thiefofsats
ThiefOfSats

I steal sats from the order books and send them to self-custody.

Public Key

npub1apuvpy5dge425rhsq2hedyhlgstkm2q70wv3657zrnkcyv09h7jq4z7jxs

NIP-57 Address

unaideddrill45@walletofsatoshi.com

Profile Code

nprofile1qqsws7xqj2x5v642pmcq9tukjtl5g9md4q08hxga20ppemvzx8jmlfqrl4pe5

Author Public Key

npub1apuvpy5dge425rhsq2hedyhlgstkm2q70wv3657zrnkcyv09h7jq4z7jxs

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Last Notes

2024-08-26 23:25:35

Back to 61k we go. 🤷‍♂️ I don't make the rules
https://image.nostr.build/e1dda3e387f2a68d92ff60f7031fcde8a0e198cc6a6f1e1f1f1138642bac921a.png
#nevent1q…fd85

2024-08-26 14:22:05

My 2 sats on Bitcoin on this rainy Monday.
#nevent1q…fd85

2024-08-26 14:20:51

Decision time for BTC, 4h. If support fails at the 25-MA then 61k is back on the table. If we bounce support we'll face a bullish week. It's that simple
https://image.nostr.build/398f22a049fcf1b236008120ba170ec9e710a43669152d86014673cc45c57b32.png

2024-08-24 16:58:21

Bitcoin squashed two resistance levels in one day (red) and instantly flipped the 2nd level into support. We call this a trend change and this could be the first sign of a massive consolidation coming to an end. Are you ready for Pumptember Anon?
https://image.nostr.build/ea6f4983153c64af692f8a8e097ee8e5af99c0e17058aa8828e14ed805e6adde.png

2024-08-09 16:11:29

100 MA rejected, 25 MA sitting right on the trendline. Happy Friday.
https://image.nostr.build/15c9182eb3af46460f3b71c09343e228a3ac922031c8d6f262eda145cee8fdb9.png

2024-08-07 18:27:50

Just a quick one on the 4h. MA crossover failed, 25-day MA rejected, 50 RSI rejected, back to $52k we go.
https://image.nostr.build/83072815a39ceaf6e7f5f55d530c5fc45124ef18668326e691a609410834eea2.png

2024-08-04 16:12:12

With the 786 FIB lost, here are your key levels to do that DCA thang into a declining trend rather than DCAing into an upwards trend. BTC 4h.
https://image.nostr.build/231ba9c59fb2efc3abc633c90da4bf4de70ea4f4894c3c647581951780911af3.png

2024-08-02 16:36:19

I'm gonna keep this simple today. BTC 4h. Declining trend continues as every relief move gets rejected (on the spot). RSI hoovering sub 50 agrees. 0.786 at $61k still on the table.
https://image.nostr.build/98e00f0ac8d60b69db0d8cb94dc703134c44a87b71ee1bdb1bf2af89f9514e84.png

2024-07-13 11:49:35

I shared that the wrong way around today. 🤷‍♂️
#nevent1q…pzlh

2024-07-11 14:55:43

This isn't the US CPI index. This is the 100-day moving average (index) on the 4h chart and it got rejected.
https://image.nostr.build/b802949dac401f54c578a94e0fe4c82f44c6851e288d38efe52b89d622449e5b.png

2024-07-10 12:57:07

BTC 4h, 100 MA rejection ends the relief after Bitcoin started signalling oversold last Friday.
https://image.nostr.build/8ab1a91f45a025248f9698ea20fd7334cdf17f0932b5c4732862d22a61eb2f74.png

2024-07-08 14:45:35

What you saw this morning is what we call a "bull trap". 51k still in play.
https://image.nostr.build/803efbc15c078e12e00ce471f7532c706d2959f339fd2686ea1c74f1535a73de.png

2024-07-07 21:31:26

Quick one, BTC 4h.
After being rejected by the 25-day MA and the 50 RSI Bitcoin continues along the declining trend. 0.618 around $51k back on the table. We now have to see how the Monday opens.
https://image.nostr.build/b1a3e3bd875e1e2a1ac14476e0beadfcf20510053f935314a3830f24605517c4.png

2024-07-02 14:39:29

- reply

Are you watching? Here it comes.

