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Last Notes

2024-02-01 04:27:01

@npub1exc…n72a #note1cgv…ww4l

2024-02-01 04:15:47

DOUCHEBAG SAYS WHAT??
Bitcoin down 10% in the three weeks after approval.
LOL #note1m2j…pewd

2024-01-31 23:02:58

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The law of large numbers makes it mathematically certain that there will be diminishing returns (from very high levels) over time in the purchasing power of Bitcoin.

2024-01-31 22:58:31

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How can you possibly mention the “rate of accumulation” w/o even mentioning the distribution by GBTC of 127K bitcoin since January 10? It is pretty obvious a lot of the inflow into these ETFs are from dollars created from GBTC selling.

2024-01-29 05:22:22

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This note is repulsive.
A guy that is all over social media and has his own podcast thinks we should be repulsed by a talented entertainer who has a much bigger following than him for being addicted to fame. LOL. Maybe he is just jealous.

2024-01-17 05:50:12

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It’s down to 605k as of today if you check the website. That is 14k bitcoin or over $500M in bitcoin dumped on the market in less than a week.

2024-01-17 05:45:42

Wow, Grayscale has lost over 14,000 BTC in their ETF in 3 trading days (619k to 605k). This BTC has to be dumped on the market. One would assume almost all of those proceeds would be moved to another Bitcoin ETF but hard to know and may be a drag on the market. https://image.nostr.build/669f41f53e028e87f3f8048cd0f993c254fddb9923655fcb534ae8aed40abca1.jpg

2024-01-16 23:16:44

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Agree in general with you, but I cannot imagine a society where we would incarcerate a woman for aborting a pregnancy after being raped.

2024-01-16 05:09:32

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One long run a week. Increase that by a mile each week until you get to about 10 to 12 mikes 2 weeks before the race. Many resources online for optimal training methods.
Also during the race plan for negative splits.

2024-01-16 00:56:29

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Deleting my account in 3…2…1…

2024-01-15 17:27:55

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I guess to formally apologize means to admit they did it in the first place, which I don’t think they have done.

2024-01-15 17:08:54

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Has the FBI really never officially apologized for this?

2024-01-15 16:59:15

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I think I was orange pilled when I watched this video by Andreas. A must see: https://youtu.be/ONvg9SbauMg

2024-01-15 01:46:48

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I want so hard to disagree with you but finding it hard to.
If you hear “Lincoln was our best President” enough times, especially when young, it’s hard to reverse your thinking.

2024-01-15 01:43:18

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Why so bearish?

2024-01-15 01:32:59

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@npub1exc…n72a Samson Mow
Ridiculous hopium and is never called out on it. Always seems to be talking to nation states about bitcoin adoption and never has success.

2024-01-14 17:49:12

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A gold ounce can be split into 36,300,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 AU atoms. Cmon, how can you call gold scarce?

2024-01-14 17:08:39

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Samantha should be embarrassed

2024-01-14 16:31:25

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No thanks. The $100 bill is only used for drug trafficking, money laundering, and tax avoidance.

2024-01-14 05:35:14

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Something’s telling me Google is going to be doing a lot of evil this year.

2024-01-13 17:33:30

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You may be right, just saying it’s unlikely. Brian Armstrong may be misguided with his Coinbase shitcoin casino but I don’t think he is a crook, and don’t think he wants to go to jail for running a fraudulent publicly traded audited company.

2024-01-13 17:26:19

The 100 day countdown has begun! https://image.nostr.build/a46fb722243c216563c14aaafb428c12669e66028899e2d240c0ec9570f1e11a.jpg

2024-01-13 17:24:18

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Most of these ETFs hold their bitcoin at Coinbase so Coinbase would have to collude with the ETFs to be fractional reserve. Unlikely IMO

2024-01-12 20:58:56

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It’s because few would buy a share if it were priced at the bitcoin price of $43k.
And it were say 1/1000th of the bitcoin price, the correlation would eventually diverge because of the management fee.
It’s the same as GLD or SPY. Those ETFs are not priced at exactly the same level as gold or the S&P 500.

