Juraj

https://hackyourself.io/

Greedy capitalist

Public Key

npub1m2mvvpjugwdehtaskrcl7ksvdqnnhnjur9v6g9v266nss504q7mqvlr8p9

NIP-05 Address

juraj@bitpunk.fm

NIP-57 Address

juraj-bzzz@pay.cypherpunk.today

Profile Code

nprofile1qqsd4dkxqewy8xum47ctpu0ltgxxsfemeewpjkdyzk9ddfcg286s0dspp4mhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mqpr3mhxue69uhkummnw3ezucnfw33k76twv4ezuum0vd5kzmqsay4n3

Publishing to

nos.lol

nostr.bitcoiner.social

nostr.cypherpunk.today

Author Public Key

npub1m2mvvpjugwdehtaskrcl7ksvdqnnhnjur9v6g9v266nss504q7mqvlr8p9

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Last Notes

2024-11-15 20:37:02

I was stranded in a car in a storm. The storm took out all the cell towers. With nothing to do, I decided to do some biohacking, chill out, use some Near Infrared Light, and do some vagal stimulation to remove the stress of the freaking wind that was shaking my car and throwing over reusable bathrooms around me.
I turned the device on, but it needed to log in and go to the internet. Which was, of course, not working because of the storm.
Why does an electric nerve stimulator need an account and access to the Internet? I sighed. A few moments later, I wanted to learn about BLE hacking and reverse engineering. The code was written mostly by ChatGPT anyway, but I did some nice reverse engineering of the protocol. The result is this micro app. Have fun.
Desktop: https://github.com/jooray/pulse-libre-desktop
Mobile: https://github.com/jooray/PulseLibre
Screenshots:
https://image.nostr.build/bd54cde0e95017b684906d6d60bb25a974c1a0189441f6a7b09cf7e57e5eb376.jpg
https://image.nostr.build/5c81b4e31a3e5b38d39fa2e6cf83fd015e167a68095738289e22e65e7414b220.png
I even did a not so perfect icon:
https://image.nostr.build/89c47078dd5bb5cc0701a5eaa09f3397c3eaff45330985bd73be258adbe2ab7f.png
I love coding.

2024-11-11 16:57:00

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There were these smart contract markets, like Augur, but people did not value decentralization vs worse user experience. Traders prefer centralized and user friendly right now.

2024-11-11 16:55:24

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Only market determines prices.
You mint yes and no tokens (only on the platform, they are not crypto tokens). Their combined value is exactly 1$ (because either yes or no happens and the payout of one will be 1, payout of the other 0).
You can then add a limit sell order to the order book for whatever price you want. And when someone wants to buy for the price, voila the market has spoken and initial price is born. The process then repeats, like on any other market.
How much is in the bets is not interesting, because you can create arbitrary amount of bets, without price risk. Holding both tokens does not add any information to how risky it is.
Volume is interesting. Most interesting is the full order book.

2024-11-10 16:50:17

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There is no locked funds, open interest is not interesting. For each binary bet you have one yes and one no for every dollar and you can turn them into a dollar at any time, since their combined value is exactly one.
Open interest does not mean much on these markets because of the constraint.

2024-11-10 12:38:46

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It's a centralized service.
There were a few decentralized but they did not have traction. unfortunately people prefer ease of use. I consider it an application that I use.
It uses usdc.
What is decentralized about it is the price action, which is a result of trades (including arbitrage with other prediction markets).

2024-11-10 12:32:05

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You need to message polymarket, or there's also Bitcoin prediction market (also centralized) here:
https://www.bitcoinprediction.market/

2024-11-09 16:43:49

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I feel it's very good I have no idea what you are talking about.

2024-11-09 09:23:17

Why everything has to be a conspiracy? The food industry is so evil that the CEOs sat down and hatched a plan how to make us all sick, probably buying stock in drug companies to fix it?
This sloppy thinking does not pass through the razors. It is complicated (Occam's razor) and much better explained by stupidity (Hanlon's razor) than malice.
People are confused by this, because they see emergent behavior. Yes, everything has sugar, because sugar sells. There's no conspiracy, the companies are selling people what they want. So don't want what is not good for you.
I know that it's much more fun to believe that there's an evil with a face and name causing all our troubles rather than saying people demand this and market supplies.
People can't agree on a date of a meeting with five people. But world wide conspiracy flourishes, it's kept mostly secret (except of you, right? You're one of the few that know about it, because someone tweeted about it).
Conspiracies are for people who want to complain and find whose fault something is. Much better approach for each individual - identify what's good for you and demand it. And don't get fooled by emergent behavior in complex systems. It might feel planned, but it just appears out of trillions of interactions. Yes, it's magic. Soros, Gates and Klaus don't have much more say in it than you do.

