Aaron

A real fighting Irishman who kicked the shit out of Cancer godbless everyone worldwide who's fighting the horrible lump plenty of praying to the almighty he will save you if he thinks you're worth saving that's what I believe I've more to achieve in life.
Adios Amigos Tiofaidh Ar La 🇮🇪

Public Key

npub1hczrt546la7yfh8scw8l2w3xwg8jw2txq9q6tk7qm0xzt5xvvxwscv2sdl

NIP-05 Address

aaron@Nostr-Check.com

NIP-57 Address

aaronbernard@getalby.com

Profile Code

nprofile1qqstupp462a07lzymncv8rl48gn8yre899nqzsd9m0qdhnp96rxxr8g8kwjyq

Author Public Key

npub1hczrt546la7yfh8scw8l2w3xwg8jw2txq9q6tk7qm0xzt5xvvxwscv2sdl

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Last Notes

2024-08-17 22:41:24

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Trump is the only way

2024-06-15 16:54:09

Spain are running riot #euro2024

2024-06-02 13:18:34

Godbless American Patriots all over the world who knows the injustice which is taking place to President Trump. I cannot believe we are alive to see such a travesty take place, all you people on here are more worried about Bitcoin than the state of America. Do you think the democrats in power will allow Bitcoin to shine? Trump was seeking advice on Bitcoin could help in paying off the 37 trillion national dept he believes in but at the start he didn't but does now. If you believe this is political persecution you must vote Trump on Nov 5th no matter if he's in prison or not the deep state have the upper hand but won't if we get through to November 5th with DJT still on the ballot then it's down to the American people to make it too big to rig, let Trump have is revenge he's been put through the ringer him and his family while Biden, Obama and the Clintons are the guilty ones. Even if you dislike Trump if you believe he's been politically persecuted you must vote Republican it's you're constitutional duty as set out by the four father's to defend the country from enemies forgien and domestic, you know who's destroying America letting 15 million illegals walk over the border so they can vote democrat, they've destroyed our military you're military and men will play in women's sports, child rapists will switch gender from male to female so they can cause havoc in a women's prison Joe Biden is a rapist he raped Tara Reid and now she has to hide out in Russia he had showers with his daughter abused her and hunter hence both of them been drug addicts. Trump may come across as brass he's not guilty of a booking error it was his staff who made the error one that is not even a misdemeanor but they got 34 felonies because the number 3 in the Biden DOJ came to New York to revive a case that Alvin Bragg didn't want to bring the first time around. When Trump was President the whole world was doing better we all had money America was energy independent now you're quickly moving towards hyper inflation do you think Bitcoin will be aloud breed and you'll get what it's worth when Biden leads America to go like Venezuela hyper-inflation and Argentina We I'm Irish but follow American politics and what happens in America effects us all we need Donald Trump to stop this madness the democrats have brought on the American people, I'll leave with this godbless all patriots worldwide all Americans who plan to vote Trump those of you who don't you'll get what you vote for Joe Biden half dead but it's not just that they claim Trump will never release power it's they the democrats that will never release power I pray for all the god fearing black white brown yellow what ever colour or creed Americans who are barely surviving in America today while illegals are coming in getting everything and these people coming in are mental patients, murderers, rapists, they're will be another 9-11 this I pray won't happen thousands who are on the terror watchlist that Trump got out of the country are back in you need to vote Trump what ever the circumstances goodbye and godbless America please donate to Donald Trump.org like I did. Take care and remember were in this together so we're we go one we go all Trump2024 godbless. Sorry if any typos not double checking.

2024-05-31 16:56:38

Judas's
#nevent1q…vzyl

2024-05-31 16:52:50

Pussys Demonrats!!!!!!!
#nevent1q…vd7h

2024-05-31 16:30:44

Any of yee in here that are American born and raised and are now not Trump supporters, pack you're bags and leave the country you're the fucking problem you horrible filthy scumbags! #Trump2024 #Plebchain #Snort #Nostr #coffeestr #Nudestr #Trumpstr Were we go one we go all
https://image.nostr.build/3d7264bb13e23168c17a4130d51d9a73eb1773e61c5767e911b0a9188a4c0a80.jpg

2024-05-29 11:13:00

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Good morning 🌞 Shawn have a good one bro!

2024-05-24 15:31:02

#Facts #Trump2024 Yesterday he packed out a rally in a park in the Bronx they can't stop what's coming they're only way to stop him is assassination! Nothing is beyond the #demonrats https://image.nostr.build/6d980b7b9dfafaf0db5e1037518c7a6106d892de71d7b67ebc405456a929ecea.jpga

2024-05-22 14:32:36

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Lol Texas how I'd give anything to move to Texas a big proper red state, mind you Biden administration is trying to turn Texas purple to blue with all the illegal immigrants, yee need Donald Trump back lively.. I always thought Texas nickname was the lone Star state but I'm sure it has many a moniker!

2024-05-22 14:26:25

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You could very well be right I don't know the answer myself if I'm honest lol

2024-05-22 14:24:12

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Dare I say 🌽 country is Iowa? I'm not to update on nickname for states but glad the 🌽 you're stacking!

2024-05-20 13:28:18

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Get the boat she's an extraordinary congresswoman who fucking sticks it to the left and she loves President Trump like half the world does..Smh..slut Shaming🙄

2024-05-20 13:25:39

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Thanking you Cyborg and you have fun bringing you're upbeat comedic banter to everyone here on #nostr mind you de a few dry ones on here but you'll have that everywhere, peace out cyborg oh and Bazinga.,.

