OrriginalCrypto
Orriginal.Crypto

Bought my first Bitcoin in 2013, Lost the address and Never repeated the same mistake again - Chartist - analyst - FERRARI Maxi - Love Life even though nearly Blind
NEVER let anyone or Anything Stop you - NEVER
LINUX - BITCOIN - OPEN MIND = FREEDOM

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Last Notes

2024-11-01 10:09:53

So, Now the October Candle has closed, I can show you some more interesting things about what has just happened.
But First, OCTOBER IS THE FIRST MONTH INTO DOUBLE FIGURES AS A GREEN CANDLE CLOSE SINCE 2011
So ->
As mentioned, We have only ever seen a RED August followed by a GREEN Sep and October on 3 previous occasions. 2015 & 2016 and then again in 2023 and just now , in 2024 makes the 4th.
To me, this backs up the idea that PA is following the 2013 - 2017 Fractal.
But there is more to this now the candle has closed yesterday.
2015
August -30% Sep +18% Oct +41% =29% total gain
2016
August -26% Sep +14% Oct +24% = 12% total Gain
And so now we move over to what is happening in this cycle
2023
August -16% Sep +14% Oct +37% = 35% total gain
2024
August -23% Sep +30% Oct +30% = 37% total gain
The numbers are not exactly the same and, infact, the 2024 figures blow the others out the water from September......but there is a trend there to be seen until Sep 2024 comes in.
Maybe wishful thinking and how the next 3 Monthly candles Close will confirm or deny this idea.
But it has to be said, the PA has followed the Fractal from Nov 2021 to now pretty accurately..as can be seen on many previous Posts
IF we are doing this 2013 - 2017 Fractal, we have a clear Run to a New ATH by end of 2025 or just after, with intermittent RED months while PA catches its breath, like in Jan 2017
It should be Noted that a GREEN October Close does NOT always lead to a Green November.. So we need to continue to watch carefully.
https://m.primal.net/LpCJ.png

2024-11-01 09:06:48

Bitcoin / Gold Daily
PA is still in the descending channel and just got rejected off the top ttrendline.
with all the unsettled financial and Macro events, the traditional safe haven is winning this battle but only just
the next 2 months will be very interesting but for now, It is a close call between Bitcoin and Gold on a Macro scale
https://m.primal.net/LpAH.png

2024-11-01 08:21:58

Bitcoin 4 hour
PA holding Ground and hopefully, this will go no lower now.
MACD on Neutral and RSI oversold and turning up.
If support Fails, we REALLY do not want to see below 66500 as that would create a lower Low.
But, on a longer Term scale, we are OK and I will post the Monthly chart soon... Very interesting data in that that points towards a very happy Future
https://m.primal.net/Loyg.png

2024-10-28 09:58:00

What is interesting right now is how the Bitcoin SPOT index price is RISING and currently at 68491 usdt at time of writing
The CME Bitcoin price is 68865, FALLING from a high of 69070 just a few hours ago
Will be very interesting toi see what happens when they meet

2024-10-18 14:11:28

On the whole, I look at #Bitcoin INDEX charts but I Just looked back at this old chart on the BINANCE Exchange and it does point towards a possibly Uncomfortable weekend if you are Levereged LONG
Fib Circles have a HUGE bearing on what we see PA do... it is just a Fact.
So, Take Care if you are Levereged this weekend....It may not happen but..do you want to take that risk and Not cover yourself..
Meanwhile, SPOT traders..well...We off out and enjoying life, Carefree and waiting for Monday
Have agood one Guys and Gals
https://m.primal.net/LZuf.png

2024-10-04 14:31:18

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I've always looked at people like that as simply Prostitutin gthemselves...and for what ?

2024-09-29 09:14:43

Just getting back from a Superb trip to COVID Land.
Yeah - Those Vacines did the trick well didn;t they !

