Justin Ling🆒️

Freelance investigative journalist — national security, disinformation, conspiracy theories, extremism, Russia/Ukraine, policing. 🕵‍♂️

Contributor to the Toronto Star, WIRED, The Walrus, Foreign Policy

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Last Notes

2024-10-23 00:05:16

Ottawa's most recent accusations of Indian subterfuge and repression should provoke serious responses from the rest of the G7. Why haven't they? https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/22/trudeau-canada-india-assassinations-sikh/

2024-07-26 15:07:59

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This disrupted FSB plot was aimed at shopping centers, but we know that Russian agents have stepped campaigns in Europe in recent months — ostensibly in response to similar efforts happening in Russia. (Both dissident Russians and Ukrainian special forces have sabotage rail lines in Russia, e.g.)
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/112/853/415/283/329/904/original/1ddb5117e4691f75.png

2024-07-26 15:03:26

So the sabotage campaign targeting French rail lines is pretty massive — it simultaneously hit three locations hundreds of kilometers apart from each other.
It may well be domestic anti-Olympic agitation. But worth underlining that Ukraine *just* disrupted a Russian sabotage plot aimed at Europe. #Ukraine #russia #paris #olympics
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/112/853/396/590/214/322/original/b1fef687ea825aec.png

2024-05-21 13:16:46

Canada is in a constitutional crisis, it's just that no one wants to admit it. https://www.thestar.com/opinion/contributors/heres-what-i-learned-from-my-conversation-with-justin-trudeau-theres-only-one-way-to/article_5563637a-148c-11ef-b074-97c48c751727.html

2024-05-01 02:41:24

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@npub1rxj…q8q6 Just went through and boosted some levels, and tried to clip some of the wind noises. Hopefully that's better. Thanks for the nudge!

2024-05-01 02:30:17

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@npub1rxj…q8q6 ugh, I did. I was really nervous about pumping up some of the interview audio too much, because some of the wind noise is rough. I'll try and redo it and reupload.

2024-04-30 20:21:34

I went to Columbia to see what all the fuss was about. I came away pretty damn sure that we've all lost the plot. https://www.bugeyedandshameless.com/p/leave-those-kids-alone

2024-04-10 13:39:46

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@npub1855…kyza That governments should be judged on their efforts and merits, not compared constantly to their predecessors.

2024-04-10 13:18:14

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@npub1855…kyza I did do that! (Eight years ago)

2024-04-10 12:48:54

For the Canadians: My feature on Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's government, eight years in power, went live this morning. Worth reading, I think! https://thewalrus.ca/justin-trudeaus-last-stand/

2024-03-24 10:21:55

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@npub10ex…wt9c Yeah, but luckily the debris didn't do much damage, it seems.
None of the cross-border train schedules worked (I think most only go m-f) so I took the high speed to Lviv (which was very nice!) then was going to get a drive to Lublin to take their train to Warsaw — but the farmer protest held us up at the border for 6 hours, so missed the last train and had to get driven. Bit of a mess.
But here's the shiny high speed train
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/112/150/164/406/343/742/original/4c71ce912366d179.mp4

2024-03-24 09:24:39

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@npub10ex…wt9c Yup. Left Ukraine yesterday. From the reports I've seen, air defense was mostly successful.

2024-03-23 18:07:12

We've been sitting at the Ukraine-Polish border for five hours because of the farmers protests. What an annoying way to punish an ally. https://www.yahoo.com/news/border-guard-polish-protesters-block-105617937.html

2024-03-21 16:38:03

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In a sign of how tired I am, I forgot I already tooted this out like an hour ago. 🤦‍♂️
I've only been here a week. Imagine how tired the Ukrainians are.

2024-03-21 16:23:19

Things are bad in #Ukraine, sure. But this country is innovating the tools of its own liberation. All they need is time. https://www.bugeyedandshameless.com/p/in-the-air-raid-shelter

2024-03-18 03:04:01

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@npub10ex…wt9c Given the state of the border, the best thing to do (or so the consensus I got was) is drive from Poland to Lviv, then take the train from Lviv to Kyiv. Which is what I'm doing this morning!

