Theater gets interesting as US fleets start to arrive in large numbers, threatening both China's new sphere of influence and Russia's backyard. China has overextended and is very vulnerable to an India backstab.
https://m.primal.net/IIjM.png

2024-05-20 15:17:45

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In the European theater the war remains static with Ukraine as its pivot. Forces are evenly matched... at least until the americans arrive.
https://m.primal.net/IIiu.png

2024-05-20 15:15:07

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In a diplomatic coup worthy of Talleyrand, India secures its neutrality and both its eastern and western borders. Pakistan and Afghanistan will be buffer zones with the islamic Middle East. Tibet and Burma will serve as buffers with China.
China is starting to be very worried by US military and naval buildup, so is happy to secure its long land borders.
The Middle East sees easy pickings for influence and resources in Africa and so exits the mediterranean sea to allow the EU fleets to dominate.
Australia was slow to get started but is now speeding ahead to naval power, seeing the clear threat of China now very close.
https://m.primal.net/IIin.png

2024-05-20 14:52:56

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Now things are getting so serious that even sleepy Australia mobilises. The USA starts to secure vital oil resources in Alaska, Yukon and Venezuela. Fleets secure the Atlantic and protect Japan.
Europe secures the baltics and balkans from Russian influence, but fail to take Ukraine.
China expands its influence over South East Asia, building more fleets to secure the Yellow Sea and South China Sea. It moves troops to Tibet and the Indian border, more to pressure India to remain neutral in any wider conflict than with any real territorial ambition.
Russia attacks Scandinavia but is now hard pressed to expand anywhere else. There are no more easy SCs to take without fightning Europe, China or Turkey. Taking on the USA via Alaska would be suicidal without massive help from China, so Russia goes defensive until the time is right.
https://m.primal.net/IIiU.png

2024-05-20 14:26:09

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The conflict heats up as Russia pressures the baltics and Scandinavia. Secure in its secret "Putin-Xi hug" and having mobilised its military faster than other richer players, it needs to be aggressive.
https://m.primal.net/IIhz.png
https://m.primal.net/IIiC.png

2024-05-20 14:21:25

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All out war has not started, but the major blocks start to be clear. The US mobilizes towards the Pacific in defense of Japan and Taiwan. China mobilizes fleets while keeping its armies away from conflict zones with Russia, hinting at a secret pact that belies its neutrality.
India faces potential conflict on two sides, with China to the east and Iran and its allies to the west... so it is particularly cautious and neutral.
Saudi Arabia signs a mutual defense agreement with Turkey, strengthening the Middle East alliance.
https://m.primal.net/IIho.png

2024-05-20 14:14:55

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Europe gathers forces and allies securing the UK and dominating the Balkans.
Turkey joins the Middle East alliance in anger at Israel-Palestine conflict.
China signs a secret defense pact with Vietnam and prepares to invade Taiwan.
Russia continues to industrialise as it continues to fight in Ukraine and starts preparing defenses against Nato's probable response.
https://m.primal.net/IIhi.png

2024-05-20 14:08:57

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Conflict starts with Russia moving into Ukraine. The other players start to gather their forces and increase their military spending (represented by their taking their home SCs).
Europe gathers strength in Poland to counter Russia.
China consolidates power, but remains neutral for now.
https://m.primal.net/IIha.png

2024-05-20 14:05:20

Let's wargame WW3 in 2025 using Diplomacy.
The game limits many things... but let's try to do a decent approximation both for GDP and military power.
For example USA GDP is 35 trillion. Military spending is 1 trillion. So US starts with 10 easy SCs (still takes time to get them, representing time spent on industrial production, etc).
China GDP is 18 trillion, military spending less than half the US. So china gets 7 SCs unopposed and fewer starting units.
Similar calculation for Russia, Europe, India and other players... Middle East is complicated as there is a certain balance of power between Iran, Saudi, Israel, Turkey... but for game reasons we'll treat them as one and keep them neutral at the start.
https://m.primal.net/IIhK.png

2024-05-17 14:10:09

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I still think that there could be room for BTC-fiat MAD 2-of-2 trade protocol... especially for small amounts with an instant payment method.
For BTC-altcoins atomic swaps are just superior to any multisig... as BTC-BSQ swaps have shown.

2024-05-17 13:57:10

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LOL. I kept trying to convince him to use MAD 2-of-2 at the time 😄. You won.
You were probably correct about that...