2024-09-25 12:25:46

We all Earn money making things that other people who also earn money making things, will buy.
On paper, thats great.
But over the history of this age of man, it has become centralised.
Large Corporations and Central banks are the principal Keystones now.
They now run entire countries and take them to war if required.
Your Prime ministers, Presidents, Dictators - >
They ALL answer to these.
Do not Kid yourself and believe otherwise.

2024-09-25 05:59:52

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I totally get this - In my youth, I lived ont he steets of London for 18 Months - No Beds there and Cardboard was actually pretty good ( when it was dry")
But I have lifted myself up in more ways than one. I now sleep on a Bed but with a very thin hard mattress, The problem with being on the floor is that you get all the Bugs , Dust and Dirt and, in winter, the Cold....

2024-09-23 08:10:07

While talking about MVRV Z Score - I have been posting abot how simialr the Bitcoin PA is from the 2013 ATH to the 2017 ATH
The MVRV Z Score pattern in simialt to.
The two image are below. Very similar points. The Arrow on the 2013 - 2017 show what we have just done, but on a smaller scale
https://m.primal.net/KyyD.png
https://m.primal.net/KyyH.png

2024-09-23 08:00:28

I want to show you View of #Bitcoin without showing you the actual PA of Bitcoin.
This is called MVRV Z Score.
it stands for Market Value Raslised Value Z Score.
MVRV z-score shows the market value's relative position to realized value. MVRV going high means Bitcoin is overvalued ( Desired) ; going low means undervalued, ( being less desirable). ( Bitcoin market value - Bitcoin realized value ) / market value standard deviation = MVRV z-score
Realized value is the sum of value when all Bitcoins last moved
The Zscore ( Green) crosses over the MVRV ( yellow) in a real Bull run and tends to lead to ATH
The image shows the period from 2019 to Now. - Note how the Z score got near crossing the MVRV in 2019 ( Arrow ) , retreated and then came back up over at a later date
Also note how the Z Score Peaks BEFORE the PA ATH ( was in March 2021 )
See how it peaked on the 1.272 Fib line.
Then look over to the Right and the Current play.
See how Z Score has come up and tried crossing over the MVRV and failed, same as it di did 2019. This time it did that on the 1.414 Fib line and possibly did so with the push of all the BTC ETF purchasing.
So, while we are producing a similar pattern, things are slightly different. The climb from 0 ( Green lake, VERY under valued ) currently, has been slower and more controlled.
The Real question here is how far the MVRV will retreat. See over on the Left, it came back all the way to 0 by March 2020. Ignore that, it was the Covid Crash and very quickly recovered. However, the drop to the 0.239 is Valid and we need to see if we get there again.
Currently, we have just bounced off the 0.618. That is the realised Value climbing..Or more profit....
Another thing to note here is look how Volatile Both periods are compared to the majority of the Time.
We are definatly building up to something here...
https://m.primal.net/KyxT.png

2024-09-23 06:46:13

#Bitcoin has been banging up against resistance all weekend, as suggested on Friday and we are now very possibly about to see a draw back. Look at that Candle for today.. That shows a Lot of indecision.
Now, I maybe being Hopeful here but we could print an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. - BULLISH
A Measured move from that takes us to 74K usdt
~And it has to be said, that despite all the Bleating last week about how "This is It" and "Bull Run returns", we are STILL IN RANGE since March this year.
IF this Inverse H&S become valid, it will take us to the upper trendline of that range... where there is a WALL toi cross
Do not get me wrong, We Will do it...But I am not going to dance and say we have escaped the range....untill we have escaped it.
And it has to be said, the RSI is high on 1 and 4 hour and Daily charts
TIME TO COOL OFF MAYBE - untill that happens, Lets keep our eyes open
https://m.primal.net/Kyvj.png

2024-09-21 07:32:28

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OK, showing my ignorence here But could you tell me what an OG nsec is please ? Sounds handy