2024-03-17 18:02:27

The queue at the Ukrainian border is truly wild. Nearly 20km of trucks lined up down a narrow highway en route into Ukraine. Polish farmers, protesting Ukrainian imports, are only allowing one truck through an hour — meaning some of these trucks could be sitting there for a week or more.

2024-03-17 10:12:08

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Queue to vote is definitely a few hundred people long.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/112/110/490/317/986/403/original/93c1c72cf4f1b5e6.jpg

2024-03-17 10:04:25

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The park where the rally is taking place was trollingly renamed Boris Nemstov Park, for the popular opposition figure who Putin had murdered in 2015.

2024-03-17 10:03:48

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Many Russians are still voting today. While there aren't any good options, plenty are pursuing Navalny's plans to vote for anyone but Putin.

2024-03-17 09:47:58

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Lenoid Volkov, Navanly's chief of staff, was attacked with a hammer here just a few days ago — almost certainly on Putin's orders.

2024-03-17 09:46:46

There are rallies taking place around the world, today, in protest of Russia's sham elections. I'm at the one in Vilnius, where there's flags in support of the anti-Putin militias who've tried to seize control of Russian border towns, signs in support of Putin being tried as a war criminal, and supporters of Alexei Navanly
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/112/110/386/309/856/585/original/d4d02e0d0f0eaba3.jpg

2024-03-16 10:58:06

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The volunteer corps included a video of their fighters firing on enemy positions from a Soviet-era BTR-80 tank.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/112/105/007/788/201/647/original/1642792a522bf9d9.mp4

2024-03-16 10:57:17

The Russian Volunteer Corps — a group of claimed Russian fighters, operating alongside the Ukrainian military — continues to needle the Russian government. They participated in a series of incursions into Belgorod and Kursk (the most significant attacks from Ukraine on Russia to date, I believe) and claim they've taken Russian soldiers prisoner and seized some serious Russian equipment. They included a video of their fighters firing on enemy positions from a Soviet-era BTR-80 tank.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/112/104/996/388/546/481/original/13255e6efdb5aef0.png

2024-03-13 12:57:39

Amid a wave of border incursions by anti-Putin militias, from Ukraine into Russia, the dissidents are calling on those living in the border regions to evacuate.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/112/088/491/336/978/354/original/dd25c99d629491c2.png

2024-01-26 18:37:04

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Moscow has released footage claiming to show the Ukrainian POWs boarding the flight.
Kyiv is tacitly acknowledging the fact that Ukrainian POWs were aboard the flight when they shot it down.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/111/823/694/985/597/752/original/67b6c559a5efb43e.mp4

2024-01-24 15:22:12

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Russian media is already publishing video of the crash site. Pretty violent crash, but no clear evidence that the bodies of 70+ are amongst the wreckage. (Could be various explanations for that.)
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/111/811/602/993/553/869/original/38b199ce19aace59.mp4

2024-01-24 14:52:48

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Oh, we've got a full statement now from the Armed Forces of Ukraine:
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/111/811/491/076/062/316/original/ea9e72cf02707238.png

2024-01-24 14:48:15

A Russia Ilyushin Il-76 transport plane went down over Russia today. Footage appears to show the plane going down, erupting in a giant fireball in a populated town. Russian media says the plane was carrying Ukrainian POWs, and was shot down by Ukrainian forces. Ukrainian military sources, per Pravda, say the plane was carrying missiles.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/111/811/470/534/233/110/original/4e311e6777e9bcd6.mp4

2024-01-23 18:14:16

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@npub109l…hje7 yup:
"Political speech is granted the highest level of protection because of its essential role in
democratic life... While parked trucks obstructing the roads and blaring horns are not 'high value' speech, the Regulations did not simply prohibit this conduct, which was already illegal under provincial and municipal law, but criminalized the attendance of every single person at those protests regardless of their actions.
"

2024-01-23 18:03:14

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Interestingly, the Federal Court found there was no violation of Canadians' right to public assembly or freedom of association, specifically rejecting the assertion that the Act criminalized protest. The only constitutional infringements were relating to the curtailment of the peaceful protesters' freedom of expression, how the regulations enabled unreasonable search and seizure of the occupiers' bank accounts.