2024-11-06 17:39:38

The lesson at the end is exactly what I've been doing for a long time now. Don't read the news, read the prices.
Not only about the outcome, but how probabilities react to smallest changes in the environment. Matching over 3 billion is definitely not just crypto bros trading their hopium (as @robinhanson's paper on Futarchy says "Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs?"). That kind of money trades an edge.
What is even more funny to me is how people think that someone would just buy trump yes tokens to see a number move on one platform. No, you do that when you have insider information. Funny thing was that it was the other way around - Trump's team was watching Polymarket numbers to see what works.
When my wife asks me if there's going to be WW3 this year, I say I don't know (no one really knows), but to see the odds, I look at the markets. The crypto bros trading these markets have an edge.
Now free Ross and I'm going back to coding. And order some coffee from my crypto bro wins on polymarket.
P.S.: https://juraj.bednar.io/en/blog-en/2021/06/23/prediction-markets-crowdsourcing-information-for-good-decisions/
-----
Original post:
https://x.com/hosseeb/status/1854154029796073814?t=axNSGD8GNW50vnLvZIXu6A&s=19
What Polymarket got Right that the Experts Got Wrong
As the dust settles on the election, there’s a story that the WSJ and NYT didn’t tell you. While the mainstream news was busy with their TV pageantry and hedging on calling key swing states, Polymarket, the world’s biggest prediction market, had already delivered its verdict by midnight EST, declaring Trump was 97% likely to win. This was before the media called even a single swing state.
All throughout this election, Polymarket was always one step ahead. I want to explain why this is, because judging from the Twitter responses I was getting last night, most people deeply misunderstand this.
There are two fundamental things that Polymarket did better than the media.
1. Polymarket was more accurate on the forecast going into the election.
Let’s take the pollsters and analysts. Election poll-based models claimed the race was a dead-even 50/50. Polymarket meanwhile was priced Trump with a distinct edge—going into the election, he was priced around 62% to win.
If you remember, the mainstream media derided Polymarket for this difference. Polymarket should be the same as the modelers, they said! Obviously it means you can’t trust Polymarket. It’s priced differently because it’s a bunch of Trump-loving crypto bros. It’s invested by Peter Thiel. Only foreigners trade on it. It's unregulated, so it must be being manipulated. There's a whale pushing up the price of Trump. And on and on.
Implicit in this dismissal is a deep distrust of markets. As though markets cannot be trusted unless affirmatively proven otherwise. And of course, if you actually trusted the markets, you might not trust the media anymore. And their whole business model is predicated on you distrusting anyone but them—why else would you continue to click on their never-ending stream of clickbait?
But anyone with experience with markets knows: it doesn’t fucking matter if a market is composed of Republicans, or Democrats, or foreigners, or whatever. In reality, we know that JP Morgan was using Polymarket, as were some of the largest hedge funds in the world (most have non-US subsidiaries). It was integrated into Bloomberg Terminal, it was being quoted on CNN. And yet the media spoke of Polymarket as though it was 4chan.
Understand, Polymarket traded $3.6 BILLION dollars on the presidential election. This was the largest election betting market by volume IN HISTORY and AN ORDER OF MAGNITUDE more than any other election market ever. There was more riding on this than any single modelers’ career prospects. Understand—markets work because of how much is riding on getting the answer right.
These supposed biases—being Trump-aligned crypto-pilled non-Americans—didn’t skew the market’s accuracy. (It seems obvious in retrospect that being non-American might improve your ability to dispassionately predict an election.)
But the identities of the bettors didn't matter. Prediction markets distill input from many diverse actors to produce prices that transcend biases. Markets don't care about ideology, they only care about being right.
And as it turns out, Polymarket was more right than any pollster or modeler.
Now, I want to be clear what I’m not saying: the difference between 60/40 and 50/50 sounds big, but it’s not. Elections are noisy. High school statistics will tell you that if you want to tell if a coin is rigged to be 60/40 rather than 50/50, you would need over 100 coin flips to have 90% certainty. The outcome of “Trump won this election” does not tell you whether the coin was 60/40 or 50/50.
My point is not that Polymarket was right and the models were wrong. They actually didn't disagree with each other by much. I'm making a more subtle point: the market was consistently pricing Trump’s odds higher than the polls. Remember, the market knows what the polls and analysts are saying. Markets incorporate all existing information—but Polymarket disagreed with with the pollsters. The only explanation that analysts could come up with for this was: Polymarket is biased.
They didn’t have the humility to imagine, maybe, just maybe, Polymarket knew something that was not being captured by the polls.
Polling sucks. This is all well established now. In the pre-Internet era, polling was much more accurate. Landline poll response rates were often above 60%. Today, poll response rates are around 5%. This means pollsters are getting massive sampling biases, and there is no possible way to correct these biases without baking in clumsy statistical corrections. (Plus pollsters—who are ultimately selling a product and have reputations to keep up—frequently herd their estimates together to avoid being an outlier, which fucks up poll aggregation.)
Plus, Trump is special. He is uniquely divisive in American politics. So for three elections in a row, we have seen massive polling errors that underestimated his support—the so called “Shy Trump Voter” effect.
Polymarket presumably believed that the polls were missing this. The pollsters said, no: we’ve updated our models and corrected for it. Polymarket said: I don't buy it. Polymarket was right.
Now, again! Polymarket did not say the election was 90% for Trump to win. 62% is not a sure thing, and elections are genuinely uncertain. But what irks me is that there was not even a tinge of curiosity from the media about the delta. Maybe Polymarket knows something we don’t? Maybe there’s information we’re missing that’s not being captured in the polls?
Remember, Trump massively outperformed his polls all across the country, in both red states and blue ones. He sweeped every single swing state, and even won the popular vote—something most people thought impossible.
Are you really so confident that there was no way to detect this—the sentiment of tens of millions of Americans—that didn’t involve the same old pollsters running the same old Internet surveys?
This is what being a student of the markets teaches you. Markets are smart. But they don’t explain themselves—they just show you the outcome.
That brings us to the second way that Polymarket outperformed the media.
2. Polymarket called the election in real-time, way before the media did.
The inscrutability of markets came in full force on election night. Polymarket moved quickly and violently before a single swing state was ever called. According to Polymarket, the election was over by midnight, while the mainstream media was milking the drama until the election was officially called at 6AM the next morning. Why was this?
First, Polymarket saw an important correlation that the mainstream media was not willing to explain to their viewers. You see, polling errors are seldom random; they are usually correlated across states. So when traders saw that Trump was massively outperforming his polls in states that were not themselves competitive—picking up huge vote share in NYC (cleanly blue) or Florida (cleanly red), this meant that there must be a massive polling miss across the country.
Polymarket immediately picked up on this and realized that the swing states could not possibly be competitive anymore. Polymarket priced Trump to win Pennsylvania at 90% by 11:30PM, when only a small portion of the Pennsylvania vote had been counted.
Prediction markets don’t wait for pageantry or pundits. It doesn’t care if it invalidates the sacred ritual of waiting for the votes to be counted. Remember in 2020 when Fox News called Arizona early (which turned out to be correct), viewers were outraged. Trump vowed to boycott the network over it. This reinforced the lesson—the networks must sit there and dutifully count up the votes. Don’t be too clever.
But markets don’t care about drama. They only care about outcomes. Obviously, it would be incredibly difficult to explain to a CNN viewer that the election is over, the polling error in non-competitive states is too big, Kamala is doomed and you should go to sleep and not bother to wait for swing states. It goes against the narrative that the media has been reinforcing for months. The public wants simple, explainable stories, and everyone knows how the narrative is supposed to go—you wait for the swing states and until one of the little colored bars crosses the 270 line.
At 12:51AM, the NYT was still showing this dramatic chart and headline. By then Polymarket already had Trump priced at 98% to win.
So election watchers dutifully stayed up through the night so the media could complete its empty ritual of filling up the bars.
Polymarket’s traders have no loyalty to narrative and no incentive to play up the drama for ratings—they just call it straight. @shayne_coplan, Polymarket’s founder, said that Trump’s campaign team was reading Polymarket to try to understand how to actually interpret the odds. The media even had the gall to complain that Trump was declaring victory when his electoral count was at 267—at that point, the Polymarket odds were so low that they registered as 100%.
The beauty of markets is they respond instantly to new information. The fastest trader who incorporates the information gets a prize—profit. This is something traditional media fundamentally is not set up to do. They have to filter events through layers of interpretation, narrative making, and internal politics (recall Murdoch’s intercession into the 2020 Arizona call).
The decentralized nature of Polymarket bypasses all this bullshit. It lets information flow without any interference.
There is a lot to reflect on from last night. This election was a resounding reprimand of the Democratic party, a rejection of the expert class, and an immune response against an arrogant media.
But for Polymarket, it was a night of pure vindication.
For me, the lesson is this: the next time something important is going on in the world, skip the op eds and check the Polymarket odds.