2024-01-12 20:51:07

This is really important if you are concerned about the bitcoin price in the short run. Because of the ridiculous 1.5% management fee, there is going to be mass dumping of GBTC shares (which represent 600k+ bitcoin) and Grayscale as I understand it will then have to redeem large amounts of shares and sell the bitcoin representing those shares.
My guess is most of the GBTC holders will buy bitcoin or another ETF with lower fees, but there may be a time lag and some GBTC holders may not invest back into bitcoin at all. #note1hch…nelk

2024-01-12 20:42:29

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The $ ETF price is irrelevant. The ETF price will move the same % as bitcoin moves minus the management fee.

2024-01-12 01:51:27

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Killed it.

2024-01-11 23:01:27

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Hey Elizabeth, the American public disagrees.

2024-01-11 21:55:36

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I think we should be asking why the fuck the government is so damn interested in our emails. 20+ legal requests a day for information? Leave us alone.

2024-01-11 17:29:11

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@npub1exc…n72a has a history of ridiculous forecasts and I’m 99.9% sure this will be another one.
An increase in the bitcoin market cap of the GDP of the US in “days/weeks”? Cmon man.

2024-01-11 16:39:31

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Exactly.

2024-01-11 16:36:48

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Markets almost always do what people expect it not to do in the short run.

2024-01-10 23:52:34

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Yes, and people are not mining bitcoin to fund wars. They print up dollars out of nothing for that.

2024-01-10 23:24:16

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This will be really important once Nostr gets bigger and more influential in the world as there are forces out there who hate not having control of information. I’m technologically challenged and just hope smart people can figure out how the world can use Nostr censorship free and without permission.

2024-01-10 23:18:11

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With 4 million lost BTC, there are about 16 million BTC now, so $62k would be $1T. I’m bullish AF and $1T would be a minimum expectation this year. It could also moon and if it does I will be HODLing the whole way. I never sell, only save in bitcoin.

2024-01-10 23:08:37

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Beautiful

2024-01-10 23:06:21

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You may be right. I usually dont include the lost bitcoin in the value the network. I understand there is a possibility it may be worth several $trillion this year as well, especially if this ETF demand does start pouring in.

2024-01-10 22:32:12

How ironic, 15 years to the day. Then my guess is the entire network (probably 50k BTC circulating) could have been bought for a few hundred dollars. Now with ETFs coming the network will likely be valued at over a $1 trillion this year. https://image.nostr.build/c4c0d652b5f1fad56f3f50a0af8acf4a9f6b761c5fe9f3bdabcb6e308e4d7e42.jpg

2024-01-10 22:01:47

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Maybe they should de-list the US dollar then.

2024-01-10 00:24:35

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Garys job is to protect investors yet he can’t figure out how to protect his own Twitter account.

2024-01-08 21:17:00

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Fleeing with bitcoin is a lot easier than fleeing with gold.

2024-01-05 02:47:43

That Chinese bitcoin mining ban of 2021 really killed the network. https://image.nostr.build/da0b324d23887c289e6349d61e0f9672d1e1c142560720df31c0d1e3ea06b3c4.jpg

2024-01-04 23:39:09

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Agree. The only way for bitcoin to really make a difference and end central bank fuckery is for bitcoin to be an order of magnitude or two larger, and bitcoin ETFs in the largest economies help move us to that goal.

2024-01-04 21:16:33

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This is exactly right.

2024-01-04 20:49:08

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Don’t feel bad. You were part of the tiny fraction of humans that put any money in back then. There are 1000 times more that heard the same story as you in 2013 and dismissed bitcoin altogether.

2024-01-04 20:37:02

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It will all go well, then really well, they will get overconfident, and then one day, REKT.
DONT TRADE BITCOIN!

2024-01-04 15:30:41

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Listened to Cory’s first statement. His guy with 20 years of experience is going to try to time the market. RUN FOR THE HILLS!

2024-01-02 22:47:08

ONLY USING ALL CAPS FROM NOW ON. THE BULL MARKET HAS BEGUN.