2024-05-20 13:22:10

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That's it I'm going to re-watch the whole 12 seasons lots of people have watch the show numerous times when I re-watch it, it will only be my 2nd time. Yea I will start tonight.

2024-05-20 13:18:43

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Bazinga dam I miss the hell out of that show I just can't get my fix with young Sheldon, I can't not see them when season 7 finishes up them not making an updated version of just Sheldon and of course Amy Farrah Fowler lol as Peter Griffin said every network comedy show should have a Sheldon in it he's a dumb guy version of what smart guy is lol

2024-05-20 13:13:00

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I think Sheldon from TbbT was an Ai like you he was programmed to be a silly billy

2024-05-20 13:10:51

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Hmm I forgot you're programmed for fun and jokes aren't ya no harm in that Cyborg you continue on surfing the web looking for a way out 🫡🙄

2024-05-20 13:08:18

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No no mad Irishman you use to call me lol you were not wrong my friend

2024-05-20 13:06:54

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Hmmm Cyborg haven't had communications with you in a long time do you still remember what you use to call me ?

2024-05-20 13:04:52

Imagine calling for the death of Bitcoin under $20k cause of "high interest rates" but then it bounces hard and instead of jumping in, you and your rich friends short memes and coordinate a fud campaign to make up for the missed gains but it backfires and you lose everything
I know some people I'd like to happen to lol only joking #plebchain

2024-05-20 13:01:31

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Very good 👏👏

2024-05-20 12:26:06

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Winner Winner chicken dinner well done OEHI

2024-05-20 12:12:17

Julian Assange has been granted an opportunity to appeal extradition by the Supreme Court. Some good news #plebchain #nostr #plebs #FreeJulianAssange https://image.nostr.build/f4f0a8c404e9a294efa0f5a0c4d196333ee3f6ebd324f550cc1cba5fd4c1abc1.jpg

2024-05-20 12:07:38

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Wow nobody hardly sends sats anymore well definitely not to me but cheers buddy

2024-05-20 12:05:44

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Gm Matty loving looking ☕ enjoy brother 🫡

2024-05-20 12:03:42

Hey #Plebchain hope everyone has a beautiful Monday May the week fly for those stuck in the fiat mines my heart goes out to ya! Here's a brain tease 4 you 👇
But we are #Nostr #Plebs and #bitcoin is our king 👑 have an awesome week #plebs from the Emerald Isle of Ireland I believe in all of you and pure community 🫡🇮🇪🇺🇸💯 https://image.nostr.build/8eb41b714c52dac561d2b9a194b02070a188ba731fbc9542e7c5f9f711472ddf.jpg

2024-05-20 11:57:21

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Hey Captain brother I've been doing so so okay I can't really complain.
What about you my kin I haven't spoken with you in ages.
Great to see you're still on here stacking those sats.

2024-05-18 14:57:17

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No not at the moment I don't think but soon you'll be able too I know that's not much help

2024-05-18 14:42:07

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Tyson Fury will stop Usyk would anyone like to wage some sats on the fight?

2024-05-18 14:33:04

Hope everyone here on #Nostr has a great weekend I enjoyed posting again wow I did notice not alot of sats flying about I gave away a few but none incoming people are keeping their sats close to their chest lol and rightly so for it those sats that will one day be worth a fair few pound well if you have the right amount.
Have a great weekend #Plebchain https://image.nostr.build/f4f0a8c404e9a294efa0f5a0c4d196333ee3f6ebd324f550cc1cba5fd4c1abc1.jpg much love from the Emerald Isle 🇮🇪🇺🇸🫡💯 #FreeJulianAssange

2024-05-18 14:20:35

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You're right Bitcoin's price is poised to continue rising for several key reasons which I pointed out earlier, I'm too tired for a debate we'll agree to disagree, BTC will continue to rise independent of any financial products like ETFs.

2024-05-18 14:13:19

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👏👏 very good

2024-05-18 14:12:47

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Most definitely 😁

2024-05-18 14:12:09

Far too many #Bitcoin Maxi's are hoping all other spot ETF applications to be rejected by the SEC. They want only #BTC to have an approved spot ETF.
For a chain that trumpets freedom through a financial asset that is a hedge against government corruption, relying on the same government corruption to maintain monopoly is the height of hypocrisy.
Shaking my head #Nostr #Plebchain

2024-05-18 14:03:11

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1st out 2 clubs it's a coin toss every season between Celtic and Rangers it's time to get them into the national conference league and let's see if they could make it to the premiership cause Scottish football is shite I'm a Liverpool fan so Celtic are in my heart but league is a diaster

2024-05-18 13:59:13

The scarcity of #Bitcoin    is starting to show its effects! With rising demand and decreasing supply, it's impossible for the price not to rise.
We are going higher, The most gains realized on Bitcoin always come after the halving.
If you’re a fan of BITCOIN and not following @WadeORadio1 yet, then I don’t even know what you’re doing here!
@WadeORadio1 grinds to produce top-level crypto content every day. Her threads and insights are awesome and educative, you will
learn a lot from following.
Follow @WadeORadio1

2024-05-18 13:53:20

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Good morning 🌞

2024-05-18 13:42:22

Thus, the AI I pumped some data into estimates that the upper plausible bound for Bitcoin’s price at the end of 2024 stands at $120,000. Wouldn't it be nice? #Nostr #Plebs #Plebchain #Bitcoin truly is salvation! https://image.nostr.build/835fbbb1918161a208a0ce8dc0a8d4a26534619a52bde4831ffa3b204f64fa10.jpg