2024-11-04 16:20:24

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They are not and it's crazy expensive for my use case

2024-11-04 15:45:14

Do you know of any great text to speech models that do intonation well? Open weights. They do not need to clone voices.
I've tried suno bark, but it sometimes hallucinates. I need the reading to be literally what's written. Also tried f5-tts, intonation is not great and the speed varies a lot, so when it's reading multiple texts, the speed of output speech is different between generation. The duration predictor is also not great and sometimes causes cutoffs.
Have I missed something?
English only for now is ok.

2024-11-04 11:50:56

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One man's raging dystopia is another man's hot immigration opportunity.
Ja vždy keď počujem tento muzak tak mám chuť pustiť k tomu 30 oscilátorov, vŕtačky, zbíjačku a zvuk zásuvky, ktoré to kompletne zničia, navždy.

2024-11-04 11:47:47

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Wow, what do you use for inference?
Check out this:
https://github.com/jooray/lxmf-ai-bot
Works out of box with any lxmf client including nomadnet and sideband.

2024-11-04 09:43:06

Beautiful.
Yesterday I was walking through the forest, a bit lost. I opened my phone (GrapheneOS powered) with OSMand and found my way.
Both are free and open source. Yes, the operating system and the navigation software. But so are maps. Imagine that someone went to the same forest, with a gps recorder and walked all the paths just to contribute to a free and open source database.
These days we have open weights AI, my mum is 3D printing something for a friend. It's an amazing world that was easy to imagine, but it was much harder to actually believe that this is how the world turns out.
Over from the bird by Eric S. Raymond:
You can just make things.
This is my massive white-pill about the revolution in small scale manufacturing that's going on right now.
The immediate trigger is a story I read about a guy who was annoyed that his wife needed a wheelchair, and the designs were all crappy and hideously expensive and made in China. So he booted up a small factory that now builds custom wheelchairs, delivering them for about $1,000 a pop, undercutting the Chinese by a factor of five.
The context, though is something that's been going on since the first mass market 3D printers in 2009. We've had more than a decade now in which many of the people who would have become part of the hacker culture I came up in back when software was the cutting edge have been learning how to use FDM printers, desktop CNC mills, laser cutters, EDM machines, and all kinds of physical fabrication techniques that you can set up in a garage or a basement.
The lesson has had time to sink in. If you're clever about it, you can hack matter the way we learned how to hack code - high speed, low drag, flexibly and playfully.
You can just make things. Without bimpty-bump millions of dollars of startup capital. With the new tech you can start small, turn a profit on boutique items, and scale up organically.
SpaceX is part of this story, using rapid iterations of custom designs made with 3D printing in sintered metal to continuously improve and simplify their rocket engines. So are Defense Distributed and the other semi-underground firearms-fabrication anarchists. So were the people who figured out how to garage-build respirators during the COVID panic. And now so is JerryRigEverything, the YouTuber who built a wheelchair factory.
The software revolution of a quarter century ago was fueled by Dennard scaling driving down the cost of compute power and wide area networking. Suddenly you could do things on a desktop that had taken raised floors and dedicated computer rooms just a few years before. Hackers grabbed these new possibilities and ran with them. I helped the movement understand itself.
I see something very like that happening again now. But instead of the demassification of software, we're seeing the demassification of manufacturing. The new hackers are being playful with atoms rather than bits. But the same spirit is there; I can feel it every time I wander into a makerspace.
These kids are not going to be stopped. There's too much fun to be had. Too many brains chasing every problem in sight. If my hacker culture didn't still exist it would make me all nostalgic to watch them.
But no. The old hacker culture and the new one flow together at the edges. The apprentice I'm teaching systems programming has a side-hustle printing models for mail-order customers. The kids put their part designs in public repositories; they didn't have to discover open source and distributed collaboration, they grew up absorbing both through their pores.
(Which has the accidental result that though I'm not leading things and writing manifestos this time, I'm one of their culture heroes anyway. That feels nice, I won't deny it.)
And you ain't seen nothing yet.
FDM and other small-scale fabrication technologies are attracting enough attention to improve at a torrid pace. There are obvious synergies with robotics and deep learning that haven't kicked in yet. Or, maybe they already have in somebody's garage, and we'll find out about it next week or next month.
It's a swarm attack, a disruption from below, and lots of conventional large-scale manufacturing outfits are going to suffer the fate of massified Chinese wheelchair factories - they just don't know it yet. They'll be undercut by cheaper, lighter, faster, smarter, custom, and localized.
Somewhere, Buckminster Fuller is whispering "ephemeralization" and smiling.

