504 Battery Dr

Realist. Doomer. Planet first.
Born at 2.8 B world pop.

Bernie Democrat.
Known to use curse words.
Known to post unpopular truths.
I match the energy I receive.

I have seen the whole of the moon.

Toots delete/60 days.

"Nature bats last."
Guy McPherson

#ClimateCrisis
#EcologicalOvershoot
#Overpopulation
#OverConsumption
#HomoColossus
#BiodiversityLoss
#Antifascism
#LandBack
#IndigenousRights
#CaptivityIsCruelty
#Blackfish
#TheCove
#EmptyTheCages
#EmptyTheTanks

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504DR@kolektiva-social.mostr.pub

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Last Notes

2025-05-21 14:51:32

Limits to Growth was right about collapse
By Andrew Curry, originally published by thenextwave
May 20, 2025
. . .
Recalibrating the model
Now another group of scientists have gone back to the original World3 model and recalibrated it against the best fit data, which is what has prompted Klement’s article. ‘Recalibration of limits to growth: An update of the World3 model’, by Nebel et al, is published open access in the Journal of Industrial Ecology.
The point of doing this is—as they say in their abstract—is
to better match empirical data on world development.
For assurance, the article goes into detail about their method and their approach, including access to the Python scripts they have used, which have been posted on Github. As they explain:
Since the model was calibrated with the limited capabilities in terms of computing power and data processing in 1972, it seems interesting to what extent a recalibration of the model is possible and what are the effects of such a recalibration. The data situation has improved enormously since then.
Overshoot and collapse
What this means is that the recalibrated model reflects the best available current data.
Klement explains the approach this way:
If the recalibrated model deviates significantly from the forecasts of the 1970s, we have made progress. And given the accuracy of the original model, we can also take some comfort that any progress we made is likely to be real and we have truly extended economic growth further into the future.
And the outcomes of this recalibration? Well, they’re not good. Again from the abstract to the article:
This improved parameter set results in a World3 simulation that shows the same overshoot and collapse mode in the coming decade as the original business as usual scenario of the LtG standard run. [My emphasis]
Industrial production decline
It is worth spelling out the dimensions of this overshoot and collapse. As it happens, there are some handy charts both in Joachim Klement’s article and in the original paper. I’ve reproduced Klement’s versions here because they are easier to read, but the originals are downloadable from the original article.
The first chart is for industrial production, where the recalibrated version tracks the original to the centimetre, pretty much. Does this matter? Klement does the usual wave towards the fact that we live in a much more services-based economy than we did even when the Limits team did the original study.
Peaking food production
I’m not completely convinced of this. As David Mindell observes in The New Lunar Society (I have a review in the works), industrial production has significant multiplier effects on other economic activity, even if this is largely overlooked by economics [p33]. The updated population diagram also follows closely the decline in the mid-2030s that is seen in the Limits base case projection.
On food production, it also seems to be peaking right about now indicating that despite continuous growth in the global population, we are experiencing declining global food production.
Delaying the peak
So it’s possible to imagine that one of the reasons why population starts to decline is because there isn’t enough food to go around. It’s also possible to imagine that the higher peak, and faster overshoot, is a result of the intensification of agriculture and food production, which is about the application of technology. As one of the Limits’ authors, Dennis Meadows, always insisted when asked, technology can delay a peak, but the crash comes harder when it comes.
. . .
Full article:
https://www.resilience.org/stories/2025-05-20/limits-to-growth-was-right-about-collapse/

2025-05-20 15:05:01

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@nprofile…dc6s
Whenever I hear about the city of Edmonton, I think first and foremost of Lucy; the lonely, abused and neglected elephant in their zoo.
Lucy has suffered for years at the hands of zookeepers who have shown to know little about elephant care and well-being.
She is now elderly, suffering from many ailments (which they caused, and refuse to treat). She is kept in deplorable living quarters, and suffers through the freezing winters of Canada.
Two elephant sanctuaries in the southern US offered years ago to take her in, paying for the expense of transport themselves. In sanctuary, she would not only be in the company of other eles, she would be cared for by experts who know, understand and truly love elephants.
But the city of Edmonton, and the majority of its residents, refuse sanctuary for this aging, ailing ele. They are more concerned with the money she brings in for visitors who look at her and ignore her suffering daily.
So it doesn't surprise me the city takes this stand on other creatures too.
The reputation of the city of Edmonton is one of cruelty and indifference to millions of ppl around the world.

2025-04-04 16:31:45

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@nprofile…y2fq @nprofile…dtk0
Winning the midterms won't be enough at this point; if we even have midterms to vote in by 2026.
We'll need either a whole new crop of Dems to vote for, or a whole new Party.
Bc, as we've seen in the past; just voting for the same old Dems has contributed to the mess we're currently in.
There are a handful of Dems worth voting for that I can see; and the best hope I have is that they get together and form a new Party.
The other option is revolution, which will long and bloody; and carry no guarantee of success without an organized group ready to take the lead once the bloodletting stopped.
With the climate clock ticking, I fear we have no time for that option.

2025-04-02 10:33:45

One of my favorite actors.
_______________
Top Gun and Batman actor Val Kilmer dies aged 65
2 hours ago
Sofia Ferreira Santos
BBC News
Actor Val Kilmer, who starred in some of the biggest movies of the 1980s and 90s, including Top Gun and Batman Forever, has died at the age of 65.
He also appeared in 1991's The Doors - playing the legendary band's frontman Jim Morrison - plus the Western Tombstone and crime drama Heat.
Kilmer died of pneumonia on Tuesday in Los Angeles, his daughter Mercedes told US media. She said her father had been diagnosed with throat cancer in 2014 but later recovered.
Tracheotomy surgery affected his voice and curtailed his acting career, but he returned to the screen to reprise his role as fighter pilot Iceman alongside Tom Cruise in 2022's Top Gun: Maverick.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy5ry5x9xz0o

2025-03-31 05:34:51

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@nprofile…l9nu
If we choose to save the planet, and ourselves with it, crashing the system is exactly what's needed.
Our current system is what caused this climate crisis.

2025-03-28 19:40:58

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@nprofile…tsfn
Their nefarious desire for anonymity overrules their ego's need to be in the spotlight.
They're happy to let egotists like trump/mushman take all the flak and bad publicity.

