DrJeff
Dr. Jeff Ross

https://www.youtube.com/@DrJeffRoss

Big picture guy | Manager of the World’s #1 Performing Multi-Strategy Hedge Fund (Vailshire Partners LP) in 2024 (per BarclayHedge database) | Physician (Radiologist; retired) | MBA (finance) | Christ-follower | Bitcoin is better money for a better world

I generally don’t respond to DMs.

Public Key

npub1k7vkcxp7qdkly7qzj3dcpw7u3v9lt9cmvcs6s6ln26wrxggh7p7su3c04l

NIP-05 Address

DrJeff@primal.net

NIP-57 Address

DrJeff@primal.net

Profile Code

nprofile1qqst0xtvrqlqxm0j0qpfgkuqh0wgkzl4judkvgdgd0e4d8pnyytlqlgpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduq3samnwvaz7tmswfjk66t4d5h8qunfd4skctnwv46qwf25mk

Publishing to

relay.damus.io

premium.primal.net

nostrelites.org

Author Public Key

npub1k7vkcxp7qdkly7qzj3dcpw7u3v9lt9cmvcs6s6ln26wrxggh7p7su3c04l

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Last Notes

2025-04-04 17:18:56

GM.
Although I have been thoroughly enjoying my break from social media, I thought I would post a quick update on the #Bitcoin magical line chart.
OPINION:
#bitcoin, as priced in US dollars, continues to show remarkable strength during this *anticipated* period of consolidation since its 20-Jan-2025 high.
As the green line shows, we continue to see a series of higher lows IN SPITE OF EXTREME MARKET UNCERTAINTY AND FEAR.
This is exceedingly bullish behavior.
Could the price break down temporarily to the $70k-75k range?
Of course.
But I would view this as an incredible short-term buying opportunity... and, importantly, I am not expecting this to happen.
Based on M2 global liquidity and sharp movements in the US dollar, I still anticipate new all-time highs for bitcoin sometime between mid-May and mid-June 2025.
Could I be wrong?
Of course. But this remains my highest probability expectation, even (and especially) IN SPITE OF EXTREME MARKET UNCERTAINTY AND FEAR.
I hope this commentary helps.
Back to my break from social media.
Onward and upward.
https://m.primal.net/QEJk.png

2025-03-30 22:59:22

Take some initiative… or life will pass you by.

2025-03-30 18:15:46

- reply

🤝

2025-03-26 16:07:19

Two important observations:
1. The 5-Year CAGR of #bitcoin is clearly diminishing over time.
2. For the foreseeable future, bitcoin's CAGR is likely to far outperform that of most, if not all, other major asset classes.
#nevent1q…fjc8

2025-03-26 15:45:22

- reply

GM.
Don’t zap me.

2025-03-26 15:37:51

"You are designed to see glory, and to be much satisfied by it."
- John Piper

2025-03-26 13:00:33

- reply

Great chart. ⚡️

2025-03-25 23:18:14

As for me, I now like the stock.

2025-03-25 12:59:49

The 2024 financial audit is finally complete. 👀
For Vailshire Partners LP hedge fund (which I personally manage), the 2024 total (net) return after Performance Allocation to the General Partner was:
+198.85% 🔥
Per the BarclayHedge database of funds, Vailshire Partners LP was the #1 performing fund in the world for 2024.
Shout out to #Bitcoin and congrats to the clients (LPs) of Vailshire!
Onward. ⚡
**(Not a solicitation to invest. Limited partners must be accredited investors and qualified clients.)
https://m.primal.net/Psan.png

2025-03-20 13:15:54

GM #nostr family. ☕
Don't feed the system that feeds off of you.

2025-03-19 14:59:12

- reply

Amazing progress.