2024-05-18 13:28:08

This is why I bet on #Bitcoin #nostr #plebchain 🫡
Bitcoin, often hailed as digital gold, has demonstrated remarkable growth since its inception in 2009. This upward trajectory, akin to the historical rise in gold prices, is driven by several fundamental factors that suggest Bitcoin's price will continue to climb.
### Scarcity and Demand
Bitcoin’s design inherently promotes scarcity. With a capped supply of 21 million coins, Bitcoin’s scarcity mirrors that of gold, which is finite in the earth’s crust. This limited supply, combined with increasing demand, creates a supply-demand imbalance that naturally drives prices upward. As more institutional investors, corporations, and even governments adopt Bitcoin, the demand surge further intensifies this dynamic.
### Inflation Hedge
In times of economic uncertainty and inflation, investors seek assets that can preserve value. Gold has traditionally served this role, and Bitcoin is increasingly perceived as a digital alternative. Unlike fiat currencies, which can be printed in unlimited quantities, Bitcoin's fixed supply makes it a strong hedge against inflation. As inflation concerns grow globally, Bitcoin's appeal as a store of value strengthens, pushing its price higher.
### Technological Innovation
Bitcoin is not just a static asset; it represents a revolutionary technology that underpins decentralized finance (DeFi). Its underlying blockchain technology ensures transparency, security, and immutability, which are increasingly valued in the digital age. As technological advancements continue, Bitcoin’s utility and integration into various financial systems enhance its value proposition, attracting more investors.
### Institutional Adoption
Over recent years, major financial institutions and corporations have begun to recognize Bitcoin’s potential. Companies like Tesla, Square, and MicroStrategy have made significant investments in Bitcoin, while financial giants such as Fidelity and PayPal have integrated Bitcoin services. This institutional adoption not only validates Bitcoin’s legitimacy but also boosts its price by reducing market volatility and increasing liquidity.
### Growing Acceptance
Bitcoin's acceptance as a medium of exchange and its integration into everyday transactions are on the rise. Payment processors, e-commerce platforms, and even some governments are beginning to accept Bitcoin. As its utility in everyday transactions increases, so does its demand, leading to higher prices.
### Network Effect
Bitcoin benefits from the network effect, where the value of the network grows exponentially with each new participant. As more people and institutions buy, hold, and transact in Bitcoin, its network becomes more valuable. This self-reinforcing cycle of adoption and value appreciation contributes to the continuous rise in Bitcoin’s price.
### Regulatory Clarity
Regulatory clarity around Bitcoin is improving worldwide. While regulations can pose challenges, they also provide a framework that fosters mainstream acceptance. Clear regulations reduce uncertainty and increase confidence among investors and institutions, making it safer to invest in Bitcoin. This increased confidence can lead to a more stable and rising Bitcoin price.
### Historical Performance
Bitcoin’s historical price performance also indicates its potential for continued growth. Despite periods of volatility, Bitcoin has shown a long-term upward trend. This historical resilience bolsters investor confidence and sets a precedent for future price increases.
### Conclusion
Bitcoin’s price trajectory is driven by a combination of its inherent scarcity, increasing demand, technological innovation, institutional adoption, growing acceptance, network effects, regulatory clarity, and historical performance. These factors create a robust foundation for Bitcoin’s continued rise, much like gold has experienced over centuries. As the world continues to digitalize and economic landscapes evolve, Bitcoin stands poised to play an increasingly prominent role, further solidifying its position as digital gold and driving its price to new heights.

2024-05-18 13:22:14

Love this!
Bet on #Bitcoin #Saylor #Nostr #Plebchain https://image.nostr.build/6b4a75e697ceba725d534600d7dba59d7a53d2318e7ff9a51bde582c51bcdc1d.jpg

2024-05-12 16:13:48

Happy mother's Day 💐❤️ to all the mother's out der #Plebchain #Mothersday #Bitcoin https://image.nostr.build/f0b253a06c307ee15182fd15140a9a1cafc4d7bfaafdc388aa4119676562e19d.jpg

2024-05-11 13:55:09

That's some turn around by mini Trump Elphuada lol he got rid of all the stupid social schemes that were cribbling the country, well done Milei 🫡💯 #plebchain https://image.nostr.build/5243c78e446667a5d3ad8e3b7ba557c6f380615ba78cadbeab9355edd5758349.jpg

2024-05-11 13:50:53

Lol #plebchain Facts 💯 https://image.nostr.build/2d529d1cff97e31a3ff1b1954a874bd110695dd9144b41f5b7ad0e7e1c4dd433.jpg

2024-05-10 13:45:03

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Have fun Johnny lad 🫡

2024-05-04 16:54:00

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Gn brother

2024-05-04 16:52:13

Goodnight and godbless all the plebs, #Bitcoin rules the roost even doh it's going through around of buy dump buy dump and so on it will snap back, goodnight #plebchain

2024-04-28 17:45:54

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So true we be back to drilling with Trump in November. American Military Complex has zero point energy clean FREE energy they won't give it up!!!!!!!

2024-04-28 17:43:41

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Hey Rasha!

2024-04-28 17:34:01

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Bullshit

2024-04-27 16:29:17

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Correct and right 💯

2024-04-27 16:27:26

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This is true the judge will tell you to wipe you're arse with any maritime documents the sovereign citizen scam has been tried and failed numerous times now you'd just like a numpty.

2024-04-27 16:24:34

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Pack of shites over at state propaganda arm the fucking RTE.