2025-03-25 23:01:21

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@nprofile…92y4
Any relation to this one, or a completely different message?
https://kolektiva.social/system/media_attachments/files/114/225/549/659/729/252/original/eb2875b0e712a473.jpeg

2025-03-21 01:28:58

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@nprofile…tsfn
The documentary Dominion should be mandatory viewing in every elementary school across the world.
Throw in Seaspiracy and Blackfish, as well.

2025-03-20 17:50:03

Hummingbirds are on the move.
Follow their journeys, and report when they arrive in your area.
https://www.hummingbird-guide.com/hummingbird-migration-map-2025.html#spring-migration-map-2025
https://kolektiva.social/system/media_attachments/files/114/196/017/046/932/796/original/474f31f039da85d1.png

2025-03-18 16:18:16

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@nprofile…s2gh
The human propensity for group think; an underlying desire towards selfish greed; a vulnerability to mass manipulation and a lack of curiosity to learn to solve problems that require self sacrifice - are a few of reasons that come to mind.

2025-03-15 14:10:02

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@nprofile…dc6s
The link to that article seems broken.
From reading up on carbon taxes from another source, the negatives seem to outweigh any benefits.
From my perspective, carbon taxes simply allow the exploitation of fossil fuels to continue, and even expand.
Which is probably why emissions keep rising every year.
If the true goal is cut emissions drastically, which is what is needed, carbon taxes seem to have little effect.
Bribing citizens that is a good/workable solution with rebate payments of just allowing business as usual to continue.
The other source for this info:
https://earth.org/explainer-what-is-a-carbon-tax-pros-and-cons-and-implementation-around-the-world/

2025-03-11 20:09:23

A teacher gives elon musk safety tips on how to protect himself (bc he's now complaining about being afraid to go to work).
https://kolektiva.social/system/media_attachments/files/114/145/601/388/978/525/original/92d3e644c2437e25.mp4

2025-03-05 15:11:52

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@nprofile…s2gh
I had to rephrase it differently to come up with my answer.
Would I invest in a nonprofit that manufacturers the bullets that will be used to kill me one day if the proceeds go to making protest signs that say "Don't shoot me"?
Nah, I don't think I would.

2025-03-04 23:05:54

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@nprofile…wuyc
Nope - millions of us aren't okay with this; and rest assured we'll be fighting alongside you under a maple leaf flag if it comes to that.
I wish I could say we'll stop it before it gets to that point, but it's not looking so good.
We can't even get most ppl to mask during a pandemic; much less fight for their country (those two things are related, btw.)

2025-02-23 18:46:53

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@nprofile…xm42
Thanks, I didn't realize that.
Here it is.
Try this.
Seems that it's possible to tap into jukeboxes across the country and play your own songs.
Ppl are playing leftist protest songs on jukeboxes in red states. 😏
The comments are *French kiss*
https://kolektiva.social/system/media_attachments/files/114/054/675/026/256/439/original/ba21ae3481324eb5.mp4

2025-02-23 18:34:03

A new way to protest.
This is genius.
Read the comment section for tips and advice.
🤣
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8Ynjf6p/

2025-02-20 00:01:47

Ready to take action.
11 million needed to sign a strike card.
Be one of those 11 million, and then spread the word.
No more taking things sitting down. 💪
Info from GeneralStrike.com:
What is A General Strike?
A general strike is when working people refuse their labor until demands are met • Research shows We need 3.5% of the population, OR 11 million Americans, to be successFul • The STRIKE CARD below tracks our progress so we all know When it’s time to strike •
Why are we striking?
we’ve voted, we’ve protested, and STILL, they ignore us. Our government refuses to meet our basic needs while the billionaire class hoards wealth and power. We can’t afford to wait any longer. Our labor is our greatest STRENGTH and if we strike together we can make real change.
take action now
Who is striking?
REGULAR people • ACTORS • Organizations • kids • artists • activists • Teachers • FAST FOOD Workers • Athletes • Drivers • Gig Workers • waiters & More
Strike Phases
Research shows that strikes engaging a threshold of 3.5% of the population have never failed to bring about change.
3.5% of the US population is 11M people. When we have 11M Strike Card signed, we Strike!
https://generalstrikeus.com/

2025-02-11 19:28:23

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@nprofile…dc6s
Are you talking automatic dishwasher soap or hand washing?
I've got a good recipe for hand washing soap
(contains Dawn liquid).

2025-02-11 19:23:07

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@nprofile…s2gh
Has to be a way to verify respondents.
There will be a lot of moles seeking out these groups so they can infiltrate/report them.
I'm a blue dot living in a sea of red; but due to my location, I could be station on the railroad leading to Canada for those who need it. 🤷

2025-02-08 19:08:39

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@nprofile…kl5l @nprofile…gd49 @nprofile…7c02
In hindsight melded with reality, America was never great.
Founded on colonialism, genocide and racism where only white, male landowners were allowed to vote and make decisions for the rest of the Americans back then - it overthrew rule by king for rule by a group of kings in it's place.
Yes, as children we were all indoctrinated into the false belief of the greatness of America.
But thru education and experience to the otherwise, that cloak of greatness has been thrown off for the world, and smart/aware Americans to see.
The only time America was great was our response to/involvement of defeating nazi Germany in WW II.
Even that was tainted by the delay in our involvement and the intentional recruiting of nazis to come and work for us after their defeat.

2025-02-08 18:27:27

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@nprofile…e5ug
Hackers must be so pissed that, in the USA anyway, our own govt is beating them to the punch on data breaches.

2025-01-21 10:29:13

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@nprofile…s2gh @nprofile…9ag4
Thank you.
Kind of figured it was something along those lines, but I needed confirmation.
It's going to be a long, terrible 4 years ( or more ).

2025-01-21 04:03:58

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@nprofile…9ag4
Can anyone translate - Section 4 General Provisions - into layman's terms, please?
I understand the rest of it, but that section is beyond me.
@nprofile…s2gh

2025-01-18 16:22:14

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@nprofile…s2gh
Agreed.
The psychopathic narcissists thrive on this attention; good or bad attention, they don't care, as long as they are in articles and front pages.
The only response to these types should be sharp, throat cut memes that mock them.
That's the most they deserve.

2025-01-17 17:03:53

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@nprofile…s2gh @nprofile…n90q
Okay - I'm impressed!
Thank you.