2025-03-19 13:23:45

The delayed effects of massive dollar strength into mid-January 2025 are coming to an end.
Economic surprises should start moving from bad to less bad.
This is bullish.
#Bitcoin--the world's freest market--will be among the first assets to respond accordingly.
https://m.primal.net/PlTL.png

2025-03-19 13:16:09

Few understand that the United States is the #1 subsidizer and exporter of Malnutrition- and Obesity-Related Illnesses (#MORI).
Honest mistake? Or by design?

2025-03-19 12:40:36

GM #nostr family. ☕
Defund and downsize central planners.
#Bitcoin

2025-03-15 22:47:54

PSA: This would be a good day to unfollow me.

2025-03-15 15:54:37

Per YouTube analytics:
One month in to my low budget, non-advertiser, just for fun Live Stream infotainment channel:
- 9 live stream videos
- 47,800 total views
- 3,052 subscribers
- 270k impressions
I have no end goal with this project and may stop doing the live streams at any time... but it's fun to see the "humble beginnings" metrics in real time.
Onward. ⚡
https://www.youtube.com/@DrJeffRoss

2025-03-13 17:48:04

As Bitcoin circular economies multiply and grow, they will eventually become The Economy… as in the world’s economy.
As this parallel reality increases over time, then government fiat currencies, and their associated economies, will literally cease to exist.
The future is already here, but only a few people yet realize it.
Until they do, help build and support Bitcoin circular economies.

2025-03-10 21:52:23

We can remain bulltarded longer than the market can remain irrational.
#Bitcoin

2025-03-09 23:23:38

I hereby declare March 10-16 to be Bounce Week.

2025-03-09 23:18:33

UPDATE: 👀
#nevent1q…rlvw

2025-03-08 00:45:16

- reply

I want to be as bulltarded as @npub1rtl…jtfs

2025-03-06 19:27:58

Still just a one-off or nah? 👀
The Atlanta Fed GDPNow real #GDP estimate for 1Q 2025 is currently:
-2.4% (that's negative 2.4%, son)
OPINION:
- US economy looking a bit ugly at the moment, after leading the world to the upside for much of 2023 and 2024.
- The world ex-US is looking pretty solid, actually.
- Global assets may continue to outperform, while US-based assets may struggle for a bit.
Just my two sats. ⚡
https://m.primal.net/PWEJ.png

2025-03-03 22:26:47

PSA: Do yourself a favor and unfollow me.

2025-03-03 21:46:45

"Reprivatizing the economy... [with] a six to 12-month lag."
- Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary

2025-03-03 20:41:28

I’m still awaiting for an app providing the ability to negatively zap someone’s post or—especially—their reply.
Imagine being able to grab some sats for time wasted reading stupid posts and comments. 😂
Stupid post? NEGATIVE ZAP
Wearisome reply? NEGATIVE ZAP
lol

2025-03-03 19:00:44

I realize that 99.9% of people on #nostr hate anything and everything to do with technical analysis--as they should--but I am utterly in love with this #bitcoin chart and the magical lines that I drew. 🧡
If I had to guess, (and I don't, but I will 😂 ), then I'd say that we're not entirely out of the woods yet, and a series of higher lows (approximated by the lower green line) is incoming over the ensuing days and weeks.
This would represent a show of technical strength over the medium term, and would provide a nice base for the (expected) strong bull run higher towards 2H 2025.
https://m.primal.net/PSfU.png

2025-03-03 13:36:05

GM #nostr family. ☕
The clown world is evolving, but still accelerating.
My plan?
1. Head down.
2. Work hard.
3. Stack sats.
4. Glory to God.

2025-02-28 22:06:34

Hopefully someday, in the not too distant future, many of you will look back with me—with much fondness and gratitude—for the great February price dip.
#bitcoin

2025-02-26 18:25:29

Episode #5 with @nprofile…hs8c was pretty fantastic.
We even had a guest appearance from @nprofile…cyqp , who shared some fantastic #bitcoin cycle and dollar charts!
Regrettably, I couldn't get it to simultaneously stream on @nprofile…gn5a , but here is the YouTube link if you missed the live show.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y49qvvbKMeI&t=82s

2025-02-26 15:00:48

- reply

GM. ☕️

2025-02-26 14:02:08

GM #nostr family. ☕️
Don’t feed the system that feeds off of you.
Rather, help build systems that create a better world.