2024-01-23 17:41:40

The Federal Court of Canada has declared that the invocation of the Emegrencies Act to deal with the 2022 Freedom Convoy was unconstitutional. Full decision: https://t.co/jYFPRdjMEJ

2024-01-21 19:57:57

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@npub13vj…9alu Define 'works'. Twitter ran some of the most aggressive moderation policies on the internet and it was still had plenty of extremists. Facebook is still plenty toxic. Can you point to an example of a big, open, politics-focused platform where this has worked well?

2024-01-21 18:49:03

We can't keep doing the same thing and expecting different results. We have got to accept a diverse internet full of people we don't like: And hope that we can stop things from getting worse. https://www.bugeyedandshameless.com/p/the-substack-verschlimmbesserung

2023-12-19 19:52:09

For the past few weeks I've found myself pulling books off the shelf — Hannah Arendt, Samantha Power, Romeo Dallaire — and wondering how the world has squandered so much progress on preventing mass murder. This is my attempt to put some of those thoughts to words: https://www.bugeyedandshameless.com/p/how-to-ignore-a-genocide

2023-11-22 18:23:13

Explosion on the Peace Bridge connecting New York and Ontario at Niagara. Reports from the scene say a car crashed into the toll booth and exploded. Despite the misinformation machine on Twitter, there's no confirmation that this was a car *bomb* (though, of course, that's possible.) Niagara Gazette has some good reporting form the ground: https://www.niagara-gazette.com/news/local_news/update-witnesses-saw-smoke-fire-from-vehicle-at-rainbow-bridge/article_eb3ffec8-8957-11ee-93e5-cf9e52289455.html

2023-10-31 18:15:37

I'm doing a piece on the OSINT boom reaching maturity — and the need for a bit more skepticism of the fly-by-night social media OSINT investigators.
Can anyone think of some big claims by OSINT accounts/groups that aged terribly?

2023-10-21 14:04:24

There has been much panic over Hamas' suicide drone program — drawing comparisons to ISIS, Ukraine-Russia, the Houthi rebels. But, despite panicked news coverage, it seems like what we've got here is a failure to launch. https://www.wired.com/story/hamas-drones-israel-war/

2023-10-17 18:53:34

A missile strike on the al-Ahli hospital in Gaza has killed at least 500, according to local authorities. Palestinian Authority, Hamas, and Egypt all say it was an Israeli airstrike. Israel isn't confirming that, says they're investigating but that they warned the hospital to evacuate days ago. (Bombing hospitals is against international law, regardless of the warnings.)

2023-10-17 17:24:35

Shortly, representatives from the Five Eyes intelligence-sharing partnership are having a fireside chat with Condoleezza Rice, discussing emerging threats in the national security and intelligence space.
We'll have FBI director Christopher Wray; Australian intelligence chief Mike Burgess; New Zealand intelligence head Andrew Hampton; MI5 boss Ken McCallum; and Canadian Security Intelligence Service director David Vigneault.
I'll make some observations in this thread if it's interesting!

2023-10-06 22:31:51

Seemingly a huge 23andme data leak. 1m lines of data on Ashkenazi jews dumped already. https://www.bleepingcomputer.com/news/security/genetics-firm-23andme-says-user-data-stolen-in-credential-stuffing-attack/

2023-10-05 18:54:32

President Vladimir Putin today claimed that former Wagner Group boss Yevgeny Prigozhin's plane was brought down by a hand grenade on-board, and that police discovered 1 million rubles ($10,000 USD) and 5kg of cocaine on the downed plane.
If any of this is true, it seems quite likely that all of these things were placed onboard by the FSB.

2023-09-23 13:07:16

Your Saturday long read: https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/09/23/canada-china-trudeau-election-meddling-politics-interference-espionage/

2023-09-22 19:33:48

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"We are very grateful that all parties are supporting us," Zelensky says of the Canadian Parliament.