2024-11-03 20:16:23

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They might be well paid, but it's also horrible for them. They end up losing a life in a loveless hierarchy inside a building with artificial light and bad coffee. See here:
https://cryptoanarchy.institute/nocoiner-syndrome-2024.pdf

2024-11-03 16:47:25

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AnyType. Rely on full text search, no organization ever except for basic folder structure.

2024-11-03 16:45:37

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You have Dvorak and Smetana, we have Palo Habera. We're not the same.

2024-11-03 10:06:43

GDPR - How Not to Protect User Privacy
A blog about how the state, with good intentions, managed to reduce privacy, decrease wealth, and create another European regulatory megafail.
https://juraj.bednar.io/en/blog-en/2024/11/03/gdpr-how-not-to-protect-user-privacy/

2024-11-03 07:21:13

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on the contrary, I'm very pro lisp!

2024-11-02 19:30:50

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Everyone is also not a KPI. We are not everyone.

2024-11-02 19:26:49

AI in VIM? Sure.
Now show us your emacs setup! Ctrl-Shift-Meta-Alt-A (release keys) Shift-Meta-Alt-Option-I to start generation? :)
#emacsvsvim #itsnotevenfair #vimftw
https://github.com/ggml-org/llama.vim

2024-11-02 17:07:09

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don't get a job! jobs are a scam!
peer to peer awaits, if you are a Bitcoiner already, don't join a hierarchy, opt out!
https://hackyourself.io/2024/07/18/you-are-a-bitcoiner-now-whats-next/

2024-11-02 07:44:23

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very cool, what device is it and what STL?
I have a bunch of lilygo 1.6.1 that I use (mostly for Reticulum, not Meshtastic).

2024-11-02 07:26:49

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check @npub13ru…c9st (@npub1guv…f239), he makes very cool decentralized house music.
he also did some yet unreleased tracks for the first episode of @npub1f49…zpez

2024-11-01 15:02:29

EN: A domain is a fiat asset.
That's why I've been recommending for years not to use a .sk domain and why I'm glad that, for example, Nostr identities don't have anything to do with domains (unlike fediverse or email).
The attached article is about a domain for the new brand of slovak tv and radio (another rebrand just to change the director) and how they took some student's domain for his personal blog, because of course state TV has bigger cock.
SK: Doména je fiat asset.
Preto už roky odporúčam nepoužívať sk doménu (viď kniha Hackni sa) a preto som rád, že napríklad Nostr identity nemajú nič s doménami (na rozdiel od fediverse alebo e-mailu).
https://www.techbyte.sk/2024/10/exkluzivne-stvr-ziskala-domenu-stvr-sk/

2024-10-29 21:11:18

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i meant something else, but this would work too.
i mean I make bitpunk.fm cassette from the digital recording and I mail it to someone who wants it on the other side of the pond.

2024-10-29 06:53:49

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They got a dose of loving kindness in the end though. That should make them less resentful.

2024-10-28 21:46:25

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Don't know House of Leaves, but it reminds me of S.
https://www.amazon.com/dp/8956607788/

2024-10-28 21:38:43

The guys from ECB should get this to study.
#note15yv…hrxu

2024-10-27 15:16:34

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What are other great v4v players besides fountain?

2024-10-27 12:56:04

SK: Predikčné trhy predstavujú praktický spôsob, ako môžeme nahliadnuť do budúcnosti bez nutnosti spoliehať sa na tradičné, často nepresné metódy, ako je veštenie z kávových usadenín, hlasovanie, či komentáre “odborníkov” v novinách. Filip poukazuje na fakt, že tradičné metódy získavania informácií, ako sú prieskumy verejnej mienky, môžu byť dosť zásadne nepresné. To znamená, že predikčné trhy, ktoré umožňujú účastníkom investovať do svojich názorov, poskytujú presnejší a realistickejší odraz skutočnosti
Prečo “gambling” hovorí niečo o svete, ako ho možno používať na hedging budúcnosti, poistky, získavanie informácií, či robenie lepších rozhodnutí alebo dokonca financovanie verejných statkov?
https://juraj.bednar.io/podcast/2024/10/27/filip-legeny-predikcne-trhy-ako-nevestit-buducnost-z-kavovych-usadenin/

2024-10-27 07:36:18

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I got this one. No Bluetooth headphones, but has a recording function.
https://www.amazon.de/dp/B0D5R63Z7X/ref=pe_27091401_487027711_TE_SCE_dp_i1

2024-10-27 07:15:15

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If you don't have the cassettes, you can even make them from the digital version yourself! Just start a v4v player like fountain, press record and flip the tape when the time comes.