2025-02-25 17:05:38

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I’m trying to work it out with the @nprofile…kfvc folks.

2025-02-25 15:58:44

I just recorded an EMERGENCY UPDATE live stream.
Episode #4: Bitcoin and MSTR
Time to Panic Sell or Chill?
It also streamed on @nprofile…gn5a
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wr-oZ67qZA8&t=11s

2025-02-20 13:45:24

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One more day of cold and clouds here, then back to warm and sunny.
The charts are telling me to stack sats and help build a better (fiat-free) world for future generations.

2025-02-20 13:40:57

- reply

GM. ☕

2025-02-19 23:38:40

Frankly, I’m a little disappointed that no one took me up on this offer.
Surely there must be a wealthy detractor somewhere who is willing to fork out one measly bitcoin to remove me from #nostr, no?
#nevent1q…8xfk

2025-02-18 20:10:29

A gentle reminder that bank "savings" and checking accounts are where your purchasing power goes to die.

2025-02-18 20:05:40

I’d do it for 100,000,000 sats. ⚡️
#nevent1q…y4kf

2025-02-18 15:26:03

GM #nostr family. ☕
It's Tuesday, so here is today's game plan:
1. Head down.
2. Work hard.
3. Stack sats.
4. Glory to God.

2025-02-17 16:35:38

For millennia, #gold has been a stable store of value for humanity.
So, kudos for that. 💪
However, now that the Digital Age has arrived, we must ask the following question:
IS GOLD A COMPARABLE STORE OF VALUE TO BITCOIN?
** See the answer key (chart) below. **
https://m.primal.net/PAaF.png

2025-02-16 00:19:49

In case you missed the circus that has been my new THINKING OUT LOUD show, here's a link to the second episode... which was only slightly more organized than the first debacle!
Give it a watch and let me know your ideas for future episodes! 👀
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fF7t6gNvkA8&t=5s

2025-02-13 22:32:31

Well my first solo episode was part train-wreck and part awesome.
Hopefully I'll get smoother and less painful to listen to as I work out the kinks!
Here's the YouTube link if you want to hear/watch some distracted #macro and #bitcoin talk.
(Also, I have no idea why the thumbnail pic is sideways. 😂)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GXkPK7AKzRQ&t=39s

2025-02-13 18:39:38

- reply

I'm sure it's because I'm really stupid and technically-illiterate, but @nprofile…04wm is extremely confusing to me.
I've looked into it a few times and can't even figure out how to use it.
I need 1st grade-level UI/UX.

2025-02-12 21:38:49

- reply

I feel this.

2025-02-12 19:33:36

This. 👀
#nevent1q…wuda

2025-02-12 16:57:49

- reply

Congrats on this generous offer. 😂

2025-02-12 16:28:34

I appreciate medical doctors and other healthcare providers, but I hate the fact that many are incentivized (ie, subsidized) by the Federal Government to give advice that is often adverse to human health.
I appreciate farmers, but I hate the fact that many are incentivized (ie, subsidized) by the Federal Government to grow copious amounts of corn and soybeans, which are used to generally undermine human health.
I appreciate soldiers and military veterans, but I hate the fact that many are incentivized (ie, subsidized) by the Federal Government to use lethal force to support unethical missions and kill innocent people... often leading to PTSD and other long-term psychological issues.
I appreciate educators, but I hate the fact that many are incentivized (ie, subsidized) by the Federal Government to reward strict compliance, memorization, and group-think rather than autonomous thought, creativity, and integrity.
I appreciate commerce and the necessity of a widely accepted medium of exchange, but I hate the fact that many are incentivized (ie, subsidized) by the Federal Government to steal purchasing power from (forced) users of the fiat currencies--thereby worsening income inequality--rather than allowing to people to survive and thrive through their own proof of work.
I could go on.
Do you see that everything the Federal Government touches, it corrupts over time?
Anyway, GM. ☕

2025-02-10 20:46:06

"Better to lose your life than to waste it."
- John Piper
Acts 20:24

2025-02-03 14:47:37

GM #nostr family. ☕️
Don’t feed the system that feeds off of you.