2024-07-02 14:27:11

Just a quick one, BTC 4h.
After being rejected at the resistance level las night Bitcoin is now coming down to seek support at the recovered 100-day moving average. A bounce there would suggest a continuation of the upward momentum. Falling through will send us back to the 0.786 Fib sitting at $61k.
https://image.nostr.build/065ea39be5fd91c35ae0c2877109f3a2c68d033089f0dc2b095915be8110aa7d.png

2024-06-26 11:27:23

let's keep this simple today. BTC 4h, rejected at the 25-day moving average (yellow dot). 🐻ish sentiment continues.
https://image.nostr.build/767ab6be9666e3a290cfd26d2e8ecbc01e2d7c7432771c1c86fa8a4f9ec87e5e.png

2024-06-24 11:30:48

Bitcoin 4h, "just algos doing their thing"
BTC is starting the week with the $61k dip we've anticipated testing major support at the 0.786 FIB established over the last 4 months. Falling through this level puts the recent low of $57k on the radar and it would also put the 0.618 FIB back on the table sitting at $51k. A bounce would suggest that we continue to move sideways between the $61k and $71k FIB channel.
ANYTHING below $61k should be considered an absolute bargain. #stacksats
https://image.nostr.build/dd6c89cda0985123dc53febc1df3513aaf67ed2f16dba5ea9c4f43084128ec54.png

2024-06-20 13:27:07

#nevent1q…lyku
Opinion hasn't changed. No, not even with MS picking up another 11,931 coins.
https://image.nostr.build/f4ff8073a84920a8ea1df9875432be0099b9cf99d337f3be6baabb5323624397.png

2024-06-18 16:32:04

Here's my opinion on BTC, 4h chart.
BTC is about to hit previous support at $64k. If that falls through then $61k is pretty much guaranteed as it represents the 0.786 FIB which has shown strong support numerous times in the last couple of months. Now, if that falls through then the 0.5 FIB is back on the table sitting at $51k.
https://image.nostr.build/b0f64a18a3f33801151470b7d8226ab72d89a084c7aa9f31600fd04c810df947.png
Generally, I don't stack sats unless we're in a clear upwards trend or I see a confirmed bounce which, at this moment of time, is still outstanding. We'll know if $64k will hold up in the next 8-16h but with miners transferring coins to the exchanges (adding to the sell pressure) and with shorts stacking the order books I doubt that $64k will hold and expect more of a tiny bounce when automated trading triggers at that level before it breaks downwards.
This could be very well the pre-summer vacation time retracement you're familiar with from previous cycles. As institutions, OTC and leveraged traders don't tend to leave their positions on the markets before the vacation time. They MUST zero-out their positions. Meaning they're neither long nor short. In addition institutional has to take gains on their long positions from last year. You know, when everyone was talking about a bear market while Bitcoin casually went up over 350%.
It's a good time to stack sats on upwards trends rather than on the way down or during tiny recoveries.

2024-06-17 11:45:11

#Monero is seeing some serious volume in the last couple of week. 👀
https://image.nostr.build/93c0a2840800475a690acb6d5c6f0b58f06572c18ff658a35b2da12808412824.png

2024-06-12 13:46:02

this is how support levels work and at the bottom you'll see how an "oversold" RSI works
https://image.nostr.build/05bbdcb7eec33ee7ebb4f00480556d33ea2194bd688eafbf9e979492d0dada30.png

2024-06-07 18:08:52

One doesn't simply dip without bouncing the 100-day MA. At least for now.
https://image.nostr.build/8844a8a5e88faab72294bb4f5e7447474705d28afec52f4b73b2dea1b81f95c9.png

2024-05-30 18:58:46

BTC 4h. Textbook relief bounce at the 100-day MA and recovery of the 50 RSI opening the path to retest the 73k ATH.
https://image.nostr.build/e7368d2ec06ac019840b47816a07f425434f6420c2ffe991ea24624c66ce9176.png
#Bitcoin

2024-05-27 16:14:17

Scenario 1 it is.