2025-01-17 16:57:29

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@nprofile…s2gh
Can you explain this in layman's terms, please.
I'm not sure if I should be impressed or horrified.
Also, @nprofile…n90q

2025-01-17 16:47:33

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@nprofile…s2gh
I'd be upset by this, but since higher education has become just another scam (among the many money hoarding scams by the wealthy) that traps young ppl in debt for decades - meh.

2025-01-16 16:14:14

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@nprofile…s2gh
"DiResta argues that ideological sorting across and within platforms, facilitated in part by decentralized content moderation, will lead to increased polarization:
The idealistic goal of federalism in the American experiment was to maintain the nation’s unity while enabling local control of local issues. The digital version of this, however, seems to be a devolution, a retreat into separate spaces that may perhaps increase satisfaction within each outpost but does little to bridge ties, restore mutual norms or diminish animosity across groups. What happens when divergent norms grow so distinct that we can no longer even see or engage with each other’s conversations? The challenge of consensus is no longer simply difficult, it is structurally reinforced.
I’m not as pessimistic. As discussed in an earlier post, shareable lists and labels are instruments that can just as easily be used to dissolve boundaries as to put up walls. They are part of the rough and tumble of free expression online. Such expression—as argued recently by Amna Khalid, Chimamanda Ngozi Adichie, and Killer Mike—often serves as a weapon of the weak. But calls for expulsion are a different matter altogether, and I hope that the platform doesn’t bend to these wishes. If one denies to all what is offensive to some, it is the least powerful among us who will ultimately pay the price."
For all social media sites, the last line seems most important, bc I have already seen a bit of that here on Mastodon.
"If one denies to all what is offensive to some, it is the least powerful among us who will ultimately pay the price."
Some ppl, or groups of ppl seem to think they are the self appointed gatekeepers of this site too.
A friendly reminder - the options to scroll, mute or personally block are always there.
Brow beating, ganging up and mass blocking ( excepting the most egregious hate speech ) are the tools of immature and insecure Karens whose intent is to restrict/remove any speech or topic they themselves find pearl clutching worthy.

2025-01-16 00:50:05

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@nprofile…s2gh @nprofile…gyr7
Sadly, he hasn't posted anything since 1/28/23.
Probably got ran off/harassed by the gatekeepers who don't want an honest assessment of the predicament were in.
The hopium mafia on here is strong.
No viewpoints, even factual ones, other than theirs are to be allowed.

2025-01-13 19:15:17

Looking for recommendations for an email service so I can finally get off g mail.
Any suggestions, anyone?

2025-01-11 19:36:54

Watching the World Go Bye
Eliot Jacobson's Collapse of Everything Blog
January 4, 2025
Alive in 2035*
*Note. This essay was written by GPT o1, with the help of Ruben Schaer based on the prompt:
“Write a dystopian essay predicting events in 2025 using this list as a guideline for your predictions: https://climatecasino.net/2021/10/top-40-impacts-of-climate-change/“
I edited the text in parts, removed several referenced to ‘hope’ and changed 2025 to 2035, because, well, things are just not as bad as this essay paints. Yet.
I still remember how the horizon looked just 10 years ago: a steady, reassuring line of gray silhouettes beyond the city’s outskirts. Back then, a future shaped by climate chaos seemed more like the backdrop of a grim science fiction film than the cold reality we face every day. Now, in 2035, those silhouettes are no longer visible—obscured by a haze of smoke, dust, and long abandoned hope.
My morning routine has become an act of near-desperation. I step outside into an early summer day with temperatures that often exceed 110°F. The air feels thick, suffocating, and the ground under my feet cracks with every tentative step. Some say this is just the “new normal,” as if normalizing such drastic changes is the only way to cope. But the shift isn’t merely in temperature; it is in spirit, in expectation, in the way people’s eyes flicker with fear and desperation.
No single development is solely responsible for the chaos unfolding worldwide. In 2025, scientists and environmental advocates warned of cascading tipping points and their consequences—rising seas, more frequent hurricanes, devastating wildfires, the extinction of species critical to our ecosystem. Now, in 2035, each of those threats has begun to crystallize into daily life. It’s not just the frequency of natural disasters, but their magnitude that is shocking. Last year, a super typhoon devastated entire stretches of coastline in Southeast Asia, forcing millions of people to flee in a matter of days. Many remain displaced, living in overcrowded camps plagued by waterborne diseases and acute food shortages.
The land I stand on, once stable and reliable, feels altogether fickle. Our region’s rain patterns abruptly shifted two years ago. Instead of the gentle, seasonal rain that nourished farmland, we get bursts of torrential downpours that flood fields one month, followed by months of parched soil. Farmers have largely given up on predicting yield; as a result, local produce has grown expensive, and the government rations basic staples. Bread prices have doubled. Meat—especially beef—has vanished from most markets, as feed costs soared and water remained scarce. Even basic fish stocks have collapsed in some regions, thanks in large part to warming oceans and acidification killing coral reefs and driving aquatic life to cooler waters or to extinction.
When news broadcasts air—whenever the unstable power grid allows it—I’m confronted by images from around the globe: unstoppable wildfires in the American West and parts of Southern Europe, unstoppable floods in coastal cities, unstoppable droughts in Africa. Entire species have vanished from the wild: pollinator populations have plummeted even further, making the once simple act of growing fruit a challenge requiring artificial pollination programs. Governments that can afford it have begun using drones equipped with pollination technology. In less developed regions, these solutions are a remote luxury, leading to barren orchards and collapsing economies.
Some governments still cling to the idea that technological breakthroughs will rescue humanity from this predicament. Solar geoengineering, carbon capture, and climate-modifying satellites—those terms often appear in hopeful headlines. Yet, daily life reveals a tragically harsher reality. Technological fixes are slow to implement, expensive, and rarely equitable. The few large-scale carbon capture plants that exist run at partial capacity, strapped by underfunding and hamstrung by the scarcity of resources once taken for granted—fresh water and stable energy grids.
Meanwhile, the people around me focus on immediate survival. Those who can afford to move away from affected coasts have done so, crowding inland cities where infrastructure is already strained. The cost of living has skyrocketed, and conflict over resources has intensified. To access drinkable water, many neighborhoods rely on intermittent shipments by the government. Lines at distribution centers stretch for hours under punishing sun. Tensions run high; fights break out, sometimes turning fatal. The desperation for water, for a single commodity that used to flow from taps without a second thought, underscores how vulnerable we’ve become.
Occasionally, I travel to the outskirts of the city, where farmland is now an expanse of brittle husks. I volunteer with a small non-profit that tries to distribute drought-resistant seeds and set up micro-irrigation systems. The last time I was there, I saw once-fertile fields turned to sand. Farmers, faced with repeated crop failures, have either given up or joined the growing ranks of climate refugees. In many places, the topsoil has blown away, leaving a barren layer of rock-strewn dust. Without enough trees or plants to anchor the soil, even a moderate breeze can stir a choking cloud of grit. Masks designed for viral pandemics are now part of everyday fashion, if only to keep the dust from scouring our lungs.
Airborne diseases—malaria, dengue, and other mosquito-borne illnesses—continue to spread northward, thriving in the new, warmer climate zones. We thought an end to certain tropical diseases was near, but they’re resurging with a vengeance. Hospitals are overwhelmed; even the wealthier nations struggle with repeated waves of illnesses, many antibiotic-resistant.
The social ramifications are equally grim. Communities fracture as neighbors turn against each other in the scramble for supplies. Several extremist groups have taken advantage of the chaos, capitalizing on the disillusionment of those who feel betrayed by ineffective leadership. Governments around the world either tighten control over populations—instituting curfews, limiting travel, rationing energy usage—or collapse entirely. Places that once boasted strong democracies find themselves on precarious footing, as the public grows more frustrated by each broken promise of relief.
The national and global picture remains largely bleak. Even if we’ve managed to marginally reduce our carbon emissions this past year, the climate continues to spin deeper into chaos. Systems set in motion decades ago cannot be reversed overnight. The speed at which glaciers are melting and oceans are warming has far surpassed conservative estimates from the early 2000s. Seaside towns, once magnets for tourism, lie deserted; rising seas flood roadways and erode foundations. Some coastal cities invest heavily in expensive seawalls, but whether they can hold back the tides over the coming years is questionable. More climate migrants arrive daily, carrying whatever possessions they still own, fleeing submerging homes.
___________
Full article:
https://climatecasino.net/2025/01/alive-in-2035/
(My comment here - I am opposed to chat gpt, but decided to share what I perceive as an important message/viewpoint.)