2025-02-02 14:03:34

- reply

GM. ☕️

2025-02-01 21:54:34

The credit-based fiat currency systems are crumbling.
Davos (WEF) conferences and nation state governments are already being steadily defunded and downsized via decreased purchasing power and loss of confidence.
#Bitcoin is starting to heal the world.
What a time to be alive. ⚡️

2025-01-30 01:37:02

- reply

lol

2025-01-27 15:42:07

🎉🎉
Today is the 11th birthday of Vailshire Partners LP hedge fund.
🎉🎉
It’s wild how much it has changed over the past 11 years.
🎉🎉
It began as a value-oriented healthcare and technology fund.
🎉🎉
After approximately five years of a suboptimal performance, I started to grok Bitcoin.
🎉🎉
And the rest is history.
🎉🎉
Here’s to the next 11 years!
🎉🎉

2025-01-27 15:21:48

If you haven’t already, then today is a great day to start living on a #Bitcoin standard.
Critically, you must spend less than you earn.

2025-01-27 13:56:19

GM #nostr family. ☕️
Don’t feed the system that feeds off of you.
And, rather than complaining…
Help build the systems that make a better world.

2025-01-25 02:11:31

Maybe social media is the problem...
Might try out IRL again.

2025-01-24 23:31:41

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He gives me the heebie jeebies.
Similar to SBF and Elizabeth Holmes.

2025-01-24 22:57:24

This is actually a big deal. 👀
#note1uxd…g8cl

2025-01-24 18:37:30

- reply

Thanks so much!
I’m hoping to load up on quality chocolate when I’m there later this year.

2025-01-24 18:13:42

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Do you have a favorite chocolate?

2025-01-24 18:11:29

#Bitcoin is international energy money.

2025-01-24 16:50:49

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It depends what you mean by "best."
I use a TradingView algorithm, which is directionally accurate, but requires a subscription (I think).
The FRED (St. Louis Fed) site tracks US M2, although I prefer global M2 for global assets, like bitcoin.
Many people/sites regularly post updated global M2 charts, including:
- Michael Howell (Cross Border Capital)... the most nuanced and complete
- Darius Dale
- Hedgeye
- BM Pro
- @nprofile…u7e3
- Real Vision
- @nprofile…t0d8
- @nprofile…j6zg
- and many others...
Hope this helps.

2025-01-24 14:14:31

GM #nostr family. ☕
#FreedomTech is winning... and we are changing the world... for the better.
Onwards. ⚡

2025-01-23 23:58:58

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Streak?

2025-01-23 22:21:41

Executive Order:
I hereby decree a national strategic reserve of meme coins, penny stocks, random proof of stake cryptocurrencies, and Chuck E. Cheese tokens to show the financial strength of prowess of the United States government.

2025-01-23 20:13:26

SOMETHING JUST HAPPENED

2025-01-23 14:14:43

GM #nostr family.
Don’t feed the system that feeds off of you.
Positive spin:
Help build the system that makes the world better.
#ExitFiat
#EnterBitcoin
#NostrOnly