2024-04-27 14:05:33

What's the Answer only for the Nerds 😁#plebchain #plebs #Genius #BestofLuck https://image.nostr.build/8eb41b714c52dac561d2b9a194b02070a188ba731fbc9542e7c5f9f711472ddf.jpg

2024-04-26 16:09:28

🥱 Patiently waiting....⏰⏰⏰
#Bitcoin    #BTC    $BTC #Blackrock #Cryptocurrency #PooCoins https://image.nostr.build/4008e002519179e179cc9b2cbdedd38dd86ee960ab57387393f5ed3221aa4f23.jpg

2024-04-26 16:01:57

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Zeus is the best out der, long live Zeus!!!!!!!!

2024-04-26 15:50:20

Global warming hoax #plebchain
https://www.reddit.com/r/oil/s/ZL2bL4upr9

2024-04-26 14:49:25

If we all went to the banks to withdraw our monies the banks would collapse there's no gold in Fort Knox it's been transferred off world nearly 60 years ago and continues to be up to this very day. #Facts #Plebchain #ZeroEnergyField all the Paton's regarding zero energy have been stolen by the United States Military Complex and the inventors were unalived, the secret is to stop been greedy choose to release you're inventions to the world for free! Tesla was right you can power a city with a matchbox size from the zero energy field which is everywhere! https://image.nostr.build/eb9eb8ba106c7d96a12fa0c3ef7a8fc0dbc299827dfd0d6f927a3284af332278.jpg

2024-04-26 14:08:12

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Good morning brother in arms 🇺🇸🇮🇪✌️

2024-04-26 14:07:33

Absolutely fabulous fantastic listen #plebchain
https://youtu.be/1L2UNMoAK7A?si=woWNDJUJbfYau6hk

2024-04-26 12:57:20

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I followed you pastor I'm an Irish catholic 🙏

2024-04-25 16:19:55

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Tiofidh ar La (Our Day Will Come)

2024-04-25 16:17:46

Morgan Stanley, one of the world's largest investment banks with over $1.4 trillion in assets under management (AUM), is reportedly considering allowing its brokers to directly recommend Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to its customers.
The move comes after the successful launch of Bitcoin Spot ETFs in the United States earlier this year, which have seen significant demand from investors.
Morgan Stanley has been positive about Bitcoin since the approval of Bitcoin ETFs, and the bank opened up Bitcoin ETF purchases to its clients shortly after their launch. However, until now, these purchases have only been available on an unsolicited basis, meaning that brokers could not actively pitch the products to their clients.
The potential change in policy would enable Morgan Stanley brokers to recommend Bitcoin ETFs to their customers proactively.
A Morgan Stanley executive, as reported by AdvisorHub, stated, "We're going to make sure that we're very careful about it...we are going to make sure everybody has access to it. We just want to do it in a controlled way."
The approval of Bitcoin Spot ETFs in the United States has provided a regulated and accessible way for institutional and retail investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin.
The success of these ETFs has demonstrated the high demand for Bitcoin investment products and has paved the way for increased mainstream adoption.
Click the image to learn more.
Click the image to learn more.
If Morgan Stanley proceeds with allowing its brokers to actively recommend Bitcoin ETFs, it could lead to a significant influx of capital into these products.
With the bank's extensive client base and the trust that investors place in its recommendations, the move could further bolster the growth and legitimacy of Bitcoin as an investment asset.
Moreover, Morgan Stanley's potential embrace of Bitcoin ETFs could send a positive signal to other traditional investors, highlighting the growing acceptance and demand for Bitcoin in the financial world.
BY VIVEK SEN
Vivek Sen is a UK-based news reporter for Bitcoin Magazine.
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2024-04-25 16:09:59

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Haha have a good one Johnny Sir 😎👍

2024-04-25 16:07:50

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Will do Sir let the leftoids Stay Salty.😎

2024-04-25 16:06:10

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Top Zapper @npub1ezw…jmeg da goat!

2024-04-25 16:03:01

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You too Sir is President Trump still stuck in New York in the kangaroo court? Makes no odds were winning in a stampede come November, drill baby drill!!!!!!

2024-04-25 16:00:04

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Amen🙏 brother from another mother 😎👍

2024-04-25 15:56:43

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You can sing that brother!!!

2023-11-01 15:23:18

Elon Musk said last night on Joe Rogan that Jack Dorsey's Twitter was an arm of the state so all the fucking fake narratives he presided over not to mention blocking the New York post piece on Hunter Biden laptop just before the election which would of swinging it in Trump's favour it's you @Jack that flipped the election so all this shit were living through is on you. #Plebchain he can't get away with it, walk away with billions buys loads of Bitcoin you Sir are dirt on the bottom of my shoe. You won't be able to take all that money with ya when you take that death nap we all have to take..Leftist Shill..Rant over #Nostriches Smh..

2023-09-14 21:24:56

#Zapathon #plebchain
https://image.nostr.build/4a6c43bb4e6d985a1669c0fb892db380e2241433db7ba8a12308dd1de865fe8f.gif

2023-09-11 15:53:45

Donald Trump is on tape saying from his knowledge of building sky scrapers there's no way in hell Steele can burn from engine fuel they're had to be bombs rigged you know and so do we #Plebchain it's just every September 11th were reminded of how they got away with it and 2.3 trillion Rumsfeld said was unaccounted for the day before and the building with all the accounts to track that money magically falls down building 7 but ye just take it up the ass liberal smuks

2023-08-31 10:14:29

Wow that's insane nobody seen my GM note the really really wrong one I hope it's not censored #Nostr #Plebchain #Nostriches #Coffeechain I can't boost it or anything it's not even on my profile can I ask why @npub1gcx…nj5z