2025-01-10 11:28:50

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@nprofile…u4hf
If only we had a Democratic Party like the one described in your toot.
Reality is, Dem Congress ppl are already talking about how they will work with the Corp-loving, ppl hating GOP and their felon leader.

2025-01-06 22:00:07

The Collapse Will Be Normalized
As civilization collapses, the media will attempt to normalize things like war, famine, and genocide. Don't let them.
2/29/24
Ukraine began, everyone was terrified it would lead to nuclear armageddon. But now, it’s normal.
And of course, the IDF—using bombs from the US—continues to kill children whose only crime was being born on a piece of land that Israel wants for itself. When Israel first started indiscriminately bombing the Gaza strip, most people were surprised. But now, it’s normal.
There are dozens of other examples, but you get the idea.
I used to think that once the collapse became obvious, society would wake up and change. But right now, the fact that our civilization is in the early stages of collapse is pretty goddamn obvious, yet most people look at the world today and consider it perfectly normal. Even when a flood wipes out half a country’s breadbasket and displaces millions of people, government officials still say things like, “It’s called weather.”
So I guess that’s how it’s going to be. No matter how bad things get, it will be normalized.
The first time a heatwave knocks out the power grid and millions of people die, the media will find a scapegoat. They’ll blame green energy, climate activists, terrorists, anyone but the capitalists who are destroying the planet for their own gain. The second time a heatwave kills millions, it will be normal.
. . .
Full article:
https://www.collapsemusings.com/the-collapse-will-be-normalized/

2024-12-28 16:59:45

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@nprofile…n90q
Our digital energy use is becoming increasingly as problematic as our fossil fuel energy use - bc they are tied together in an endless loop.
Instead of pursuing alternative energy sources, we should be aggressively pursuing cutting energy use across the board.

2024-12-25 17:02:19

Jan 5, 2024 6 min read
You Think The Holocaust Was Bad? Just Wait…
by Climate Musings
Climate change is going to cause a migrant crisis we can scarcely imagine. The response will be brutal.
A while back, I read an article by Michael L. Fox about the climate migrant crisis and how it will get exponentially worse over the next few decades. As farms go bankrupt, cities run out of water, and entire countries become too hot to live in during the summer, hundreds of millions of people will travel North in hopes of finding somewhere safe to live.
The people of Europe, North Asia, and North America won’t take it well. Just look at how Europeans reacted to a few million refugees from Syria. They became more racist and more xenophobic, and the political spectrum shifted markedly to the right. Just from a few million people fleeing the violence and chaos in their home country.
According to the UN, there could be 1.2 billion climate refugees by 2050, and that doesn’t even include internal refugees. If a few million migrants can cause countries to start electing rightwing leaders, what will happen when there are hundreds of millions of migrants?
As Michael says, “My guess is that the populations of the ‘wealthy west’ will feel beseiged, frightened, and angry, and they will elect psychopathic strongmen, Trumps and Hitlers, who have the ‘strength’ to do what’s necessary. It will be brutal. Our societies will become brutal.”
That last sentence really stuck with me. “Our societies will become brutal.”
. . .
Full article:
https://www.collapsemusings.com/you-think-the-holocaust-was-bad-just-wait/

2024-12-19 23:33:42

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@nprofile…0emc @nprofile…euhg
As much as I would cringe just writing it, we should get #PresidentMusk trending; for the only reasons of pissing of trump and creating a wedge between them.
Watching the tech bros hissy-fight with maga would be a bonus.