2024-09-20 06:26:42

We have had a nice push from Bitcoin since September 7th , ( Yes, it began ~BEFORE the FED spoke ) but it is now approaching a decision point.
You can see from the line chart that this line is a STRONG trendline but it seems to offer little resistance and acts more as strong support.
We need that to happen over the next 3 days.
You can see from the zoomed in chart, I expect PA to go through the Fib circle and Trend line intersection, the path of least resistance. ( Arrow)
It is still tough just above, with a lot of resistance there so, be ready for rejection at any point from now till the point we cross 76K.
Zones of interest are 67100 - 67900 - 70K to 73K - 75700
I have no doubt we WILL pass these zones.... it just maybe a bit messy
If you are Greedy and go Heavy Levereged, take precautions or just go SPOT and lean back, relax and wait.
https://m.primal.net/KvWA.png
https://m.primal.net/KvWI.png

2024-09-19 14:27:25

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Laughter is th ebest medicine, for any situation....it IS the only thing better than Bitcoin Lol...

2024-09-19 12:28:44

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I've only just joined NOSTR...So..If you click on your username on the bottom left of your screen ( assuming you using a PC Screen) , that will show you your account details..number of posts, Zaps, following, followers etc etc...

2024-09-19 12:14:32

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on the pages I looked at, 3 month old posts kinda lead to low interection... Primal seems a little more active and, if I am honest, I am pleased to be here in the early user count... loving this place..... oh, and I think I just became your 1000th follower ;- )

2024-09-19 11:11:06

So, You got some Bitcoin but you want more
Problem is you do not have any more Money to buy some.
SO, TRADE BTC PAIRS
And right now, the BNB BTC pair is oversold and has room to move higher.
ALWAYS trade carefully and understand how Charts work
https://m.primal.net/KujI.png

2024-09-19 11:01:31

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I had a look at Bluesky and the biggest problem I saw there was simply the fact that some of th emost recent posts were 3 months old !

2024-09-18 05:54:13

Modern Slavery is nothing to do with Chains and Collers.
It is EVERYTHING about DEBT
International, National and personnal DEBT
It is ALL owed to BANKS

2024-09-17 14:00:16

I have been posting this chart since around October 2022 and so , Here it is for my New NOSTR viewers ( where ever they are, if any lol )
This chart shows you the impact of the DXY Support Group ( FED ) Rate increases, BTC PA and Key moments in that Time.
Something I want to point out is note how PA increased in June 2022, after the FED increase Rates by 75 points.
Bitcoin has NOT been effected by the FED but more by the companies that were effected by the FED..like FTX, 3 Arrows and some Banks etc etc.
The REAL question on our lips right now is what will happen to PA if the Fed Drops rates tomorrow, some are now saying they may not......But it is coming at some point.
It is going to be very interesting to see what happens here... BTC has Never been in this situation.....
BRING IT ON
https://m.primal.net/KsmU.png

2024-09-17 13:44:12

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And that is when people like me, who are not from the USa tell you that it is becoming more an fmore obvious that it is NOT Washington that runs the USa but the Banks.. It was screamed out when theh USa invaded Iraq the last time...No worl threat ever existed but Saddam HAD said he was going to stop using the $ for international settlements...just like Gaddafi had a few e yars earlier and like Assad did after....Why would the USa invade those countries ? Because the BANKS were aboutt o loose money..go check it out... The USA IS OWNED and I say that with a tear in my eye

2024-09-16 09:13:51

How to MUTE or BLOCK an account in here ?
Thats a MAJOR need

2024-09-16 07:31:37

Longer term, this Weekly BTC USDT chart shows us where we are very clearly.
Thing to note here is look what happened last time we bounced off that 50 SMA ( Red )
Could we do the same ? We will know in 3 days
https://m.primal.net/Krat.png

2024-09-16 06:55:20

Bitcoin USDT Daily
There are a number of things to watch here.
PA got rejected off a weak resistance, as it did in the beginning of August
This points towards a new line of resistance, the upper line of s descending triangle, with an apex in Mid October.
Also, Look at the VRVP on the right and more to the point, the trendline the arrow points to. This just highlights what Trendlines CAN show you. that trend line os following that line of VRVP perfectly. Trendlines often do. The Wall above for BTC, right now, is tough.
The 18th is the crunch day for all...We need to wait and see what happens but be prepared fro ALL eventualities.
https://m.primal.net/KrZn.png