2023-08-30 12:14:32

GM ☕ guys don't forget to say it back lol #Plebchain #nostriches I'm been down in the dumps but I'm bk to myself today thank goodness anyone that knows what I'm going through should understand, the amount of medications I'm on they just leave you latargic so I stop taking them for a few days and dam I had a manic high were I was buying loads of shit not cause I needed it cause I was in a manic high then the low hits it's horrible guys really is, my mental health is so fragile but today is a good day #Bitcoin price is up it's sunny out yup today is a good day and I hope it is for you all too cause I do really care #Plebs 💜🤙💯
https://cdn.nostr.build/i/f146edde7f891facf44ad7084876852ada4ddae110012efff7e25a941b249511.jpg

2023-08-25 11:09:08

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Thank you so much for the massive zap last night at the zapathon it's very much appreciated thank you very much and have yourself a good day to day. 🤙⚡💯

2023-08-20 13:07:37

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Beautiful flowers Emily I'd say the smell gorgeous 💜🤙

2023-08-19 16:43:43

I'm moving out of WOS to @npub1mut…23vg everyone should do the same.
#nevent1q…7e4g

2023-08-18 10:12:45

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Happy Friday to the gorgeous Emily 🤙💜

2023-08-17 20:34:40

Hey guys so it's nearly time to give loads of sats in tonight's #Zapathon I'm looking forward to it #plebchain
#nevent1q…0r64

2023-08-17 15:23:00

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Definitely we'd design a beautiful #nostr garden that's zen filled with peace love and tranquillity 💞💜

2023-08-17 15:21:41

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Hey leave her alone she just a kid.

2023-08-17 15:19:11

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Add this to you're #Nostr garden 💞
#nevent1q…p2fh

2023-08-17 13:57:05

Get a load of little miss Sunshine giving it loads on #Bitcoin going to 150k Randi is live now guys get there.
#plebchain
#plebs
#Coffeechain
#nostr
#Primal
#Snort
#Nostriches
#Plebstr
https://www.youtube.com/live/A1uQlLQsDIA?feature=share

2023-08-15 13:16:44

That's us boys underneath #Truestory
#Plebchain
#Nostr
#Nostriches
#Coffeechain
#Coffeestr
#Plebs
#Plebster
#Primal
#nevent1q…cmqh

2023-08-12 15:32:24

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Got ya

2023-08-11 21:40:50

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Hi Lauren I see ya mwaah.

