3eppo / is on Nostr

"b93a39e273c6725c2e587da4aac902d79febf569866ab1cd6847479b78b9c91f5b3c5a5d2f28d96e3071dc28a37829272b08f3fea7f8e1e999fc84d170d13808"

Last Notes

2025-04-23 17:13:37

DCA Strategy (hourly, daily, weekly)
TL;DR: I asked ChatGPT to crunch some numbers so I don’t have to think too hard about when to buy Bitcoin. Turns out: it kinda matters – but not that much. Weekly DCA is a gamble, daily is chill, hourly is overkill (unless you're into spreadsheets and order spam).
I came across a dataset going back to 2017 with hourly OHLC prices from Binance (UTC-based, it seems). I’m no data analyst (and barely use Python), so I let my friend ChatGPT do most of the heavy lifting while I nodded approvingly.
Curious to see how much of a difference timing actually makes, I ran some comparisons between hourly, daily (at different times), and weekly DCA strategies (on various days and times).
Fees weren’t included – so if you're using a platform that charges per order, hourly DCA might nibble away at your sats faster than you think.
The results?
In the worst case, the deviation between the best and worst strategy is around 4%.
Surprisingly, both the top performer and the worst performer turned out to be weekly strategies.
If you want to reduce that variance, daily DCA seems like a solid middle ground.
Hourly DCA? Only moderately useful. Even if you consistently hit the worst time of day for your daily DCA order, the deviation is still only around 0.3–0.4% (depending on the time range you’re looking at). But hey – that’s just 30 orders a month instead of 720, which might matter if you’re tracking things for tax purposes.
You could turn this into a science project (and add stuff like volatility, Sharpe ratio, etc.) – or just go with your gut and buy whenever your coffee kicks in and Bitcoin crosses your mind.
I did this little experiment back in late December and haven’t touched it since.
If there’s interest, I’m happy to update it – or feel free to fork the repo and tinker away:
https://github.com/3eppo/btc_dca_strategy
#Bitcoin #BTC #DCA #Nostr #BitcoinResearch #Plebchain #Timechain #GrowNostr #Zap #TickTockNextBlock #BitcoinAndChill
@nprofile…fmt5 1000
https://m.primal.net/Qaju.png https://m.primal.net/Qaji.webp

2025-04-23 05:25:28

gm
Say it back!
@nprofile…eqlf 500

2025-04-22 19:12:38

Ein kleiner Text für meine Familie:
In klassischen sozialen Netzwerken bekommst du Likes – und das war’s. Wer mit Inhalten Geld verdienen will, braucht Werbung, Sponsoring oder eine Plattform, die mitschneidet. Gleichzeitig entscheidet ein Algorithmus, was du siehst – und verkauft deine Aufmerksamkeit weiter. Denn du bist nicht der Kunde, sondern das Produkt.
Weil das zugrunde liegende Protokoll offen ist, kann jeder eigene Apps darauf aufbauen. Der Buzzbot zum Beispiel ermöglicht es, für Posts kleine Prämien zu vergeben – und belohnt damit echte Interaktion aus der Community. So lassen sich Inhalte gezielt anschieben, ohne Werbung zu schalten oder Algorithmen zu bespielen. Reichweite entsteht durch Beteiligung – nicht durch Bezahlung.
Das Beste: Du brauchst nur einen einzigen Login. Damit kannst du dich bei beliebigen Nostr-Apps anmelden und überall deine Kontakte, deine Inhalte und deinen Ruf mitnehmen – wenn du willst.
Du entscheidest, wem du folgst. Keine Plattform, kein Algorithmus dazwischen.
Und das eröffnet eine ganz neue Dimension:
Stell dir vor, du bekommst Empfehlungen, Meinungen oder Reviews – nicht anonym oder gekauft, sondern von Menschen, denen du vertraust. Von deinen Kontakten, nicht von Algorithmen. Das gilt für alles: Inhalte, Orte, Produkte, Nachrichten. Relevanz entsteht aus echten Beziehungen – nicht aus Werbeprofilen.
Dezentral. Transparent. Fair. Ermöglicht durch Bitcoin. 🧡
@nprofile…khmw 5000
https://m.primal.net/QZho.png