2024-10-27 07:10:51

Hack for kids: instead of an unrestricted access to a tablet, give them a walkman with cassettes. They get understanding of physical medium, they can record songs they like (even from YouTube), stories, ... Modern walkmans can record from analog audio input, some have even an integrated microphone.
They have fun, they can play and it's entirely their own thing.
On the other side there's no corporation wanting their attention to fill their head with cornflakes ads.
And then you give them @nprofile…0fdq cassettes to listen to some good music (e.g. @nprofile…555r) and they also learn about Bitcoin and analog encoding and a lot of other stuff.
https://image.nostr.build/c8e9a9c0ea0d0e32444f7aa43379f6e40962dd3cdf8d15e785b984026c4123bb.jpg

2024-10-25 11:20:55

If you are ok with deciphering Slovak text into English, here's my setup.
https://juraj.bednar.io/blog/2017/05/03/preco-podcast/
https://fountain.fm/episode/UZja41zrce4ibncf7B5A
#nevent1q…z9tq

2024-10-24 20:37:00

same for me, until it's overtaken by the normies
enjoying it while it lasts
#note19je…693r

2024-10-24 15:28:18

I did not know this was possible, very cool. A way to do it in Firefox anyone (I mean the right click way)?
https://alfy.blog/2024/10/19/linking-directly-to-web-page-content.html

2024-10-24 14:21:55

https://image.nostr.build/2cfb1fbd7154f22377d52efe3ac9bc02193c3acdf5df63693dc1cdf4646b068d.jpg

2024-10-23 20:41:59

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Here's a more detailed write-up:
https://juraj.bednar.io/en/blog-en/2024/10/23/how-i-save-my-time-and-attention-with-value4value-podcasts/

2024-10-23 20:41:26

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I think both.
Here's a more detailed writeup on it
https://juraj.bednar.io/en/blog-en/2024/10/23/how-i-save-my-time-and-attention-with-value4value-podcasts/

2024-10-23 20:40:33

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BTW: There are a few shootouts to you in the podcast, so boost up your Slovak skills 😃

2024-10-23 20:39:27

Experiment of increasing sats/min to 200. What happened?
EN: https://juraj.bednar.io/en/blog-en/2024/10/23/how-i-save-my-time-and-attention-with-value4value-podcasts/
SK: https://juraj.bednar.io/blog/2024/10/23/experiment-s-value4value-podcastami-ako-posluchac-aj-ako-podcaster/

2024-10-23 08:37:39

S Pavlom Šimonom sme nahrali super podcast o energetike, decentralizácii, energetickej intuícii, miningu, .... Dlhší, ale veľmi výživný podľa mňa.
https://juraj.bednar.io/podcast/2024/10/23/pavel-simon-energeticka-intuicia-decentralizacia-a-bitcoin/

2024-10-23 06:26:42

After setting 200 sats/min for v4v listening in Fountain, something unexpected happened to me.
I am much more picky about what I listen to. Example: I started to listen to some techie AI podcast. After few minutes I thought to myself "I know all this stuff they're talking about and I'm paying for this, I'll skip ahead". I skipped and switched to a different podcast eventually.
Normally I would tell myself "I know this stuff, but the guys are nice, maybe I'll learn something new".
Value4value works in both ways. I reward creators for the value I receive, but it makes me very conscious about what I receive.
And since my time is precious, I actually save it.

2024-10-22 11:06:48

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Peňaženka je integrovaná a chce osobné údaje. Čo je za mňa no go.

2024-10-21 21:15:04

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you can! nutband is only to exchange the token with the mint for fresh one over reticulum. you actually send the tokens over reticulum (lxmf is the chatting protocol).
so you send it however you want, but when you receive it, you want to exchange it with the mint and nutband allows you to do also that over reticulum, not internet.

2024-10-21 21:10:03

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we should go to Ozora, it's in Hungary.
I've heard good things

2024-10-21 18:58:39

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That is actually a really good idea. And you can type the amount and hand over just the ecash notes in that amount. And just mark them as spent locally. Much safer than dumb card which gives everything.
How does one make a flipper app?

2024-10-21 08:14:47

Looking forward!
The talk you mentioned is here in English: https://hackyourself.io/2024/07/18/you-are-a-bitcoiner-now-whats-next/
Dlhšia verzia v SK: https://juraj.bednar.io/podcast/2024/04/13/oranzove-leto-stanme-sa-tvorcami-svojho-zivota-s-mariannou-sadeckou/
#nevent1q…7epp

2024-10-17 06:18:28

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https://github.com/jooray/anonmicroblog

2024-10-16 20:46:09

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yes
now I have fridge :)

2024-10-16 19:15:52

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Even if you don't use Reticulum, just reading the design is beautiful. Mark got so many things right. For example encryption by default, medium agnostic, supporting super low bandwidth networks, but allowing universality.
And then you get to see the Sideband app which is the messenger and you get disaster team maps complete with GPS telemetry, situation reports, ...
It's just beautiful.
Also, many times I played with the code, I thought I could do something better and then I just realized why Mark did it the way he did and it's way better. I can improve it by adding features, but what is there is just a piece of art.