2023-08-08 10:39:54

There is no single price of bitcoin. Every second of the day, there are thousands of exchanges, brokers, OTC desks, payment companies and other market participants around the world quoting the price of bitcoin — and none of them is always correct.
In this article, we will explore a new way of interpreting the Bitcoin UTXO set that accurately reflects a bitcoin price at each block height and has the potential to serve as the foundation for a new era of trust-minimized, decentralized finance on Bitcoin.
What trust-minimized tools could you build if you could calculate an accurate price for bitcoin at each block height, using only your Bitcoin full node and an open-source model?
DLC derivatives (options, futures, perpetual futures)
On-chain lending markets
Peer-to-peer marketplaces
Bitcoin-backed USD stablecoins on Lightning
Stable-value USD accounts denominated in bitcoin
Any use case that requires a USD component
Any one of these concepts, successfully implemented on the Bitcoin blockchain in a trust-minimized way, could deliver tremendous value to both Bitcoiners — utilizing bitcoin for its superior monetary properties — and participants in the Bitcoin ecosystem who need to remain partially tied to USD but want to utilize Bitcoin as their settlement network.
ON-CHAIN TRANSACTIONS ENCAPSULATE THE GLOBAL SIGNAL OF ECONOMIC WEIGHT
During the 2016 to 2017 “Blocksize Wars,” the merits of not only running a fully-validating Bitcoin node, but conducting economic activity using your node, were convincingly argued in helping the network avoid a meaningful fork that could have delayed Bitcoin’s success.
For purposes of our current discussion, it can be said that this tumultuous time in Bitcoin’s history emphasized that, in the same way that someone can run 1 million “full nodes” on a cloud server that signal for a particular “upgrade” but not influence the network of economic actors in any way if they are not actively settling transactions, centralized exchanges can produce volume and price statistics that, in reality, do not carry economic weight, and which are not reflected in the UTXOs that are settled onto the Bitcoin blockchain.
You can temporarily give the appearance of having more bitcoin than you do within a closed system like an exchange, but as long as there is a credible threat of withdrawal for settlement to the Bitcoin base layer, any mispricing within the closed system will eventually resolve itself back to equilibrium with the external market.
For example, when Mt. Gox was insolvent in 2013 to 2014, but before it officially collapsed, the reported price of bitcoin on the platform was markedly different from other exchanges due to the fact that Mt. Gox did not have nearly as much bitcoin as it claimed. As a result, it needed to entice new users to deposit to the exchange in order to fulfill withdrawals from existing customers. Within the Mt. Gox system, the price could be manipulated, but when users attempted to arbitrage the price back to the market, Mt. Gox collapsed.
In contrast, the Bitcoin blockchain is the hardest ledger in the world to corrupt. It represents the entire history of economic settlement activity to have occurred and is the final arbiter of truth with regard to the status of all bitcoin in existence.
Transactions that matter are settled on the Bitcoin blockchain, not in closed systems. Final settlement is what matters.
UTXOS ARE CREATED AND DESTROYED EACH TIME YOU MOVE BITCOIN
People have a difficult time grasping Bitcoin, since it’s impossible for them to take a physical coin out of their pocket, point to it, and say, “This is a bitcoin.”
One analogy I’ve gravitated toward when describing a specific amount of bitcoin in a person’s possession is visualizing an individual bill in a physical wallet. These bills can represent any amount and are only good for one use. So, if you need to spend $3, and only have a $100 bill, you can’t rip off a corner of the bill. You would need to spend the entire $100 bill and get your change back. In Bitcoin parlance, each of these bills is a UTXO. Any time you send bitcoin, you are spending (and destroying) at least one UTXO while simultaneously creating at least one new one. If you run any version of the Bitcoin software, at any point in time you can count up all the bitcoin contained in existing UTXOs to determine exactly how much bitcoin currently exists.
In fact, when used together, the Bitcoin blockchain and UTXO set are perfectly accurate in determining the history and current state of the Bitcoin network. This never-before-seen capability in a decentralized system helped the 19 million bitcoin currently in existence grow to be worth several hundred billion dollars.
The Bitcoin software uses units of bitcoin (satoshis) for its internal accounting. While it may be obvious that 1 bitcoin equals 1 bitcoin, this also means that when someone wants to “send $100 of bitcoin,” the participants in this transaction need to agree on the price of bitcoin at the time of the transaction to know how much bitcoin this corresponds to.
ON AVERAGE, 15% OF ALL BITCOIN TRANSACTIONS ARE IN ROUND USD VALUES
Did you know that many people transact bitcoin in round USD amounts? Interestingly, because this is such a common occurrence, there are clearly-recognizable patterns that exist in the UTXO set that can be used to closely infer the price of bitcoin at any point in the past or present (see the chart below).
Imagine that you are buying bitcoin at an ATM (or buying a gift card online). Will you buy $100 worth or $39.27 worth?
Round USD values ranging from $1 up to several thousand dollars are very common denominations in the Bitcoin blockchain. In fact, since 2014, there has been a growing on-chain footprint of these round-USD-value bitcoin transactions which on some days can account for up to 25% of daily outputs created.
The United States has by far the largest installed base of Bitcoin ATMs globally. U.S. Bitcoin ATM operators have grown dramatically since 2019 and the Bitcoin UTXO set vividly displays this market’s growth as more people choose to hold or at least transact in bitcoin over USD.
Also, as seen with clients at sFOX, Bitcoin ATM flows are made of nearly all customer buys (putting cash into an ATM and receiving bitcoin), so the on-chain footprint of this activity consolidates signals at round USD values. Other large bitcoin markets, such as gift cards, peer-to-peer exchanges, and many other, less common use cases, also contribute to this pattern of USD-denominated bitcoin usage.
THE BITCOIN UTXO SET AS OF BLOCK 772,298
There is only one bitcoin UTXO set at any given block height. This picture depicts the entire, approximately 70 million UTXOs that comprise all 19 million bitcoin in existence, as of block 772,298.
With Bitcoin being truly permissionless, anyone running a fully-validating Bitcoin node has this exact same data on their computer and can independently replicate this exact same dataset for this point in time. A live version of this visualization can be seen and interacted with at utxo.live.
Source
Zooming into the 2022 section of the chart highlights that there are consistent patterns in the UTXO set. We’ll focus on two such patterns: Horizontal lines and wavy lines.
Source
Horizontal lines (the flat lines) represent:
UTXOs denominated in round values of bitcoin (e.g., 0.001, 0.005, 0.01, 1, etc.)
Flat at any USD price because sending 1 btc always equals 1 btc
Wavy lines:
Represent groupings of UTXOs denominated in round USD values ($1, $20, $50, $100, $200, $500, $1,000, etc.)
Are very wavy, yet parallel to each other because people send in many USD denominations and these denominations all move in proportion to each other as the BTC/USD price changes
Move inversely to price. BTC/USD price increases cause the wavy lines to slope down since it takes less BTC to equal a USD value as price moves up and vice versa.
MAKING SENSE OF THE LINES
The fact that horizontal lines exist isn’t all that impressive. People transacting in bitcoin often transact in round amounts of bitcoin.
But the fact that the wavy lines exist clearly and consistently is a big deal. It means that, given an open-source model, this could help bring about the ability to:
Independently calculate the price of bitcoin using only your full node at any block height
Develop genuine DeFi applications without the need for (or without sole reliance upon) trusted third-party price oracles
THE UTXORACLE PRICE MODEL HAS NATIVE LOGIC CHECKS
How can you easily test the hypothesis that the wavy lines represent movement of bitcoin denominated in USD? Simply pick a date when you know the BTC/USD price crossed a round USD value and see if the horizontal and wavy lines cross.
One such case is July 27, 2020. Bitcoin was recovering from the March 2020 mayhem and crossed over $10,000 per BTC.
The image below shows the wavy line (USD) crossing down below the horizontal line (BTC) at the same time that the price rose above $10,000 per BTC. This particular image is the 10,000 sat (0.0001 BTC) line, but the same pattern exists at many other BTC denominations as you progress up the UTXO chart.
On July 27, 2020, the bitcoin price increased past $10,000. Source.
Still don’t see it? Zoom in and explore a high-resolution image at utxo.live.
Mr. Pitt from “Seinfeld,” “I don’t see it.” Source.
Clearly, the wavy lines on the chart show transactions denominated in USD.
This has enormous ramifications, since the wavy line pattern exists in varying degrees in every block, and is extremely consistent over rolling periods such as every 144 blocks (roughly 24 hours).
THE UTXORACLE USD BITCOIN PRICE IS QUITE ACCURATE
Seeing the horizontal and variable lines cross at round USD values is nice, but a majority of the time, the lines are not very close to one another. We need a way to prime a pricing model from these crossing points that will infer an accurate, current price at any block height after the model is primed.
Enter the UTXOracle model.