2024-12-19 17:11:00

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@nprofile…r5mx
Deny
Defend
Depose

2024-12-19 16:50:25

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@nprofile…s2gh
Nice share, thanks.
Added to my playlist.
Sharing this one in return, in case you've never heard it.
(One of my favs.)
https://youtu.be/1Y2Pw9E3bL8?feature=shared

2024-12-18 16:38:23

From the comment section on this post from Collapse Musings.
https://www.collapsemusings.com/what-it-means-to-be-collapse-aware/
______________________
"Jan Steinman
Started and ran an ecovillage for fifteen years.·8 Mar
Most of human history has been "uncivilized."
Most of human history has been in tribes and clans of under ~150 individuals.
If humans are to survive at all, that's how they'll be doing it — without "civilization."
No, we can't do that with eight billion people. But the survivors will be uncivilized.
"Civilization is a hopeless race to discover remedies for the evils it produces." — Jean Jacques Rousseau
"Civilization is preceded by forests and followed by deserts." — David Holmgren, Permaculture: Principles & Pathways Beyond Sustainability p 254
"Nature must, in the not too distant future, institute bankruptcy proceedings against industrial civilization." — William Catton, 1980
"The development of civilization and industry in general has always shown itself so active in the destruction of forests that everything that has been done for their conservation and production is completely insignificant in comparison." — Karl Marx, Das Capital, 1867
"We are not humanity. I want you to understand what these four words are. They are a summary of all that was forgotten during the Great Forgetting… when the people of our culture began to build civilization in earnest, those four words were practically unthinkable… We forgot that we're only a single culture and came to think of ourselves and humanity itself." — Daniel Quinn, The Teachings That Came Before & After Ishmael p98, excerpted from The Story of B, An Adventure of the Mind and Spirit, date: 1996-01-01, link: https://archive.org/details/isbn_9781502356154/page/44/
"The traits [that] were beneficial in natural selection and allowed humans to colonize the entire planet are counterproductive in a global civilization. Our technological progress has far outpaced our emotional maturity, and now we’re like monkeys playing with blowtorches. Eventually, we’re gonna burn everything down." — Alan Urban, The #1 Reason I Became A Doomer, date: 2024-01-16, link: https://www.collapsemusings.com/the-1-reason-i-became-a-doomer/
"Civilization" is the problem, not the solution."

2024-12-18 16:21:41

The #1 Reason I Became A Doomer
by Collapse Musings
Jan 16, 2024 12 min read
We're not doomed because of climate change, resource depletion, or biodiversity loss. We're doomed because human nature made those things inevitable.
the world’s remaining ecosystems in search of rare-earth metals and other resources.
Despite the enormity of the polycrisis, people still say things like, “We’ll find a way. Look at everything humans have accomplished over the last two centuries: automobiles, airplanes, telephones, computers, and modern medicine.”
Yea, but only because of fossil fuels. Humans have been about as intelligent as we are today for at least 100,000 years, but we only just now managed to invent all these things. Have you ever wondered why?
. . .
Full article:
https://www.collapsemusings.com/the-1-reason-i-became-a-doomer/

2024-12-18 15:58:47

What It Means To Be “Collapse-Aware”
by Collapse Musings
Mar 6, 2024 6 min read
Becoming collapse-aware can make you feel like you're going insane. You'd be crazy if it didn't.
I became collapse-aware a few years ago, and it completely changed my life.
Collapse-aware is a term that has become much more popular in recent years, especially among climate activists. Some people prefer the term doomer or collapsnik or eco-pessimist, but I think collapse-aware is the best term to describe someone like me.
But before I can tell you what it means to be collapse-aware, I have to tell you what “collapse-aware” means. If you’re collapse-aware, it means you’ve learned enough about climate change, pollution, resource depletion, and biodiversity loss to conclude that civilization is unsustainable and will eventually collapse.
Whether the collapse happens suddenly or takes several decades, and whether it happens soon or in the distant future, is up for debate. But the end result is the same: a pre-industrial world with a much smaller population.
. . .
https://www.collapsemusings.com/what-it-means-to-be-collapse-aware/

2024-12-15 16:17:59

#overshoot
"Considering how vital food is, you would think the mainstream media would talk about the dangers of food scarcity. Sure, they’ll briefly mention the coming climate disasters or the problem of dwindling resources, but they rarely mention the ultimate result of these predicaments: food shortages.
Even some of the most outspoken climate scientists prefer to be vague, saying things like “our way of life is in danger” or “the future looks bleak.” It’s like they’re afraid to say what they really mean: People are going to starve to death.
. . .
That’s why I found this tweet by Roger Hallam so refreshing. Hallam is a long-time environmental activist and co-founder of Extinction Rebellion. Here’s what he said:
“We are going to run out of food. Write it on your fridge. Read it every morning.”
In this article, I’m going to explain why he’s right. Here are 7 reasons a global famine is just around the corner:
. . .
https://www.collapsemusings.com/7-reasons-theres-going-to-be-a-global-famine/

2024-12-12 14:50:15

- reply

@nprofile…dc6s
Could it possibly be that gift giving itself is the problem?
Maybe substituting spending quality time with kids, with giving them material possessions instead isn't the panacea Wall St wants us to believe it is.
I remember ice skating, playing ball and other activities with my Dad far more than any gift I ever got from him.
Such is life in our modern materialistic world, tho.

2024-12-10 23:46:16

- reply

@nprofile…s2gh
I only wish Luigi had put as much planning into the aftermath of his act and getting away, as he had in executing it, no pun intended.

2024-12-10 15:48:28

- reply

@nprofile…40ff @nprofile…n90q
Chill, dude.
You're reading into my original comment a harsh tone that wasn't intended. And a misinterpretation that I'll admit was my bad for not making clear the distinction between personal wind/solar and the industries of wind/solar that are placing these contraptions across the planet on a massive scale.
Good on you for your less energy achievements.
What I'm addressing is the false notion that wind/solar will save us and that wind/solar are environmentally and human rights friendly.
The wind/solar industries at scale are equally as harmful to the planet as fossil fuel extraction. Currently, they still add emissions bc it takes fossil fuels for mineral extraction, manufacturing, transport, installation, maintenance and replacement.
And it will be that way for the foreseeable future.
Any talk of wind/solar completely replacing FFs is pipedreams and false promises, usually made by those who are making money off of them.
The environmental destruction for extracting the minerals and building the structures on previously undeveloped lands is adding to our problems instead of fixing any of them.
The mounting waste from discarded ones also adds to the problem.
I'm saying, if ppl who support wind/solar want to be honest, they need to see and understand the down sides of the industry - then weigh their support for wind/solar against their support for the environment and human rights.

2024-12-08 16:17:12

#SilentSunday
https://kolektiva.social/system/media_attachments/files/113/618/071/302/662/217/original/e7c0ea6d013b2544.png

2024-12-07 21:09:52

- reply

@nprofile…s2gh
Before debit cards, I used to cross that out on all the paper bills I got.