2024-05-27 13:31:26

It's Monday so here's today's outlook.
Bitcoin has been hoovering the 50 RSI (bottom) for the entire weekend. We did get the dip to 66.5k range (see last update) but bounced and therefore we didn't revisit the 64k range. Atm we're facing a crossover of the 7- and 25-day moving average while the sideways move over the weekend has pulled the 100-day MAup to the 66.5k support range.
Scenario 1: The 7/25 MA crossover succeeds and Bitcoin will aim to retest the 1 FIB / new ATH at 73k. Breaking that level AND finding support above 73k would open the road to the 88k range.
Scenario 2: The crossover fails, we revisit 66.5k range for support and, if support gets confirmed we'll then test the recent ATH for resistance.
Whichever comes first. Stack sats while we're still within the established channels.
https://image.nostr.build/a1eaa1cb541aa2cd7e8dabb1fe3bd1bb7664c8823e6871bd1e9f0efdd76837ac.png
#Bitcoin

2024-05-23 15:04:22

- reply

Yeah, I thought we'd see 51k during the last dip since it's a solid FIB level but we came short. 50 range "one more time" would be a blessing.

2024-05-23 14:25:03

Let's keep it simple. to levels to stack some cheaper sats. enjoy #Bitcoin
https://image.nostr.build/25b5e25a04a915038038fc2a367db2206a6245a289266c8670578bcf85466dd4.png

2024-05-20 20:03:12

1,2,3... then 🚀. So much for "all models are broken". enjoy the ride
https://image.nostr.build/bc50d9e51a45d9cfa38c9891e2ebe53037bff0bc91e99795c9fded0a90c1c911.png

2024-05-17 14:10:14

- reply

ended? just shared it

2024-05-17 14:08:12

This week's recap, BTC 4h.
After a bullish week Bitcoin has finally set a "higher high" since following the declining trend from the ATH. We're closing the week with a strong rejection in the $66,500 rang. Since it's Friday we might see a little relief from signalling overbought across the board.
Expected support levels are 64k and 62k respectively on the bearish side. For the bulls we want to see a move above 65k but hopefully with a pullback first to take pressure of the market.
Disclaimer: The longs from 57k and 61k got closed last night with a re-entry floating at $66,805 in case we do not get said relief over the weekend.
https://image.nostr.build/8a7968e3e26cc36d1e5e847a638963e03dff4c22b8c0d3e9307a705ab080859c.png

2024-05-12 17:12:30

- reply

I don't do price predictions

2024-05-12 16:24:03

- reply

much strong support.

2024-05-12 15:39:53

Only a few will understand the beauty in this. The most accurate FIB level float I've ever seen. https://image.nostr.build/e57a8c5ba3bb6c8dac6bcb04fd5ac3fa89b64fc6a2936c8f766108ca4169ea4f.png

2024-05-09 15:59:11

Fib bounce for BTC is sending a bullish signal. However, Bitcoin still has to retake the 50 RSI (bottom) and cross the 25/100-day moving average (top). If we can hold 61k the next days should be bright. If we don't then $51k is back on the table, again.
https://image.nostr.build/73ec10dc83913d71b98a0929b43d02e6533ed0324a3481dd3b806d4856a9c474.png

2024-05-03 12:53:16

Decision time for BTC. Retake the Fibonacci to signal a trend change or get rejected and continue to the path to 51k. Happy weekend.
https://image.nostr.build/41307e44e277de6f90b43b29b0914dc7ee5a068cd184444d8abf7cef30c73a5e.png

2024-05-01 12:18:49

... and just like that the 0.618 FIB doesn't look so far fetched any more. Enjoy the ride. #Bitcoin
https://image.nostr.build/375b962c7c8861b11fec59e5690fbd5b7535b087f7dd04468774a533dd43a536.png

2024-05-01 12:05:55

GM $51k gang. #Bitcoin

2024-04-30 12:07:18

Bitcoin in a nutshell. 4h, lower highs, lower lows, bearish af. We've been rejected trice at the 50 RSI over the last week and the declining trend line speaks for itself. However, with the FIB support around 61k we're coming to the end of the wedge. If Bitcoin bounces the 61k range again we could see a trend change evolving over the next couple of days. If Bitcoin loses the 61k support the 0.618 FIB comes back to the table sitting at 51k.
End of month incoming, stack sacks and be happy!
https://image.nostr.build/831e6bfeb33f869d0cbf6ab6177649d381fd59216429bf9e974f434966180a71.png

2024-04-30 12:03:36

- reply

👋

2024-04-26 15:43:48

hello nostrix