2023-09-22 19:24:57

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Trudeau and Zelensky are now holding a joint availability. Trudeau playing up the *long term* nature of the support.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/111/110/434/415/332/138/original/7ff66c718f972b24.jpg

2023-09-22 19:14:45

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Here are the details on Canada's new aid package to Ukraine.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/111/110/391/393/916/852/original/65b50110c7d06fef.png
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/111/110/392/568/757/069/original/663ad7b67c5e8145.png

2023-09-22 18:06:56

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Zelensky says Governor General Mary Simon taught him an Inuktitut word: It means, he says, "don't give up."
He implores Canada: "Don't give up."
With that, he moves to shake hands with Trudeau and his cabinet.

2023-09-22 18:01:13

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Zelensky implores Canada, and the rest of the world, to make Russia pay for war crimes in Ukraine by seizing its ill-gotten assets, and by prosecuting those responsible — particularly for the abduction of Ukrainian children.

2023-09-22 17:56:42

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In the face of this threat, Zelensky says, "neutrality looks immoral." Thanks Trudeau for "being a real example of leadership." He lists Ottawa's support — air defense systems, artillery, armored vehicles, de-mining efforts. But, he underlines, that aid helped push others into helping.

2023-09-22 17:53:12

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"There's Russian aggressions must end with our victory," Zelensky says. Gets surprised by a call of "hear hear!" from the assembled MPs and Senators, who jump to their feet.

2023-09-22 17:52:23

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"It is genocide, what Russia is doing to Ukraine," Zelensky says. Russia's destruction of Mariupol, or Bakhmut, or any other Ukrainian city: "Must not go unpunished."

2023-09-22 17:51:00

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Zelensky starts his speech by noting that Canada build the first ever memorial to the Holodomor genocide.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/111/110/064/596/835/061/original/33e31c72618b59ce.jpg

2023-09-22 17:47:46

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Trudeau promises to stick with Ukraine as long as is required. He signs off with "Slava Ukraini!"

2023-09-22 17:43:21

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Trudeau is announcing $650 million in new funding to build 50 armored vehicles (including medical evacuation vehicles) that will be build in London, Ontario.
Trudeau also announcing training for fighter pilots, and maintenance for the donated F-16s. That's pretty big!

2023-09-22 17:41:43

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Here today is the family of Anthony Ihnat, a Canadian aid volunteer killed in a Russian strike. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/canadian-volunteer-killed-ukraine-1.6962330

2023-09-22 17:39:36

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Trudeau made a particular dig at China's abduction of the two Michaels. Hard not to read some of these remarks as a dig against India, as well.

2023-09-22 17:39:12

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"There are countries that are bending or breaking the rules. Political forces that are pandering to demagoguery," Trudeau says. And disinformation is one of their key weapons.
"In an era of another great power competition, rules are what protect us."

2023-09-22 17:37:53

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"What Putin has done is a break of civilizations. It is a violation of our common humanity. It is an attempt to disassemble our rules-based order," Trudeau says. That's why it's incumbent for other nations to aid in Ukraine's defense, Trudeau says.

2023-09-22 17:35:18

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"I've seen Putin's destructive evil first-hand," Trudeau says, in his introduction.

2023-09-22 17:30:54

President Volodymyr Zelensky is in the House of Commons, getting ready to address the Canadian Parliament, in-person for the first time.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/111/109/986/795/380/637/original/d3637275adcdbd56.jpg

2023-09-21 22:42:27

Canada, and another Five Eyes country, has SIGINT pointing to India as the culprit in Hardeep Singh Nijjar's murder. https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/sikh-nijjar-india-canada-trudeau-modi-1.6974607

2023-09-19 00:51:03

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Kadyrov still out here, postin' away.
Meanwhile, even some of the Russian channels are claiming he's in hospital. The Kremlin even responded to the rumours this morning.
So we've got a Schrödinger's Chechen situation.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/111/089/040/285/286/008/original/e9e7354fec2b9342.png

2023-09-17 17:00:55

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Well we've got a video from Kadyrov's official Telegram channel says he's in tip-top shape.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/111/081/557/411/256/603/original/7294e5e3e04b09ad.jpg

2023-09-17 01:34:31

Rumors abound that Ramzan Kadyrov, the Putin loyalist and Chechen leader, is sick. Possibly in a coma. It's mostly coming from Ukrainian intelligence sources, it seems.