2024-12-07 21:02:00

- reply

@nprofile…n90q
This isn't limited to the Philippines.
It's worldwide.
Wherever solar and turbines are installed, especially in rural and undeveloped areas, their is a negative environmental effect.
Whenever solar and turbines are manufactured, there are negative human rights and environmental costs.
I'm curious how the wind and solar supporters justify this with their supposed beliefs in human rights and environmental protection.
#biodiversity
#environment
#HumanRights

2024-11-25 21:49:55

- reply

@nprofile…sxdw
Yes, I do see the wisdom of your suggestion regarding protecting Dems.
I was mixing reality into your fantasy (a fantasy I wholly agree with!), and I apologize for that.
✌️

2024-11-25 19:31:51

- reply

@nprofile…sxdw
Good idea, except - not all elected Dems deserve to be pardoned. Many don't, as they are just yes-ppl to the DNC, which is the crux of every problem the Dem Party has had the last 40 years.
Sad thing is, Biden could this, and a lot more - but he won't.
He's a DNC toadie himself.

2024-11-24 15:31:31

- reply

@nprofile…s2gh
Did it once in the 80s, never again.
Also, I've become anti consumerism since then.

2024-11-24 15:27:04

- reply

@nprofile…n90q
In their quest for the easiest life possible, at any cost, humans have become willing to give up even thinking for themselves.
This will not end well.

2024-11-22 18:04:02

- reply

@nprofile…hz70
Grifters gonna grift.

2024-11-21 20:59:21

- reply

@nprofile…sxdw
I rarely use it anymore.
If sometime doesn't answer a phone call, I'll text them then.
Texting is usually my first choice of contact, tho.
I don't even have voicemail set up on my phone. 😅

2024-11-19 13:45:56

- reply

@nprofile…n90q
More of this, please.

2024-11-19 13:44:29

- reply

@nprofile…n90q
Every aspect of modernity is just a trap that ensnares us in one way or another, leading to our eventual extinction, taking most life forms on the planet with us.
Even if we ditch FFs, unnecessary electronics and plastics, switching to nature based resources like wood, cotton and plant based organic foods - the problem is providing food, housing and clothing for 8 billion ppl on the planet.
I see no happy outcome to our increasingly dire situation.

2024-11-10 13:23:43

- reply

@npub1uul…dkn7
Do you save seeds from your garden for next year?
Stopped by my neighbors a few weeks ago and they had a whole wheelbarrow full of dried yellow beans that they will clean out and save the seeds for next year's planting.
Though I have heard of this, I'd never seen anyone do it.

2024-11-09 17:08:42

- reply

@npub1txm…xp6c
His writings, teachings and moral compass will never be gone - even if one day they have to be hidden beneath floorboards, in old chimneys or buried in backyards.
In a better world, we would be choosing ppl like him as our leaders.

2024-11-09 16:11:05

- reply

@npub1txm…xp6c
https://kolektiva.social/system/media_attachments/files/113/453/859/880/820/270/original/9ab4e89089c2df54.png

2024-11-09 15:13:32

- reply

@npub1txm…xp6c @npub1447…fn50
Neoliberals/centrists only differ from fascists in that the level of public disclosure of their plans and policies - neolibs do it behind the scenes instead of out in the open.

2024-11-09 02:20:14

- reply

@npub1uul…dkn7
Is one of those before you edited the original post and the other one after the edit?

2024-11-07 21:33:05

Start saving federally-funded data now.
https://kolektiva.social/system/media_attachments/files/113/443/782/068/193/372/original/76c858b7cee78a31.png

2024-11-07 18:44:59

Opinion
Trump has pledged to wage war on planet Earth – and it will take a progressive revolution to stop him
George Monbiot
We were losing slowly. Now we are losing quickly. Democracy, accountability, human rights, social justice – all were rolling backwards as money swarmed our politics. Above all, our life-support systems – the Earth’s atmosphere, oceans, ecosystems, ice and snow – have been hammered and hammered, regardless of who is in power. Donald Trump might strike the killer blows, but he is not the cause of an ecocidal economic system. He is the embodiment of it.
Under Joe Biden, the US was missing its own climate goals, and those goals were insufficient to meet the global objective of limiting heating to 1.5C above preindustrial levels. That target in turn might not be tight enough to prevent a tipping of Earth systems. Already, at roughly 1.3C of heating, we see what looks alarmingly like climatic flickering: the ever wilder perturbations that tend to precede the collapse of a complex system.
Trump has pledged to wage war on planet Earth, ripping up US climate commitments and reverting to unrestrained fossil fuel extraction and burning. If he follows the Project 2025 agenda, he will leave the UN climate framework altogether, making his assault on Earth systems much harder to reverse.
His evangelical base, eager to advance the biblical apocalypse, will love him for it. Most simply deny climate breakdown. Others perceive events such as floods and fires not as warnings, but as joyous portents of the end of times: a great cleansing, in which the righteous will be uplifted to sit at the right hand of God, while their enemies will be cast into the fiery pit. What we will see under a new Trump presidency is a neat alignment of the interests of fossil fuel companies and a constituency gunning for Armageddon (and hoping that Benjamin Netanyahu will assist its delivery).
...
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/nov/07/trump-voters-revolution-politics-right

2024-11-06 16:29:19

https://kolektiva.social/system/media_attachments/files/113/436/940/545/130/324/original/be9f6bae77d45ce5.png

2024-11-06 15:54:35

https://kolektiva.social/system/media_attachments/files/113/436/793/332/140/732/original/710bde843c521fd8.png

2024-11-03 17:24:48

Cut the crap
3rd November 2024 -- Gerry McGovern
...
“Don’t make me think” has been a mantra of modern design and user experience. This philosophy is equally pervasive when it comes to technology in general. Buy this technology, the pitch goes, it does the thinking for you, it does the hard work for you. And it’s always on, always available. Store everything and no matter what time of day or night it is, you can get exactly what you want instantly. In the data center industry, they call it 99.99% uptime. It comes at the same cost to the environment as making silicon 99.99% pure. Huge costs. Massive costs.
In a typical data center, “only 6 to 12 percent of energy consumed is devoted to active computational processes,” Steven Gonzalez Monserrate has estimated. “The remainder is allocated to cooling and maintaining chains upon chains of redundant fail-safes to prevent costly downtime.” Perhaps this has changed somewhat because of the voracious processing demand from AI. However, the basic point remains true. Guaranteeing your convenience, and your access to all that crap data you’re never going to look at again, costs 90% more mining, 90% more materials, 90% more electricity, 90% more water, 90% more waste. All so that you can potentially access that photo or file that there is a 99.99% chance you will never access. A data center is like before the start of an Formula 1 race. All these high-performance, energy-intense cars revving and revving for a race most of them will never run. Here we are. This is us. This is civilization, modernity, progress, innovation. Spending so much energy to create and store crap.
https://gerrymcgovern.com/cut-the-crap/

2024-10-30 12:48:41

- reply

@npub1uul…dkn7
Is this a real billboard?
If so, any idea where it is?
I generally dislike billboards, but this one needs to be players across the country, doubled in red states.