2025-01-23 14:08:33

Solid video, @nprofile…sra8 .
My only quibble is with the title.
Banking isn't broken, per se. Banks are thriving by doing what they always have done:
1. Facilitating criminal activity (as your video demonstrates).
2. Serving as monetary surveillance outposts for the government, suspecting their "customers" and treating them as guilty until proven innocent.
3. Creating a large amount of loans (ie, new money) based on a very small base of deposits (ie, fractional reserve banking) so that, in times of economic crisis, depositors are at risk of losing their savings, which they thought were safe in their bank's vaults... lol.
4. Generally increasing the monetary base beyond our nation's means (see "fractional reserve banking" above), thereby steadily debasing the government fiat currency that the people are forced to use... and stealing their purchasing power over time.
5. Supporting the international banking cartel, led by central banks... especially the US Federal Reserve.
Cheers.
#nevent1q…zcs8

2025-01-22 17:10:53

#AbolishTheIRS
Not a joke.
🇺🇸

2025-01-22 17:02:48

UPDATE:
Trump administration, Day 3
I'm not asking for much from the incoming #Trump administration other than:
- #FreeRoss ✅
- Abolish the IRS ❌
- Abolish the Federal Reserve ❌
- Abolish taxes on using #bitcoin to purchase goods and services ❌
#nevent1q…hmae

2025-01-22 16:55:02

Do it. Today. 🇺🇸
#EndIncomeTaxes
#note1t0h…s44q

2025-01-22 16:10:53

Probably nothing. 👀
#note1yfm…glcf

2025-01-21 23:48:46

Let’s go!!
ROSS ULBRICHT IS FREE!! ⚡️
#note13t2…395x

2025-01-21 17:21:58

UPDATE:
Trump administration, Day 2
I'm not asking for much from the incoming #Trump administration other than:
- #FreeRoss ❌
- Abolish the IRS ❌
- Abolish the Federal Reserve ❌
- Abolish taxes on using #bitcoin to purchase goods and services ❌
#note1c7l…rsc7

2025-01-19 20:05:10

I call it:
"The Death of (the World's Strongest) Fiat Currency"
The $DXY in real (#bitcoin) terms...
And there is more dying to come.
Lesson:
Choose your denominator carefully. 👀
https://m.primal.net/NoPw.png

2025-01-19 16:45:34

Random factoid:
For most businesses and--especially--governments, #debt isn't paid off, it is rolled forward.
Paying off debt is counterproductive and actually injurious to a credit-based, Keynesian economic system.
It is not the goal, and it never has been... despite the rhetoric.
---
As an aside, things will function very differently once #Bitcoin inevitably becomes the global reserve asset and global reserve currency over the coming decades.

2025-01-19 16:36:57

GM #nostr family.
Don't feed the system that feeds off of you.
Rather, focus your time, energy, and purchasing power on helping to build a better system for a better world.

2025-01-18 23:22:28

With the blessing and fanfare of many mainstream Bitcoin influencers, the clown world isn’t actually slowing down with the incoming administration… it’s speeding up.
🤡 🌎

2025-01-18 21:50:45

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Truth.

2025-01-18 21:43:43

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Okay thanks.
That’s my take as well.

2025-01-18 17:02:43

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Note also that the startup and ongoing administrative costs are no joke. It took me years to get back to break even… much longer than I had originally anticipated.
Also, I absolutely abhor fundraising. It’s hard to grow a business from scratch if you’re not a natural salesman (I am not).

2025-01-18 16:58:48

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The most important place to start is with an attorney who specializes in hedge funds… especially emerging fund managers.
I have been with Cole-Frieman and Mallon since Vailshire’s inception (pre-inception, actually) and they laid out the groundwork and all of the necessary steps, many of which were state specific.
That would be my primary recommendation to you or any interested in starting a fund or RIA.

2025-01-18 13:39:31

Shockingly few understand that monetary debasement is the leading cause—by a long-shot—of income inequality in the world.
This is a huge reason why #Bitcoin (which cannot be debased) is better money for a better world.
Tell your friends.

2025-01-16 22:50:42

PSA:
The answer is "no."
https://m.primal.net/NjyC.png

2025-01-16 20:43:13

Does anyone from the @nprofile…pfty team know why when I zap someone's post, it doesn't "stick" to the post anymore, but rather just zaps straight to the person who posted it?
Said another way, whenever I zap a post it just disappears, but the person still receives the sats I sent.