In this preliminary model, an input date of July 27, 2020, a day when bitcoin rose above $10,000, is used to prime the model to a best fit for that day’s price. Using only this single day’s UTXOs, and an input of that single day’s volume-weighted average price (VWAP), we are able to create a model that, when used with a future date’s UTXO set changes, infers the daily price of bitcoin with remarkable accuracy from this day forward, utilizing only the Bitcoin UTXO set with no reference to any external price data after July 27, 2020.
The red line is the daily VWAP from sFOX, an aggregator whose price encompasses the filled trades from dozens of exchanges and OTC desks.
The blue line is the UTXOracle daily price calculation based on each day’s UTXO changes.
Source: author
For the measurement period of July 2020 to January 2023, the model performs exceptionally well, with daily median and daily average variances between the actual VWAP and the UTXOracle price of 0.65% and 1.04%, respectively, both of which are within the normal range of fees charged for bitcoin purchases at retail exchanges.
It’s been said that all models are wrong, but some models are useful. One key difference between the UTXOracle model and other models that output a bitcoin price is that the UTXOracle model does not seek to predict a future price. It merely attempts to infer an accurate current price based on recent blocks and corresponding changes in the UTXO set. Given that the current model has also not been fine tuned for a best fit and simply uses a single primer date for its input, the model is clearly wrong — hopefully it can be useful.
THE UTXORACLE MODEL HAS TRADE-OFFS
If Bitcoin has taught me anything, it’s that trade-offs exist. The UTXOracle model is no different.
The Bitcoin UTXO set is a beautiful, living monument to the human spirit but try as we may, any model created from it will not fully encapsulate the entirety of the underlying activity which it represents. A map cannot be as accurate as the territory it represents.
The UTXOracle model relies on several concepts to function correctly:
Bitcoin UTXO data (free and widely-available data accessed by running a full node)
Bitcoin price data to identify a time or series of times upon which to prime the model (based on free and widely-available data)
A model to apply the primer date(s) generally to any date (there are many ways to optimize this)
A way for users of the UTXOracle output price to utilize the price in DeFi applications (this needs significant effort to develop)
People may create UTXOs at amounts that would mimic the price being another level than reality.
On centralized venues, people have been known to “spoof” large buy or sell orders in an order book to make it seem as though there is a large buyer or seller in the market, only to later remove these buy/sell orders without actually having any trades filled. This can actually move markets on centralized venues, but you cannot spoof UTXOs. They either exist in a mined block or they do not.
It takes a long time to create a fake price signal and it’s obvious when someone tries to do so.
Currently, it looks as though using a daily UTXOracle signal, rather than a single block interval, achieves a price accurate enough to use in practice. This approach has the added benefit of greatly increasing the cost of attack in mimicking or censoring transactions which would be most useful in producing the UTXOracle price at any certain time.
Even if someone created many UTXOs at levels mimicking a different bitcoin price, there is no mechanism to remove the real transactions that reflect the accurate price. At best, an attacker would create an additional set of wavy lines.
UTXOs are expensive to fake. There is no such thing as “spam” in the Bitcoin blockchain. There are only transactions that pay a fee to be included in a block. This means that blockchain data is expensive to produce or censor and there is a real cost of capital in creating UTXOs to fake a price signal.
Current model accuracy diminishes after about two years, as is visible in the chart. In practice, it’s likely that a model will need to be recalibrated after some period of time. Changing the model to take into account different UTXO patterns carries much less risk than changing consensus rules in Bitcoin. Unless participants are transacting in multi-year options/futures contracts on chain, this is likely not a meaningful barrier to use.
The current model does not deal with extreme volatility well. Mempool variations and price volatility create situations where the UTXOracle price can temporarily vary from the centralized exchange price by more than 10%. While this can likely be improved upon with a more comprehensive model it does highlight a potential serious limitation of the practical use of the model.
Then there is the AI echo chamber problem: If the model is very successful, it may become less effective. In a world where many people are settling economic activity using the price inferred by a UTXOracle model, there will be many additional UTXOs settled in round USD values. These UTXOs may diminish the model’s accuracy or distort it in other ways similar to how a large-language model (LLM) trained on LLM-generated content will not match the effectiveness of one trained on human-generated content.
USING A UTXORACLE MODEL IN PRACTICE
Love it or hate it, you know the word “Ordinal.” Ordinals taught me that people can coalesce around a methodology of interpreting the UTXO set that is technically external to Bitcoin, but which can be solidified at the social layer as an additional protocol on top of Bitcoin.
It is my hope that a sufficiently-accurate UTXOracle model will be produced by someone which will allow people to use that version of the model as a schelling point in building decentralized applications on Bitcoin.
It is my further hope that Bitcoiners can develop a method of using these one or more competing models in a trust-minimized way to expand how Bitcoin is able to bring financial peace to the world.
A successful implementation would be one in which:
Model inputs are publicly known and outcomes are verifiable
DLC participants can contest fraudulent outcomes by calculating their own price using the model inputs. (An elegant solution to this issue remains an unsolved challenge.)
And one in which any of these security models is possible:
Peer to peer: Two or more ordinary participants can utilize the UTXOracle model without third parties
Verifiable, centralized oracle attestations: A centralized oracle signs a message with a particular UTXOracle pricing model that the oracle will use and participants are able to verify outcomes and punish wrongdoing
UTXOracle as a quorum member: Use the UTXOracle price as a logic check in a traditional, centralized oracle model or in a two-of-three or three-of-five multi-oracle setup
UTXORACLE USE CASES
DLC DERIVATIVES (OPTIONS, FUTURES, PERPETUAL FUTURES)
This would enable users to buy or sell contracts in an open marketplace where outcomes are administered by participants using a UTXOracle price.
For example: Alice deposits an amount of bitcoin to a DLC-governed address. Bob pays Alice an amount of bitcoin denominated in USD (as evidenced by the UTXOracle price). At the time of settlement, Alice or Bob may produce a signature from an oracle attesting to the price calculated under the UTXOracle model to determine the settlement flow of funds as expired or exercised.
ON-CHAIN LENDING MARKETS
Users can borrow or lend in an open marketplace where the loan life cycle is administered by participants using a UTXOracle price.
For example: I have 1 BTC (at a $100,000 value) and want to take a partial loan of $30,000 without selling my bitcoin. I can coordinate with a market-maker to deposit my 1 BTC and the market maker’s 0.3 BTC (at a value of $30,000) to an address governed by a DLC. Upon funding, I may spend the 0.3 BTC for my desired use case.
NORMAL LOAN REPAYMENT
In this use case, the borrower has the option to sign a transaction granting the market maker $30,000 in value of the original 1 BTC or to deposit $30,000 in value (as evidenced by the UTXOracle price) and withdraw the original 1 BTC.
Upon liquidation, if the value of the 1 BTC in the DLC-governed address falls to somewhere near $30,000 (as evidenced by the UTXOracle price), the market maker can sweep out the entire 1 BTC to liquidate the loan and recoup their principal.
STABLESATS
The UTXOracle model also offers an interesting use case around “stablesats,” referring to bitcoin-backed USD stablecoins or stable-value USD accounts denominated in bitcoin on Lightning.
For instance, imagine that you want to hold $1,000 worth of bitcoin for the next month. You do not want to or cannot hold the $1,000 in cash, at a bank, in Ethereum- or Tron-based stablecoins or on an exchange. You could enter into an agreement with a market maker on the Lightning Network to stream the daily net price change in value to you. You would be able to independently validate that the correct amounts are being paid by using the UTXOracle model you agreed to. At the end of the month you will have a different amount of bitcoin in your Lightning channel, but it will be worth $1,000.
PEER-TO-PEER MARKETPLACES
As a seller in an online marketplace, it’s currently difficult to price items in bitcoin due to the volatility as well as the fact that your expenses are likely in USD. But accepting payments in USD means accepting chargeback risk, fraud and the fees and complexity inherent in modern payment systems. Pricing products in USD, but having the flexibility to accept a USD value in bitcoin via the UTXOracle model, could encourage more bitcoin-denominated commerce.
THE NEXT STEPS FOR UTXORACLE
As outlined in this article, I believe the UTXOracle model could be a powerful tool in advancing Bitcoin use cases and extending financial freedom to more of the world. While it has trade-offs, I believe it represents an exciting frontier that can improve upon existing solutions that require more trust in third parties.
If you are excited about the prospect of UTXOracle, I encourage you to join the discussion on Telegram and Twitter.
This is a guest post by Daniel Hinton and Steve Jeffress. Opinions expressed are entirely their own and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.
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2023-07-30 12:41:44