2024-10-16 17:08:41

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platforma na pôžičky kryté bitcoinom.
pre ľudí čo majú btc nástroj ako využiť jeho hodnotu a nepredávať Bitcoin, čoho vedľajšia výhoda je, že nie je potrebné podporovať organizovaný zločin (platením daní).
Pre fiatérov je to výhodný termínovaný vklad ktorý je pomerne bezpečný.
https://juraj.bednar.io/product/ako-vyuzit-hodnotu-bitcoinu-bez-toho-aby-sme-ho-museli-predat-minikurz-miniebook/
prípadne nie konkrétne firefish, ale princípy popisujem detailne tu: https://juraj.bednar.io/product/kryptomeny-vyhackuj-si-lepsi-zivot/

2024-10-16 16:33:54

Very cool episode, thank you!
I'm playing with Reticulum which has a bit more mature architecture, you guys are would love it. It runs on the same devices, but also IP / I2P, wifi halow (the new wifi standard that's up to one km range). It is a networking stack though, it can do ssh, messaging over the radio through the city, I even ported ecash cashu over it so you can send sats. It is done mostly by this one cool guy Mark who lives in an RV and puts all his soul and time to this. And it is actually meshing, if there's a route, it finds it. Neighbors can do wifi, you go further over lora. Very cool. And it's encrypted by default.
The messaging apps can work over wifi, so if you have a node at your home (or an RV), when your phone connects to the wifi, it automatically connects to the mesh. If you send a message, the node forwards it through lora or whatever
https://fountain.fm/episode/Thk97UqdpIL6BJLNPmFo
#nevent1q…3sxu

2024-10-16 14:36:28

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Bohužiaľ kvôli ľuďom, ktorých skoro zabili na CryptoVestibull mali už iba slabé, takže som si musel dať 5, aby mi to šlapalo a prebralo ma to 😉

2024-10-16 10:51:51

You can do notebook lm now in free and open source. This calls apis, but running it locally without cloud is very feasible. https://github.com/gabrielchua/open-notebooklm
https://fountain.fm/episode/Thk97UqdpIL6BJLNPmFo
#nevent1q…hve3

2024-10-16 08:48:59

Awesome episode, even the ads are cool. I have recently set my rewards to 200sats/min because why have this space technology to send cents. But I was kind of not feeling so happy when I was listening to some podcasts and they had ads and I'm thinking "why am I paying to listen to ads?". But good job in choosing ad partners that are actually cool and open source.
About Meshtastic - it is definitely cool, but you guys are going to love Reticulum. It runs on the same devices, but also IP / I2P, wifi halow (the new wifi standard that's up to one km range). It is a networking stack though, it can do ssh, messaging over the radio through the city, I even ported ecash cashu over it so you can send sats. It is done mostly by this one cool guy Mark who lives in an RV and puts all his soul and time to this. And it is actually meshing, if there's a route, it finds it. Neighbors can do wifi, you go further over lora. Very cool. And it's encrypted by default.
https://fountain.fm/episode/CMUnAYUryjxXSyy4Vc0J
#nevent1q…khum

2024-10-16 07:31:57

Oznam: Firefish môžete používať už aj v Slovenčine.
https://firefish.io?ref=gjep97jk

2024-10-15 07:45:32

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oh sweet, a cassette. check out @npub1f49…zpez especially
https://www.bitpunk.fm/@bitpunkfm/episodes/rewinding-the-future-hcpp24

2024-10-15 06:00:35

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It's nutband:
https://github.com/jooray/nutband
I did not succeed in making an apk, but Stick succeeded.

2024-10-14 06:01:53

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Yes, it was hardcore, but I brought it on myself voluntarily. They had to postpone the event, some speakers couldn't do the new dates and I took the opportunity to shape the world a bit :).
First epic discussion with @nprofile…2q3d on privacy that was very different than how these go, then I helped people decide on entrepreneurship and Bitcoin (even though people usually decide for one or the other) and then I helped create a few more OTC traders (veksláks). It was cool.

2024-10-13 10:06:29

Small update on Podcaster 2.0 Boost Dashboard (for core lightning).
- looks cooler, fits on the screen
- the episode list is narrower, so you can see your boost messages (see updated screenshot)
- episodes are sorted by when they received first boost, which is an approximation of how recent the episodes are (a newer episode will probably receive its first boost later).
Does this project have any users here (besides me) are all y'all folks running lnd or alby?
Find it here:
https://github.com/jooray/podcaster-boost-dashboard
https://github.com/jooray/podcaster-boost-dashboard/blob/main/docs/screenshot.png?raw=true

2024-10-13 07:22:36

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People who have fiat to use have a shitcoin problem.
How did that shitcoin get to their wallet and why isn't it btc already?

2024-10-11 11:32:53

Pre Bitcoin Alza som spísal článok o peňaženkách Trezor. Absencia článku o prvej HW peňaženke nebola zámerom, iba to doteraz nikto nenapísal, tak som to napravil. Snáď sa dozviete, čo ste nevedeli, pretože Trezor toho vie oveľa viac ako si mnohí ľudia myslia.
CZ: https://www.alza.cz/bitcoinove-penazenky-trezor-od-satoshi-labs
SK: https://www.alza.sk/bitcoinove-penazenky-trezor-od-satoshi-labs

2024-10-10 18:48:50

This talk at HCPP was my favorite. It has since been taped and published as a @npub1f49…zpez episode. Launch your v4v players (I was introducing, so I get some splits!) and have fun.
@npub16lc…ruje should especially listen as he was mentioned. Also Osama bin Laden and Ayatollah Khomeini were mentioned, but I don't know their npubs, so not tagging.
#note167c…vdta

2024-10-09 16:00:41

This year's HCPP (the last one in a sense) was pretty special for me. As probably the only conference fully dedicated to cryptoanarchy it was always my favorite.
This year it was mostly about personal connections for me. I feel that over past few years, people have been running around the world and trying things and they came to tell us about their experience and results. In the hallways, but also talks. First few years were visions, last few were experiences and lessons learnt.
But it also gave me something more. I used to get this at CCC. This knowledge of what is important, what is going on and what we are doing. I became disconnected with the main CCC ideology, which is also very political, not very cypherpunk. It turned from "we write code and hack" more "we have to speak up and lobby the european commission".
I've just realized that I got the same feeling from hcpp that I used to get from CCC.
I love CCC for other things.