2024-10-28 01:50:50

Digital will sink in it's own crap.
Gerry McGovern
Big Tech laughs about all this crap production. This is how Big Tech makes so much money in its data centers. It sells them as plush five-star hotels for superior VIP data, when in reality it’s running a datafill, a data dump. If most of the data stored in a typical data center was processed and accessed every day, then everything would explode, the servers would fry. The demand would crash everything. The data center business case is dependent on most people never accessing the data they’ve stored. You’re paying for a data graveyard.
To protect their profits, Big Tech has historically made it very hard for you to delete. Artist, Honor Ash, observed how, “Initially, Gmail didn’t even include a delete button. Not only was it no longer necessary to delete emails regularly to make space in your inbox, but it was actually not even possible. This shift broke everyone’s deletion habit—it ended the ritualistic appraisal of what should be kept, and ushered in a default in which literally everything should.”
For almost thirty years of professional content management work, I’ve had to deal with the argument that we have to keep everything because you never know what will be important in the future. This was in the middle of intranets, websites and computer systems, where nobody could find anything because of the terrible search design and because of the awful information architecture. And what they did find was usually some sort of dodgy draft, some copy of a copy, or something that was way out of date, inaccurate or useless. Keeping all this junk data does not simply reduce the chances of findability, it also increases cybersecurity risk. Huge quantities of poorly structured and badly maintained data are an invitation to hacking and other risks.
...
https://gerrymcgovern.com/digital-will-sink-in-its-own-crap/

2024-10-19 17:18:52

For those who appreciate Jessica Wildfire's writings.
_________
"Starting today, I'm paywalling my content across my platforms, including previously published posts. If you don't want to support my work, that's your call. But I can no longer afford to give my labor away, regardless of the reason. Also, my emotional health can't handle any more garbage from those who take my work for granted. If you're honestly struggling and can't stand the thought of losing access to this content, you can fill this out. I'll see what I can do. Otherwise, have a nice life. I'll be deleting you from my lists, and you'll never hear from me again. I'm not busting my butt for hate readers anymore.
All of this plays out against a larger, more disturbing backdrop of censorship and suppression on the internet, carried out by the very types who claim to cherish free speech while portraying themselves as victims. Even the head of Substack recently posted a lame criticism of "doomscrolling," offering "boomscrolling" as the cure. What the hell is boomscrolling...?
Honestly, I don't even care."
Full article:
https://www.the-sentinel-intelligence.net/im-paywalling-ok-doomer/?ref=ok-doomer-newsletter

2024-10-13 14:01:23

- reply

@npub1csg…pfvq
https://kolektiva.social/system/media_attachments/files/113/300/450/675/650/271/original/31b6ca4e1a0bef5d.png

2024-10-08 06:34:17

Want to learn the real history and origin of the term "redneck".
Hint: it involves coal miners and Blair Mountain.
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8REKe57/

2024-10-05 17:56:18

The Collapse Is Coming. Will Humanity Adapt?
An evolutionary biologist and a science fiction writer walk into a bar... and mull over survival.
By: Peter Watts
...
The following conversation was recorded in March 2024. It has been edited for clarity and length.
Peter Watts: In this corner, the biosphere. We’ve spent a solid year higher than 1.5 degrees Celsius; we’re wiping out species at a rate of somewhere between 10,000 and 100,000 annually; insect populations are crashing; and we’re losing the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, no matter what we do at this point. Alaskapox has just claimed its first human victim, and there are over 15,000 zoonoses expected to pop up their heads and take a bite out of our asses by the end of the century. And we’re expecting the exhaustion of all arable land around 2050, which is actually kind of moot because studies from institutions as variable as MIT and the University of Melbourne suggest that global civilizational collapse is going to happen starting around 2040 or 2050.
In response to all of this, the last COP was held in a petrostate and was presided over by the CEO of an oil company; the next COP is pretty much the same thing. We’re headed for the cliff, and not only have we not hit the brakes yet, we still have our foot on the gas.
In that corner: Dan Brooks and Sal Agosta, with a Darwinian survival guide. So, take it away, Dan. Guide us to survival. What’s the strategy?
Daniel Brooks: Well, the primary thing that we have to understand or internalize is that what we’re dealing with is what is called a no-technological-solution problem. In other words, technology is not going to save us, real or imaginary. We have to change our behavior. If we change our behavior, we have sufficient technology to save ourselves. If we don’t change our behavior, we are unlikely to come up with a magical technological fix to compensate for our bad behavior. This is why Sal and I have adopted a position that we should not be talking about sustainability, but about survival, in terms of humanity’s future. Sustainability has come to mean, what kind of technological fixes can we come up with that will allow us to continue to do business as usual without paying a penalty for it? As evolutionary biologists, we understand that all actions carry biological consequences. We know that relying on indefinite growth or uncontrolled growth is unsustainable in the long term, but that’s the behavior we’re seeing now.
Stepping back a bit. Darwin told us in 1859 that what we had been doing for the last 10,000 or so years was not going to work. But people didn’t want to hear that message. So along came a sociologist who said, “It’s OK; I can fix Darwinism.” This guy’s name was Herbert Spencer, and he said, “I can fix Darwinism. We’ll just call it natural selection, but instead of survival of what’s-good-enough-to-survive-in-the-future, we’re going to call it survival of the fittest, and it’s whatever is best now.” Herbert Spencer was instrumental in convincing most biologists to change their perspective from “evolution is long-term survival” to “evolution is short-term adaptation.” And that was consistent with the notion of maximizing short term profits economically, maximizing your chances of being reelected, maximizing the collection plate every Sunday in the churches, and people were quite happy with this.
Well, fast-forward and how’s that working out? Not very well. And it turns out that Spencer’s ideas were not, in fact, consistent with Darwin’s ideas. They represented a major change in perspective. What Sal and I suggest is that if we go back to Darwin’s original message, we not only find an explanation for why we’re in this problem, but, interestingly enough, it also gives us some insights into the kinds of behavioral changes we might want to undertake if we want to survive.
...
Full article:
https://thereader.mitpress.mit.edu/the-collapse-is-coming-will-humanity-adapt/