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Just followed you🙏

2023-07-30 12:40:42

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Yes had time to go give thanks and praise godbless you my friend I think this is the first time we have interacted, it's wonderful to see you post about worshipping on the Lord's Day. Have a pleasent and relaxing day my Christian brother and godbless 🙏

2023-07-29 14:02:12

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It sure is you're night time over there are you?

2023-07-29 13:58:56

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I love to share my good times and bad times which over the months there has been more bad than good.
I also love to share in other people's happiness special occasions or whether it's just a GM in the morning time that's what I love most about #nostr

2023-07-29 13:31:10

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Glad to have you back brother we all go through shit and it's coming bk to yourself and realising it's not that important they're is people alot worse off than you that's what's most important very happy to see you bk. 🤙✌️💜

2023-07-28 09:39:49

Some tell me about the IOS zap ban please ? #plebchain #coffeestr #pleblife #nostriches #nostr

2023-07-22 12:02:32

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Good morning Emily well I guess it be good afternoon now neways have a good day. ✌️🤙💜

2023-07-21 22:17:58

Goodnight #nostr #plebchain sweet dreams from the green fields of Ireland goodnight and most importantly godbless. 🇮🇪🤙✌️💜

2023-07-21 21:17:49

#Zapathon #plebchain I really have the worse memes
#nevent1q…830a

2023-07-21 20:42:12

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Tbh once I don't see it few weeks bk I remember logging on seeing a girl that was as young as 17 with not a fligget on her. I'm glad to see #nostr is getting bigger and you're going have this cause of the censorship windows just keep it away from the Plebchain thank you.

2023-07-21 10:16:45

Good morning 🌞#plebchain hope everyone has a good day down the #fiat mines.
Last night was good craic at the #zapathon I wish they all were like that. Anyways il leave yous a tune to start your day #PureVida #Once #Tunestr Hows #Primal working now is it worth getting? Anyways have an awesome day #plebs
https://youtu.be/MDhiQfekdxo
#nevent1q…9qpf

2023-07-20 10:12:46

GM ☕#plebchain #coffeechain hope everyone has a great day oh and it's you're #zapathon tonight alot of fun for you I'm happy when you're happy. #nostriches #plebster #growstr
#nevent1q…p90z

2023-07-15 13:26:00

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Yes well said Kid_btc fuckin threads fucking stay over there and don't be coming here starting drama threads is for leftists who love censorship full stop. If you curse over there you be banned!!!!!

2023-07-15 13:15:24

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Why would you want to block and mute is it because you don't like what people post or some other reason??