2023-09-06 19:52:47

Ann Wroe writes the most incredible obituaries. I'm glad she decided to write on Andriy Pilshchykov. https://www.economist.com/obituary/2023/08/30/andriy-pilshchykov-pleaded-for-f-16s-to-be-sent-to-ukraine?utm_campaign=a.io&utm_medium=audio.podcast.np&utm_source=theintelligence&utm_content=discovery.content.anonymous.tr_shownotes_na-na_article&utm_term=sa.listeners

2023-09-01 19:28:45

On the misinformation beat, we need to take stock of what's working — and what's not.
Relying on Facebook to run out fact-checks is most certainly not working. https://www.bugeyedandshameless.com/p/death-to-the-fact-check

2023-08-30 13:53:37

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@npub19qn…6760 It's legitimately better written.

2023-08-30 13:42:21

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@npub1ezn…5el5 It's actually Valery Solovey. (Who will say anything for attention.)

2023-08-30 13:37:22

I promise you, it is not absolutely necessary to dispatch your Russia correspondent and wrestling lead to cover every utterance of every crackpot Russia "expert."
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/110/978/831/873/626/938/original/f2ea78503d9d8a84.png

2023-08-24 13:47:45

In 1978, The Turner Diaries imagined an America thrown into a civil war — brave rebels against a totalitarian liberal regime. Today, many of those themes have taken over the Republican Party. https://www.bugeyedandshameless.com/p/do-you-think-were-moving-towards

2023-08-23 22:18:07

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According to the Dossier Center, one of Prigozhin's closest associates, who ran his civilian operations, was also aboard the flight. https://dossier.center/polet-w/

2023-08-23 22:15:23

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Well it looks like someone got ahold of Prigozhin's official Telegram channel.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/110/941/236/138/186/035/original/6abe36fbbad95245.png

2023-08-23 20:25:13

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he died as he lived: shitposting
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/110/940/802/981/130/395/original/baa86d86a0cb6e40.jpg

2023-08-23 20:06:40

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Channels are reporting that all 10 victims of the crash have been identified (7 passengers, 3 crew.) The list includes Prigozhin and Utkin.

2023-08-23 19:51:42

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@npub1yr9…nva7 the memes are coming!

2023-08-23 19:51:03

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Also, I should clarify: I earlier used the phrase "shot down." But we don't know the circumstances of the downing. It strains credulity to say it was a "terrorist attack" and it was almost certainly not an accident. But there's no details available about how and why it went down.

2023-08-23 19:49:26

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Apparently Dmitry Peskov, the Kremlin's main mouthpiece, just didn't come to work today, so the Kremlin has been totally silent about the downing of Putin's main rival's plane just a brief distance from Moscow.

2023-08-23 19:47:57

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One Russian media outlet reporting that Russian security services have video of Prigozhin boarding the plane that went down.
And another major Wagner group confirms the death.

2023-08-23 19:41:33

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There will, supposedly, be a statement from the (surviving) Wagner Group commanders coming soon.

2023-08-23 19:28:58

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One of the larger Wagner Telegram groups reporting Prigozhin's death, sharing the message that there will be "catastrophic consequences."
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/110/940/581/735/321/160/original/a3f812b6459dcb41.png

2023-08-23 19:25:00

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Some channels reporting that both Utkin and Prigozhin's bodies have been identified.

2023-08-23 19:21:36

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I think we'll learn soon if Prigozhin was, in fact, aboard that plane. But one interesting thing:
The initial reports from Russian media suggested that the flight that *was* shot down was registered to a company called MNT-AERO LLC. (МНТ-Аэро) and the plane make was a ERJ-135BJ.
The actual make of the downed plane was EMB-135 and the plane (best I can tell) was never registered to MNT-AERO.
The plane that landed, however, *was *an 135BJ.
Did Moscow mis-identify the flight they shot down?

