'Real damage' incoming: Recession probability' extremely elevated / is on Nostr

Bank credit contraction, economic slowdown, recession outlook, declining credit ratings, CRE finance industry outlook for 2024, US credit recovery, relaxation of countercyclical measures and their impact on banks, central banks, credit bubble

Last Notes

2024-09-02 01:36:25

US Steel Industry Leaders Optimistic for 2025 Amid Economic Recovery
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#newstr #SteelIndustry #UsEconomy #Infrastructure #NipponSteel #UsSteel #BidenAdministration #MarketOutlook #TradeIssues #PresidentialElection #ConsumerSpending
https://here.news/story/be35213b?ver=0.45

2024-07-19 22:14:14

US Firms' Confidence Improves Amid Rebound in Steel Industry Sentiment
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#newstr #UsFirms #Confidence #Manufacturing #Services #Inflation #CorporateConfidence #SmallBusinessSentiment #SteelIndustrySentiment #MarketTrends
https://here.news/story/be35213b?ver=0.44

2024-07-11 21:00:38

Small and Midsize Businesses Remain Optimistic Despite Tough Economy
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Bank economists are optimistic about business credit and a soft landing for the US economy, despite concerns raised by other experts. The American Bankers Association's Credit Conditions Index rose for the third consecutive quarter, reflecting positive sentiment. However, credit quality for consumers is expected to weaken. S&P 500 companies and small businesses are also expressing confidence, driven by cooling inflation and rate cut expectations. The outlook for the US economy remains uncertain, with the coming months crucial in determining its trajectory. #economy #optimism #credit #recession #business #smallbusiness...
#newstr #Banking #Economy #CreditConditions #SoftLanding #Recession #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CorporateConfidence #SmallBusinessSentiment #Inflation
https://here.news/story/be35213b?ver=0.42

2024-07-10 12:57:23

Small and Midsize Businesses Remain Optimistic Despite Tough Economy
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Bank economists express increased optimism about business credit and a soft landing for the US economy, despite concerns raised by other experts. The American Bankers Association's Credit Conditions Index rose for the third consecutive quarter, reflecting positive sentiment. However, credit quality for consumers is expected to weaken. S&P 500 companies and small businesses also show rising confidence, driven by cooling inflation and rate cut expectations. The outlook for the US economy remains uncertain, with the coming months crucial in determining its trajectory. #economy #optimism #businesscredit #softlanding #recessionrisk...
#newstr #SmallBusinesses #MidsizeCompanies #Economy #Survey
https://here.news/story/be35213b?ver=0.41

2024-07-09 21:59:38

Bank Economists Express Optimism as Corporate Confidence and Small Business Sentiment Rebound
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Bank economists express optimism as corporate confidence and small business sentiment rebound, according to the American Bankers Association. The Credit Conditions Index rose for the third consecutive quarter, indicating increased optimism about business credit and a soft landing for the US economy. However, concerns about credit quality for consumers and indicators of a potential recession persist. Meanwhile, sentiment among S&P 500 companies hits an all-time high, and small business optimism rebounds. The outlook for the US economy remains uncertain, with contrasting perspectives on future prospects. #economy #optimism #businesscredit #softlanding #recession...
#newstr #Banking #Economy #CreditConditions #SoftLanding #Recession #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CorporateConfidence #SmallBusinessSentiment #Inflation
https://here.news/story/be35213b?ver=0.39

2024-07-09 19:00:25

Bank Economists Express Optimism as Corporate Confidence and Small Business Sentiment Rebound
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#be35213b ver:0.38
Bank economists express optimism as corporate confidence and small business sentiment rebound, according to the American Bankers Association. The Credit Conditions Index rose for the third consecutive quarter, indicating increased optimism about business credit and a soft landing for the US economy. However, concerns about credit quality for consumers and other economic indicators persist. Meanwhile, sentiment among S&P 500 companies hit an all-time high, and small business optimism rebounded. The outlook for the US economy remains uncertain, with differing perspectives on the likelihood of a recession. #economy #optimism #businesscredit #softlanding #recession...
#newstr #Banking #Economy #CreditConditions #SoftLanding #Recession #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CorporateConfidence #SmallBusinessSentiment #Inflation
https://here.news/story/be35213b?ver=0.38