2024-04-26 21:30:07

Are there any good iOS apps for bitcoin widgets ? I currently use block screen but I would like to add infos about the hashrate and the duration between the blocks to my Home Screen. #asknostr

2024-04-24 05:10:41

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great post!
one major issue i see in reviews is that a lot of people have no incentive to post a honest review at all. either they post a 1star rant review or they post a 5star brain-afk review for getting a coupon.
in our company we force our technical procurments team to write one good and one bad thing about every supplier used in a project. and also give an overall performance mark (1best to 5worst). it doesn't matter if we had 1 or 100 orders for this project at that specific supplier. we need this for our iso certification.
nevertheless the comments seem to have no real value at all, as they either write "-" or a wall of text no one reads. the grading depends actually on the people. there is one group who almost everytime gave a non meaningful grade (3,3,3,3,3) and the other group gave extreme grades (1,5,5,1).
however we change the process so that the team has to grade during the process (after the order, after the incoming goods inspection, after the component is installed) simply by giving a 1 to 5. i know it doesnt solve the problem of subjectivity but it gets us closer.
tldr.: think about: incentives reviews, directly integrate them into the process, normalize reviews

2024-04-12 13:51:45

Found him.
#satoshi #bitcoin #dogchain #nakadoggo
https://m.primal.net/HuIO.jpg

2024-03-27 20:00:23

I really liked that metapher from saylor at the Abundance Summit:
“… it's the difference between you launch something and it goes ballistic and comes back to Earth, >suborbital versus orbital<, and you launch it and it reaches escape velocity and it goes orbital. One is in space forever and the other's in space for a blink of an eye - and what we're trying to do is put energy in cyberspace or put money in cyberspace, reach escape velocity, so such that it lasts forever with zero friction … “
#bitcoin #cyberhornets #escape #velocity #zerofricton

2024-03-15 05:39:37

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2024-03-09 07:43:22

gm https://image.nostr.build/86e7e742c763bdf151f1013f61015c4368f72002bcae579388787bd0f287ac83.jpg

2024-03-08 18:11:09

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So this was the book that literally opened the rabbit hole for me and gave me the orange pill.
Danke Gigi 🙏🧡

2024-03-08 11:23:07

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2024-03-08 05:37:13

gm https://image.nostr.build/04e391d2d93a8f8a332b265025786053b4a01e7a70a0a7d61867d2aac35b71e4.jpg

2024-03-07 20:58:56

“What assistance can we find in the fight against habit? Try the opposite!” — Epictetus
So today I learnt about paradoxical intention, which is basically trying to do the opposite of what is feared or avoided in order to reduce emotional distress.
#Stoic #Seinfeld #EmbraceTheUncomfortable #ConfrontToLiberate https://image.nostr.build/b7cdfcd6281f8478e6caf5cb809b893ccd8e9f199f6bb13caf61134d8a9749fe.gif

2024-03-06 16:22:04

casually walking through the supermarket with my satoshi t-shirt on. when a dude in his 40s working in the back sorting bottles stops me and says: "oh satoshi nakamoto - i really like his work. just don't sell into shitcoins like the euro."
why do ordinary people without academic backgrounds get it and others struggle so much?
#bitcoin #satoshi #neversell

2024-03-05 21:58:37

So I learned that there are 3 you‘s:
The past you, the future you and the present you.
Forgive your past you for what you have done wrong and be grateful for what you have done right.
Think of the future you as your best friend. As the present you, do things for which the future you will be grateful.
Embrace this and become the future you you always wanted to be.

2024-01-12 07:41:47

got my second touchpoint (first one mid) with nostr cause of the conversation between @npub1s5y…6q7z and @npub16c0…6nvr - loved the episode and think I will stick to nostr. thank you guys !

2024-01-11 18:09:53

bitcoin is love