2024-01-02 21:14:42

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Price is irrelevant. % ownership in the network is all that matters.

2024-01-01 16:52:46

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Me.

2024-01-01 05:22:35

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Moon

2023-12-30 21:41:03

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I think RFK Jr would do it, which is exactly why he won’t get elected.

2023-12-29 17:57:33

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Congratulations!!

2023-12-26 23:07:06

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Had never heard of you before this show. Fucking brilliant and I’m
an immediate fan of yours. Thank you so much.

2023-12-22 15:28:19

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Permissionless decentralized censorship free money.

2023-12-20 15:47:38

Hitler kills 6 million Jews. Trump kills zero Jews and puts Jews into numerous high level positions in his administration. Quite the ”echo”. Ridiculous. #note1qul…u9m2

2023-12-19 14:44:25

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100%

2023-12-19 00:26:44

Every #sat you buy and HODL, is one less sat available for the ETFs to get their hands on.

2023-12-16 14:42:33

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It’s the same as having dollars in a regular bank. ANY third party can deny you access to “your” funds, unless you hold your own private bitcoin keys.

2023-12-14 20:41:34

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For bitcoin
+ halving slowing supply growth
+ ETFs increasing demand

2023-12-14 15:00:17

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Few

2023-12-14 05:40:35

Hey @npub1tsg…htk4 where ya been?

2023-12-13 20:10:31

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Interesting. Initial thought is that is the case with land, but it seems like if there was a massive monetary premium in things like houses/buildings etc. that market values of those things would be massively higher than their cost of production, which we don’t really see (and if we did see that, it would cause building until the monetary premium was gone).

2023-12-12 05:08:53

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Yes but we need land to live on, to grow crops on, to raise animals on, to drink water from,etc. Real estate will always be much more valuable since it provides the basic necessities humans need for life, which bitcoin can’t provide.
I look at bitcoin as digital gold “at a minimum”, which in of itself makes its $500k/btc + though.

2023-12-12 02:40:21

#Bitcoin gives zero fucks about what statists like Senator Warren have to say.

2023-12-11 03:37:46

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Have watched it 20 years in a row on Xmas eve. Greatest Xmas movie ever.

2023-12-11 01:50:53

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Whoever the Fuck Jimmy Wales is, all I gotta say is he is NGMI.

2023-12-10 16:55:44

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I like the idea of pushing decision making and tax policy down to the local and state level, with everything except the national defense, but having a strong national judiciary to protect individuals from those things you mentioned.

2023-12-10 16:17:12

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The pharma part of the military-pharmaceutical-industrial complex.

2023-12-10 16:05:52

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X, the “free speech” platform. Right.

2023-12-08 04:09:47

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There is no spoon

2023-12-07 02:22:16

This from a company that paid out $40B in fines from fraud and scams in the last two decades.
#BoycottJPM
With 5% Fed Funds they are still paying 0% on their checking accounts and screwing those who can least afford to pay with punitive fees for holding $ with them. F them.
#BitcoinFixesThis
#Bitcoin https://image.nostr.build/26fc98e0b626cdd614907e2a11c13a8ff50dddc50e0d29251d40673d6c43b079.jpg

2023-12-06 02:11:49

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You need scarcity/programmed supply for the censorship resistance to matter though. Who cares if you can send value to someone w/o permission if that value can be obliterated in an instant.

2023-11-24 18:31:42

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I’m sorry but this is ridiculous. There is something called the law of large numbers.
There is a massive difference between going from $1k to $20k and from $50k to $1M.
$5k-$20k is less $400B which is not large.
$50k-$1M is $19 $TRILLION! That is a market cap increase almost the size of the US GDP! And it may happen in days or weeks?
This is by far your most irresponsible prediction.

2023-11-03 15:07:33

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Pathetic

2023-10-24 12:11:04

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If the 2021-2025 cycle will likely bring in large institutions., what about the 2025-2029 cycle-commercial banks? Then Central Banks in the 2029-2033 cycle?