2024-10-01 13:22:01

The Biggest Issue is NOT Climate Change;
it is OVERSHOOT
Erik Michaels
This article was originally published on
Problems, Predicaments, and Technology, 14 August 2024
REPUBLISHED WITH PERMISSION
...
hype and nonsense continue unabated. As I mentioned last time, optimism bias causes us to think that we can do things which in reality we cannot. Here's another perfect example of more nonsense. Here's even more nonsense. As was pointed out in Denial of Reality, climate change isn't going to be stopped or reversed on human timescales. Most people think that all we have to do is reduce emissions, not realizing that emissions is another symptom predicament of ecological overshoot, meaning that what must be reduced if climate change is to be reduced is overshoot, not emissions. This is much more difficult than simply reducing emissions, because it requires a reduction of technology use. John Peach explains using calculations from Tom Murphy and Tim Garrett and the Stefan-Boltzmann Law.
Once one understands the concepts in Tim Garrett's, Tom Murphy's, and John Peach's work, one can clearly see that climate change isn't the big predicament most people make it out to be, OVERSHOOT is. Climate change, emissions, pollution loading, energy and resource decline, biodiversity loss, extinction, etc. are all SYMPTOMS of overshoot. This means that reducing (or attempting to eliminate) emissions alone will NOT reduce climate change because it is being caused by overshoot from technology use. Thus, the hype in my first paragraph above about "renewable" energy replacing coal-fired energy will not help to solve climate change. Replacing coal-fired energy is an attempt to continue civilization, so in the end, it is nothing more than bargaining to maintain civilization.
These facts are not going to change regardless of what type of technology is used or how complex it is. In effect, our use of technology is the entire predicament in a nutshell. Now, this does not mean that all we have to do is stop using technology. Some technologies would be difficult if not impossible to stop using. Most of our lives today revolve around one type of technology or another. But without the fossil fuel platform, modernity cannot be continued. Electrification will not solve it, so that isn't an answer or solution. Hydrogen will not solve it. None of the mainstream ideas (such as AI) will solve it. Using reductionist thinking will not solve it. NOTHING will solve it because what we face is a predicament, not a problem. Acceptance of that fact is required before moving forward, because anything less than that will guarantee coming up with ideas which will only worsen the outcome rather than improve it.
Once one realizes all of this, the next idea which must be mastered is that 8 billion or more people cannot survive on this planet for long in civilization without damaging the underlying ecosystem which provides our habitat. Resilience and sustainability are key features which any system of living must provide; civilization and city living is impossible in such a scenario. Comprehending that only a small segment of the current population will make it out of this century, if any of the population, is important. Much of that depends upon an intact ecosystem, which is definitely not guaranteed. The amount of damage that will be done by the 8 billion people currently here as collapse deepens probably means a dystopian world, and even that is a very big IF. Given today's trajectories, the most likely outcome is extinction for most species, including us.
Collapse is another consequence of overshoot; it is yet another symptom predicament. Many people often forget the social aspects of overshoot and blame them on other things, yet increasing cost of living, decline of happiness, mass shootings, increasing polarization, increasing disease rates, addiction, and many other issues can be directly tied to overshoot and/or the system of civilization which ultimately causes overshoot and collapse.
I mentioned Tom Murphy above, and one of his articles comes in handy once again to point out precisely just how ludicrous some of our assumptions about civilization (or modernity as he calls it) actually are. I remain somewhat surprised so many people still believe in free will and the illusion of control. Tom dispenses with all that nonsense quickly in the first paragraph by pointing out the reality that Santa Claus is a part of a set of fairy tales. His article pairs nicely with The Cycle of Life, pointing out that just because we lack free will (or other inconvenient truths) doesn't mean that there is no point to life. Likewise, just because those of us who understand the truth about what is and what isn't sustainable doesn't mean that we have "given up" on anything but unsustainable or untenable pursuits. The real wisdom in Tom's article comes in the last two paragraphs, quote:
If modernity is not to last very long, what’s the point in pretending that it will? What’s the point in holding onto a worldview predicated on modernity’s survival? What’s the point of our current choices, jobs, ways of living? To what end do we pursue the things we presently do?
Just because a lot of the things we do today will turn out to be pointless does not mean there’s no point to anything! What a huge and unwarranted leap that is! In the context of a completely different lifestyle as subordinate partners among a cast of many in the community of life, one might find innumerable sources of meaning. Living, loving, caring, helping, singing, laughing, learning, respecting, offering gratitude, appreciating beauty, jabbering, teasing, playing, sharing—for instance—are all part of being human and of being one form of life among many others on this planet: lots of room to find meaning and “points” that validate life. If the meaning in your life is contingent on modernity, then maybe you’ve come to the wrong shop, and ought to look for new forms of meaning that are built to last.
...
https://www.pelicanweb.org/solisustv20n10page5.html

2024-09-24 16:34:36

#TimelineCleanser.
The first is eh, the next two are cool af.
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8Rh3G9Y/

2024-09-15 15:38:51

- reply

@npub14ka…um78
They are all theories.
We'll never know for sure.
Diamond's theory tracks closer to the truth based on physical evidence tho, imo.

2024-09-13 23:46:30

- reply

@npub1uul…dkn7
I didn't support or promote AI, but I'll give this one credit for putting a diaper on Donald underneath his boxing shorts. 🤌

2024-09-10 01:22:19

- reply

@npub1cjx…z842
When the oceans die, we die.

2024-09-08 21:32:23

- reply

@npub1dts…6798
The bird tweets make a whole lot more sense than anything "Leon" has ever tweeted.

2024-09-07 14:18:43

- reply

@npub1csg…pfvq
Capitalism is the main driver of the climate crisis.
It's killing the planet, and us.