2024-09-16 06:40:07

PAXG BTC 4 hour chart
PAXG making gains while BTC PA drops. PA bounces off lower trend line.
This week, we have the DXY Support Group ( the FED ) , telling everyone how they, the PRIVITE group of Bankers, will adjust interest rates.
This could very well be a pivotal moment for markets across the board. And as yet, we are not to sure how Risk on assets will react to a drop in rates, as are expected.
For me, I am hedging with a % in BTC and a % in PAXG ( tokenised GOLD )
If Both go up, great, I pick the highest gainer.
Watch GOLD and Bitcoin
https://m.primal.net/KrYO.png

2024-09-15 16:30:06

As we draw to the weeks end, it is a good thing to see that PA has just bounced Hard off the long term Support, based from 2013 and will close the 2nd week of September GREEN. This month is usually Hard on PA and this is a very positive sign.
The zoomed version of the same chart, with Tradingview volume based Candles shows that strong candle but still with a certaibn lack of support volume - However, PA broke through that 8.236 Fib circle very well.
Look to the left and see what happened when we broke through the 7.236.
While I am very bullish, the Fib extension I have on this chart stops at the 4.236 at 76K USDT for a reason.
For me, that is a HUGE Wall we need to break through.
THATS the barrier, from 72K to 76K I am looking for PA to Leap over.
I will be opening my champagne when that happens .
And it may very well be SOON
https://m.primal.net/KquX.png
https://m.primal.net/Kquc.png

2024-09-14 08:52:59

XRP has been one of the most manipulated, under performing assets in the last 2 years and now we hear of the possible emergence of an XRP ETF.
WHY WOULD ANYONE DO THAT ?
However, the Future could be bright for XRP as we hear of the potential use of XRP by the BRICS countries ( again, WHY ? )
But here is the Chart of XRP
More of a stable coin if you ask me.
p.s. RIPPLE is one of the leading companies involved in creating CBDC's woprld wide. DANGEROUS
https://m.primal.net/KpYM.png

2024-09-13 20:50:55

Sometimes, Good things come in bundles of 3, 6, 9

2024-09-13 08:45:52

I do not do politics really but if the American Adminsitration authorises Ukraine to use Long Range American made missiles into Russia this weekend, we peace loving sould are FUCKED>
And what the public needs to know is that it is the USA that has organised this from the start - it is NOT PUTIN that started all this - The american backed Coup in Ukraine, from a peaceful Public voted in a Parliamnet, to a USA Loving Administration that then began bombing the eastern regions of ukraine....it murdered its own people..
THAT is why Putin invaded....after trying for YEARS to stop Kiev doing the bombing.
And THAT is why so many other countries SUPPORT RUSSIA
Do you really want WW3 ?
It is really only the American public that can stop this now......
PLEASE STOP THIS

2024-09-12 09:52:05

Another view on the #Bitcoin Weekly
We been rejected off this fib circle twice before and will it be third time lucky ?
We are also testing a strong line of resistance, thet we have turned into Support.....Or HAVE WE ?
The 2nd image shows you a close up and the apex of that squeeze is in 4 days time.
PA Always reacts before that point.
Hang on Guys and Gals......
https://m.primal.net/Knez.png
https://m.primal.net/KnfB.png

2024-09-12 09:02:27

So what is going to happen to the DXY $ when the FED begins cutting Rates ?
A Look back in History shows that only on ONE occasion did the DXY continue to rise.
The other occasions, , the DXY $ Fell and given the pressure the DXY $ is under internationally right now, the chances of it rising have to be very slim.
https://m.primal.net/Kndo.png