2024-10-09 13:03:33

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TMTOWTDI

2024-10-09 12:52:09

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No one follows a random npub.
Follow @npub135x…taeg! The whole point is to post to an audience that is interested.

2024-10-09 10:48:24

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Very good. I have a specific way to derive the key using PBKDF2, where you don't need anything to do with Nostr - no NIP07, nothing.
See deriveKeys here:
https://github.com/jooray/anonmicroblog/blob/main/webposter/src/index.js
This way it's Npub Pro as a front-end for reading, static HTML page for posting, no knowledge of Nostr whatsoever needed.
But I like the project, so that's not criticism, just explanation why I coded anonmicroblog like this.

2024-10-09 10:47:17

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Then we'll figure it out, maybe block the account and do something else. Everyone's responsible.
I'm a member of such anon microblog (now nostr based, but not originally) since 2006 and it still works great.

2024-10-09 10:33:37

Welcome @npub135x…taeg to Nostr. She is a shared identity that can be used by people who want to share cool Cypherpunk projects anonymously. Usually, this is quite a big problem, because if you want to share open source code and want to stay anonymous, you can't use your existing social network.
The password to posting is going to be shared widely among devs. If you are a free software and cypherpunk author (even if not anon), ask for password and spread it wisely.
We want the anonymity set to grow, plus it's not defined, it's just the knowledge of a password. So it can't be really pinpointed who knows it.
On the other hand, there is a password, otherwise the account would be just taken over by spammers, reducing usefulness.
Lizz is accessible through Nostr (give her a follow) and you can also access her website for people who are not Nostr enabled yet. Through the web you can also easily post, the Nostr private key is derived from the password in JavaScript.
https://lizznakamoto.npub.pro/

2024-10-09 08:56:49

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I've tagged the wrong Lizz there
@npub135x…taeg

2024-10-09 08:56:21

Example entry
Btw Lizz was not created by me, I find it cool that someone else has found a use for it besides grumpy libertarian posts!
#note1jm6…jw2e

2024-10-09 08:55:43

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that's cool. but I think this is much simpler and does not need the users to even know what nostr is, or use their keys in any ways.
very interesting project though, feel free to promote it through lizz

2024-10-09 08:35:54

Welcome @npub1lvc…aw2q - Anon Innovator to Nostr. She is a shared identity that can be used by people who want to share cool Cypherpunk projects anonymously. Usually, this is quite a big problem, because if you want to share open source code and want to stay anonymous, you can't use your existing social network.
The password to posting is going to be shared widely among devs. If you are a free software and cypherpunk author (even if not anon), ask for password and spread it wisely.
We want the anonymity set to grow, plus it's not defined, it's just the knowledge of a password. So it can't be really pinpointed who knows it.
On the other hand, there is a password, otherwise the account would be just taken over by spammers, reducing usefulness.
Lizz is accessible through Nostr (give her a follow) and you can also access her website for people who are not Nostr enabled yet. Through the web you can also easily post, the Nostr private key is derived from the password in JavaScript.
https://lizznakamoto.npub.pro/

2024-10-08 21:44:10

I am not very impressed by the expensive stuff. When a wine seller tells me they have a bottle of wine they are selling for $10k, all it tells me is that someone has written a price tag. I might sell my toenail for $10k, but that would not impress anyone, even if it's not possible to get it cheaper.
Luxury spending does not even work these days. You can rent things, you can borrow money to spend on something you can't afford, just to impressive.
What is impressive are great things for good price. Outstanding quality delivered despite limited resources. It's much harder to evaluate though.
When someone shows me expensive watches, I'm gonna ask if they can at least sign nostr events on it. Or if it just shows time like my phone.

2024-10-08 19:47:36

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That is not a problem, but people rarely reward the value they get unless you ask them to.
So that part is important, even the good v4v talks I've seen were about how to ask.
If you don't ask, you will get very little if anything at all, even if the people perceive it as valuable.

2024-10-08 13:44:54

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Yes, works for me.

2024-10-08 13:28:31

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Did you contact support about it?

2024-10-08 13:21:52

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I just made it work with one setting.

2024-10-08 12:51:59

Let's talk about value4value. I listen to and get value from many podcasts. I'm ruthless and stop listening if they are boring. So when I listen, they are valuable to me. And it does not always mean mind-blowing tech stuff, it can be people who get high and play music.
We have this space age technology where we can stream money, directly to producers of content we value.
And then we send them two cents. I have produced more than a hundred episodes. Many of them have changed lives, literally. My total earn from all value4value was around 35$ - streamed sats and boosts. I don't have sponsors, even though I sometimes promote my own projects. Just the cost to produce one of these is 200$ or more (at least in my time, sometimes I rent a room / studio, although I'm pretty DIY). The cameras and microphones are not free either. Neither is server hosting (I self host, no cloud services, I run my own node).
I am not complaining though. I'm part of the problem. I did not change the default in the app - 10 sats per minute is ridiculous.
I changed my setting to 200 sats per minute to start with. 7 dollars per hour makes sense to me. It's cheaper than the tip I leave for a dinner. But if you have a few listeners that set it up, it might even pay for the production cost.
Your situation might be different. But let's use this space age technology for real, not as a proof of concept to send pennies.
Thanks to @nprofile…0fdq for making me see this clearly.
Repost if you do the same. You don't have to do 200 sats/min. Do whatever feels right. It's probably not the default.
#v4v #value4value #podcasting2.0

2024-10-08 11:12:59

if there was a championship of regulatory arbitrage, I think the winner would be less than 12 years old, probably around 6.