2025-01-16 14:57:31

GM #nostr family. ☕️
Don’t feed the system that feeds off of you. ⚡️

2025-01-16 13:57:32

The concept of Staying Humble and Stacking Sats (h/t @ODELL ) and living on a Bitcoin Standard is a simple and peaceful existence.
And, historically-speaking, it is also quite profitable.
Anyone can do it. Just:
1. Head down.
2. Work hard.
3. Spend less than you earn.
4. Stack sats.
Trying to time the market--with its massive associated tax implications--is a stressful life.
As a seasoned fund manager, I generally get the timing right and end up with a little more bitcoin. But sometimes I get it wrong.
And sometimes I lie awake at night, stressed out and wondering if I made the right trade (by size and by timing) on behalf of my clients.
A (very) small number of people can outperform bitcoin in the long run, but 99% cannot... including (probably) me.
For these reasons I recommend that everyone just stays humble and stacks sats, as @ODELL has succinctly devised.

2025-01-16 01:31:52

Don’t feed the system that feeds off of you.
#BitcoinOnly
#NostrOnly
(H/t @npub1s05…eyhe)

2025-01-15 22:29:34

Admittedly, I really enjoyed this timely discussion with @npub16le…ffxj.
Danny asks great questions, with intelligent follow-up points for clarification… and does both with a chill vibe.
The What Bitcoin Did podcast is in great hands! ⚡️
#note1sqr…a5nw

2025-01-15 20:53:14

The dollar "wrecking ball."
lol... against other fiat currencies, sure.
The $DXY is up about 12% over the past five years relative to basket of other major currencies.
However, in real (#bitcoin) terms, the dollar has lost -91% of its value over the same time period.
LESSON:
Choose your financial denominator wisely... or you may be chronically mislead (and debased).
https://m.primal.net/NiNy.png

2025-01-15 19:44:55

BURN THE SHIPS.
NUKE YOUR CENTRALIZED SOCIAL MEDIA ACCOUNT.
#NOSTRONLY

2025-01-14 17:11:36

Unpopular opinion:
The evolution of #Bitcoin conferences...
Early days: Signal >> Hype
Today: Hype >> Signal

2025-01-14 15:12:37

I AM NOT BEARISH.
GM. ☕

2025-01-13 14:23:31

It's fun to watch Keith McCullough discuss The Fiat Standard today by @nprofile…jt2p on The Macro Show.
He's starting to grok the massive differences between fiat currencies and #Bitcoin, which is encouraging... given the size of the #Hedgeye audience.
Congrats Saif!
https://m.primal.net/NeoV.png

2025-01-12 17:00:05

My three favorite #NFL teams are still in the playoffs.
Let’s see how many, if any, survive the next two days… 👀
#Broncos
#Vikings
#Packers

2025-01-11 22:27:51

Shout-out to the S&P 500 which, since 1959(!), is up a total of 37% relative to #gold and up 41% relative to the US M2 monetary supply.
Said another way, the appreciation of gold, US stocks, and the US M2 monetary supply are all about the same over long periods of time.
Nominal gains are an illusion... 👀
To increase your purchasing power over time, you need to outpace the ever-increasing M2 monetary supply.
You do you, but I recommend #bitcoin.
https://m.primal.net/NcZn.png

2025-01-11 15:20:42

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yes

2025-01-11 14:56:49

Pro tip:
Bull markets are for paying off debt, not accumulating it.
Accumulating debt during a bull market often leads to financial ruin.

2025-01-10 14:02:54

GM #nostr family, from the hedge fund fiat mine. ☕
It's a good day to help build and promote #FreedomTech.

2025-01-09 21:19:44

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We might hit it.
Also, we might not.
I’m just trying hard to ramp up my DCA efforts.