2023-08-23 19:00:51

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I updated an earlier toot: Russian TV did not, in fact, proclaim Prigozhin dead. Some pro-Wagner channels are keeping the hope alive. "And who got off the 'second plane'? Silence…" one writes.

2023-08-23 18:55:22

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A Wagner Telegram channel just put out this, apparently previously unreleased, video of Prigozhin touring a cemetery of Wagner fighters. Might be a sign.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/110/940/449/596/641/615/original/b86b8e15d903bb0f.mp4

2023-08-23 18:53:15

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Russian TV reporting that Prigozhin is dead.

2023-08-23 18:50:35

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Readovka has this *very interesting* report, citing Wagner sources. If Utkin is, in fact, dead, Wagner leadership will set of a dead man's switch, releasing...who knows what.
This is all pretty murky, but it is nevertheless pretty interesting.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/110/940/424/679/594/255/original/766f0f483f3af776.png

2023-08-23 18:48:38

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Based on the photos of the wreckage, it seems clear that the downed flight is a Embrarer EMB-135 Legacy, call sign RA-02795. That is, based on past reporting, one of Prigozhin's preferred personal jets.
The plane that landed near Moscow is a similar make (Embraer ERJ-135BJ Legacy) with a call sign RA-02748.

2023-08-23 18:35:24

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Ah, yup, and there's a semi-official Wagner channel saying: Hey, hold up, this regional politician isn't issuing official communiques for the PMC.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/110/940/370/031/714/325/original/4622e14cb3fac5e6.png

2023-08-23 18:26:20

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In case you're wondering what this means for Wagner: Without Prigozhin or Utkin, I don't think there's much of a future for Wagner staying independent. The outcome of the aborted coup in June was supposed to be a slow absorption of Wagner into the regular forces. That can probably now speed up significantly and entirely.

2023-08-23 18:24:56

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Russian politician Vladimir Rogov has posted that he spoke to Wagner ("the outstanding musicians") and they confirmed that Prigozhin and Utkin are dead. I'd still air on the side of caution until it's been confirmed all around, but lots of pro-Moscow channels are running with it.

2023-08-23 18:18:28

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A statement from Russia's air transport regulator says they've opened a criminal case regarding the downed aircraft, for violating air traffic safety rules. Against whom, exactly? I dunno. Everyone onboard is, likely, dead.

2023-08-23 18:03:17

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And now, reports that the second plane — possibly with Prigozhin on-board — has landed after all. Dizzy yet? #WagnerPMC

2023-08-23 17:59:29

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@npub10ex…wt9c They may not be. But channels are reporting that one exists. So they may well be lying, yes.

2023-08-23 17:58:05

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Oh boy, talk about symbolism.
Vladimir Putin is currently at a memorial for thr 80th anniversary for the Battle of Kursk. Behind him is an orchestra.
Wagner's unofficial logo is a soldier with a violin.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/110/940/224/470/984/293/original/d7a4365a9ef7415d.jpg

2023-08-23 17:51:02

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Ah, correction: That second jet hasn't landed. It's circling Moscow.
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/110/940/196/743/346/574/original/fd02949b3bc1a069.jpg

2023-08-23 17:47:56

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State news agency RIA Novosti confirming 8 dead in the crash, and that the video of the jet falling from the sky is legit.

2023-08-23 17:45:31

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Wagner channels are reminding everyone that Prigozhin had reportedly died in another plane crash, in the Democratic Republic of Congo, in 2019. "Don't listen to anyone, don't panic! We wait!" They write

2023-08-23 17:42:19

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Russian media reporting that the country's air transport authority is confirming that Prigozhin was on the flight manifest. Pro-Wagner channels reporting that the second private jet, maybe carrying Prigozhin, just landed in Moscow.

2023-08-23 17:38:27

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Video (reportedly) of the crash just hit Telegram. Definitely bodies in the wreckage. Hard to say if it's Prigozhin.

2023-08-23 17:36:40

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This is, supposedly, video of the crash
https://files.mastodon.online/media_attachments/files/110/940/140/112/795/110/original/e457265dac5804e2.mp4