2024-06-25 16:03:31

Bankers Express Optimism About Soft Landing for US Economy
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Bank economists express optimism for a soft landing of the US economy, according to the American Bankers Association. The Credit Conditions Index rose for the third consecutive quarter, indicating increased optimism about business credit. However, concerns remain about credit quality for consumers and indicators of a potential recession. The outlook for the economy remains uncertain, with the possibility of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. #US economy #softlanding #optimism #creditconditionsindex #recessionrisk...
#newstr #Bankers #Optimism #SoftLanding #Economy #CreditConditions #BusinessCredit #UsEconomy #AmericanBankersAssociation #CreditConditionsIndex #Recession #FederalReserve #InterestRates
https://here.news/story/be35213b?ver=0.37

2024-06-14 22:54:11

Top Economist Warns Fed's Rate-Cutting Agenda Could Spark US Recession
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Top economist warns that the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting agenda could spark a US recession. Bank credit is contracting, indicating companies are borrowing less due to higher interest rates. Other indicators like declining economic activity and rising delinquency rates raise concerns about the economic outlook. Despite this, there are signs of a recovery in US bank credit. The economy is facing uncertainty, with predictions of a recession due to inflation and rising rent and house prices. Rising unemployment in 21 states also signals a recession. Democrats are worried about the impact of high interest rates on housing. Economist Lawrence Summers warns of a big mortgage rate increase under Trump's policies. Mohamed El-Erian estimates a 35% chance of a recession due to the Fed's rate cuts. #economy #recession #interestrates #inflation...
#newstr #Recession #Unemployment #Economy #Inflation #Inequality #Stocks #HousePrices #ConsumerFrustration #UnemploymentReportPoliticization #InterestRates #Democrats #MonetaryPolicy #RateCuts #DonaldTrump'sEconomicPoliciesAndTheirPotentialImpactOnMortgageRates
https://here.news/story/be35213b?ver=0.36

2024-05-14 06:58:00

US Economy Faces Uncertainty as $2.1 Trillion in Savings Leave Banks Amid Recession Predictions
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The US economy faces uncertainty as $2.1 trillion in savings leave banks amid recession predictions. Bank credit is contracting, indicating companies are borrowing less due to higher interest rates. Experts warn of increased economic uncertainty and a higher chance of recession. Other indicators, such as declining economic activity and tightening underwriting standards, raise concerns about a potential economic slowdown. Lenders anticipate rate cuts and express concern about loan losses and bankruptcies. Despite some optimism in the CRE finance industry, concerns remain about rate cuts, inflation, and slower GDP growth. Recovery in bank credit provides hope, but economists warn of a potential recession and the need to reduce spending. The US economy must address inflation, job concerns, and rising rent and house prices to ensure stability. #US #economy #recession #bankcredit #interestrates #economicindicators #lending #savings #inflation #jobs #Bidenadministration...
#newstr #UsEconomy #Recession #Inflation #Jobs #Rent #HousePrices #Debt #Banks #CreditCardDebt #Savings
https://here.news/story/be35213b?ver=0.2

2024-04-29 23:00:28

US Economy Already in Recession, Following China's Path of Debt Reliance
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The US economy is already in a recession, following China's path of debt reliance. Bank credit is contracting, indicating companies are borrowing less due to higher interest rates. Wall Street experts warn of increased economic uncertainty and a higher chance of recession. Other indicators, such as declining economic activity and tightening underwriting standards, point to a potential economic slowdown. Lenders anticipate rate cuts and express concern about loan losses and bankruptcies. Despite concerns, the CRE finance industry remains optimistic. Recovery in bank credit provides hope, but the US economy needs to reduce spending to allow the private sector to drive growth. #US #economy #recession #debt #interestrates #bankcredit #economicindicators #lending #sentiment #optimism...
#newstr #UsEconomy #Recession #Debt #JobMarket #Layoffs
https://here.news/story/be35213b?ver=0.17