2024-10-07 13:05:19

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yes. meshtastic is to try it out, reticulum is what we'll actually run after the apocalypse

2024-10-07 07:13:46

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i don't think it was

2024-10-02 19:52:55

K zvyšovaniu daní pripomínam blog z roku 2017 (je aj v knihe Hackni sa) s názvom "Bohatí ľudia neplatia dane".
Dane mimochodom neplatia ani firmy, tie ich len vyberajú pre štát, peniaze idú vždy od koncových zákazníkov.
https://juraj.bednar.io/blog/2017/01/18/bohati-ludia-neplatia-dane/

2024-10-02 19:44:48

Congrats to 25 years of Euro!
https://image.nostr.build/ab604ca16f31ea24518205333863798d64312193c69fee0d4f9a3067fd4fe045.jpg

2024-10-02 19:36:20

Translation of my blog "Rich people don't (have to) pay taxes" into English. The politicians like to tell you that it will be the rich people or corporations that will pay the taxes and you don't have to worry about it. The fact is that it's the poor people and people who use fiat money who pay most of the taxes and rich people can very easily avoid it.
https://juraj.bednar.io/en/blog-en/2024/10/02/rich-people-dont-have-to-pay-taxes/

2024-10-02 13:43:10

Znova aktualizovaný zoznam obľúbených produktov. Pridané AI tooly, konkurenciu k Oura, ktorá vyzerá dobre, prepísané hardvérové peňaženky, pôžičkové platformy.
https://juraj.bednar.io/oblubene-produkty/

2024-10-02 12:49:31

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HCPP Schedule is out! My talk on Nostr is Friday at noon.
https://hardcore.hcpp.cz/

2024-10-01 09:42:47

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Nah, post when you have something to say. This is not an engagement farm.

2024-10-01 09:42:00

From Raphael Douady:
Did you hear about the "tail concentration effect"?
When a #blackswan shows up, everything goes wrong and correlations spike to 100%. In other words, any risk factor becomes a risk source.
Correlations are not stable at all, particularly under extreme events. You need proper models to handle it, starting with #nonlinear.
Nonlinearity is more important than multi-factor.
Comic by Stefan Gasic (highly recommended)
https://m.primal.net/LHQS.png
https://m.primal.net/LHQT.jpg

2024-10-01 09:01:14

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FreeTek akcie v Európe fungujú tak, že je to víkendová akcia, je známa približná oblasť ("do 100km od Berlína", "západné Čechy") a v piatok večer prídu GPS koordináty a inštrukcie. Kľúčové je, aby všetci sudcovia spali a aby akcia bola na súkromnom pozemku, kam policajti bez súdneho príkazu nemôžu.
Funguje to tak dodnes. Ale možno fanúšikovia techna fungujú inak ako plebs...

2024-10-01 08:58:41

A friend of mine said something along the lines of "We have this cosmic technology of v4v splits, and we use it to send each other $0.01".
Yes, we can't change the paradigm from "zero cost, pay with your attention" to "value for value" by rewarding creators $0.01 per episode. All of us are more or less guilty of this.
The ransom model seems to work a bit better: "Full podcast available after paying $10". What I don't like about the ransom model is it is often on fiat platforms and it is often a monthly subscription. There is hardly ever any podcast that I want to pay for monthly. I would gladly pay for some single episodes.

2024-10-01 05:53:43

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I have a friend who told me he got VR glasses, loaded some VR porn and he was looking not at the scene, but around - the type of wallpaper, the furniture, who put the flowers on the table, ...

2024-09-30 12:28:52

I did not know about this project. Very cool, but I am on core lightning not lnd, so I can't use it as is.
But having many options is best!
#nevent1q…z7rc

2024-09-29 09:38:27

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Might be interesting to @npub1f49…zpez, @npub19ha…q0fa and possibly @npub1klk…x3vt and @npub1unm…d0j2

2024-09-29 09:37:23

New Free and Open Source microproject for podcasters: A podcasting 2.0 boosts dashboard, created from @Core_LN's listinvoices output.
I have a podcast, but I want to be sovereign and not host my boosts on a third party (such as Alby, although nothing against them, I just want to do it on my infrastructure).
It is a simple python script that takes the json output of the command line, filters out podcasting boosts and displays them. The output is a static HTML and JavaScript that you can open locally. No backend, pure simplicity. Enjoy!
https://github.com/jooray/podcaster-boost-dashboard
https://m.primal.net/LFSe.png

2024-09-27 10:34:14

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this sounds funny, but exporting sw doing https already used to require license in the past.
there was even a psychopath that wanted to ban certain mathematical operations on finite fields. his name was Joe Biden.
he probably does not remember it, but it was super ridiculous even back then.

2024-09-25 18:06:50

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Why conference, you can be the one and only guest. And I have to be there.
We'll discuss with @npub19u6…m6e6 and make it happen.

2024-09-25 15:17:59

Testing testing, sending message to Košice, is there anybody out there?
@npub19u6…m6e6