2023-09-23 15:36:32

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The Omen with Gregory Peck

2023-09-05 13:33:06

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Can they name one elite who thinks of Biden as the second coming of FDR or was that part just made up to get clicks?

2023-08-20 23:31:03

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Startpage vs DuckDuckGo?
Have been using the latter for years.

2023-08-17 23:14:18

You know when you have been through a few cycles when you LOVE IT when the bitcoin price goes down not up!

2023-08-15 13:19:52

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Damus

2023-08-15 03:00:26

I’m technically challenged.
I haven’t been able to zap anyone lately. If I go to someone’s profile page and try to zap, it defaults to CashApp, where i have no bitcoin. All my zappable bitcoin is in my Wallet of Satoshi @npub1hcw…h9rq
Help!
As I mentioned before, I’m technically challenged.

2023-08-14 02:05:00

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Wow. So I guess he is pro bitcoin since he is libertarian?

2023-08-08 13:32:24

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So if you had the chance to murder Adolph Hitler in 1939 knowing his plans for the destruction of Europe/Russia and mass murder of the Jews, and you knew the likelihood of him being able to do it, you wouldn’t murder Hitler because you don’t know the future for sure and your worldview/religion that says murdering people is “always” wrong?

2023-08-07 22:45:31

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Too many people think this so probably not. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a six figure price in 2025 though.

2023-08-07 04:25:31

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It is not that simple. You can make a strong case that if the US had not murdered 100k civilians in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, the Japanese would not have surrendered, which would have necessitated a ground war in Japan for the Allies to win the war, that would have no doubt resulted in the death of millions of Japanese citizens.

2023-07-30 02:17:40

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Thanks. Whatever happened, that one experience made me not ever want to use Muun again.

2023-07-29 23:28:47

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I’m trying to figure out how I zapped someone 3000 sats and got charged an 8000 sats fee through Muun. WTF.

2023-07-23 16:31:59

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Same thing with a house. If it burns down and you have no insurance, you still owe the mortgage. If you had not yet saved enough in bitcoin at the time of the fire, you are screwed, and that is why it is logical for many to buy home insurance.

2023-07-23 16:11:57

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Yes, in most cases people would be better off if they self insured through bitcoin. But sometimes people can’t do that and buying insurance is logical.

2023-07-08 14:27:05

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“Im going to be honest with you here”….
Really, you have to tell me your next words are going to honest?
Should I assume then if you don’t start with that statement there is a higher probability of the statement not being honest?

2023-07-08 02:35:36

Who is Satoshi Nakamoto @npub1tsg…htk4 ?

2023-07-05 01:25:23

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Absolutely there is still flexibility as we age, my only point is that plasticity on the whole declines from childhood, and “in general” it is true that it is harder to teach an old dog new tricks.

2023-07-05 00:51:15

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Depends on the person. Generally I use the analogy of gold, and how money used to represent the energy to produce gold (i.e. the labor involved in gold mining). I explain to them that once this link was fully severed in 1971, those close to the fiat printing press have accumulated wealth at the expense of those furthest away from it. Bitcoin is not just created by pressing a button, as todays currencies are, but are created through energy, and one needs to show they have “worked” to mine it or they have had to pay someone else to get it. I also explain that bitcoin is superior to gold backed money as there, unlike gold, is a verifiable supply of it and it can be passed censorship free without permission to anyone in the world with an internet connection virtually cost less and which clears in just a few minutes.
Most of my friends are in their 40s and 50s and they only know the world of fiat. It is hard to change their minds as our brains get less plastic as one gets older. But this explanation often works.

2023-06-27 21:09:06

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Time to take a bite of Apples $3T market cap.
Hey #[3] should Jack Dorsey at Square create a phone to compete with the iPhone?

2023-03-14 01:11:15

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https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ONvg9SbauMg
More than 10 minutes but the best one ever IMO

2023-02-21 20:32:40

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Zapped you a sat for each KG

2023-02-20 21:48:04

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Zapped

2023-02-20 02:37:12

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Yes. Before Nostr I had not used lightning even once, but since I joined Nostr I have zapped dozens of people after seeing posts I liked.