2024-09-12 08:27:33

The $ DXY as we lknow it
https://m.primal.net/KndG.png

2024-09-12 06:01:24

#Bitcoin Daily
PA Dropped out of range again and has since bounced back into range - But will this hold ?
Impossible to say but I am Bullish still and do belive that after the 18th, We will see a Big change. I am also going to leave this Range Box on the chart as I think we have crossed a turning point.
HOWEVER, there is also the possibility that we will not see a Major move till October if the MACRO environment is not "comfortable"
The MACD is getting Higher on the lower time frames, though it can range, the Daily is just turning Bullish on the Low and the weekly is still falling Bearish and will hit Neutral Next week, if it carries on its current course.
I have to say that despite me saying I am bullish, I do have a growing unease with how this is playing out. To many extents, RSI and MACD are similar to post March 2021 ( see 2md image) , which means the up coming bounce may not produce the desired results and yet, at the same time, I do feel we are following the Fractal from 2013 ->2017 ATH's, in which case, we are on the verge of Great gains. Also, look at the Histogram on the 2021 ATH retreat, it went way deeper than we have this time. That could poiint towards an ynder laying Bullish strength
Which way will it go ?
Time will tell us and On Chain data will help and I am about to catch up on that
https://m.primal.net/KnYQ.png
https://m.primal.net/KnYg.png

2024-09-04 20:55:09

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Thing is, if that is not public knowledge, then how is anyone supposed to know and given how the history with "Give me your email address" has let to spamming, mabe another avenue could be found, so that things like this do nothappen.... I mean you no disrespect as it seems you did have good intentions and I apologise for my reaction..but I may not be the last to do this......
Maybe a better invite generator can be found, like when accessing the App, setup account, Verify email, invite sent ?

2024-09-04 11:32:48

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Sure thing , It is NotAFuckingMuppet@AreYouADickehead.com

2024-09-04 09:19:47

And on a slightly different note, How many people remember pulling into a petrol station and someone would come up and ask you how much fuel you wanted put in and then THEY would do it.
It was a different world not that long ago you know.

2024-09-04 09:11:46

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And My head..My Head just keeps talking...My Talking Heads

2024-09-04 07:46:53

So while we all wait to see what he DXY SUPPORT GROUP....err...sorry...THE FED say on the 18th September about Rate Cuts in the USA, here is a chart I have been posting elsewhere since 22nd March 2022
This is the History of BTC PA and the Fed Rate Rises and as you can see, the Rates actually had little effect on BTC PA. It was the impact on other things because of Rates, that effected BTC PA...like LUNA and FTX. BTC still began its rise to current levels just after a 50 point raise and continued to rise despite further rate rises after that.
We have had nearly a year of 0 rises and look at BTC PA.
The Biggest effect has been the approval of the BTC ETF's
So, Will Rate Cuts effect BTC ?
Very likely but what we all need to remember here is that, traditionally, when the Fed pivots, Traditional Markets Fall..........
Will Bitcoin follow suit ?
It is foolish to say a definitive response to that. We just do not know, Bitcoin has NEVER been in this position.
But I am inclined to say PA will respond positively. That maybe a hope more than knowledge lol. If the traditioanal Markets fall, that money has to go somewhere and it will not be the $, Lower Rates gives less returns. GOLD is the traditional deposit. BTC may well tempt many..
I hope so
We will have to watch On chain and Traditional charts VERY closely on the lead up to and just after.
https://m.primal.net/KdYQ.png

2024-09-04 06:46:52

#Bitcoin 1 hour chart REFERENCE ONLY
I do not often post 1 hour charts as they can be misleading BUT they do have their uses to be able to see the Micro climates.
And we can see here that PA has founf that support, as it has previously..that does not mnean it will hold.
Once again, you can see the VRVP on the right clearly showing the line of resistance - that is what PA has to climb through to stop falling.
This week we have a load of ecnomic data coming out from the USA and then on the 18 September, we have the FED Cutting Rates. Possibly. THAT is the trigger we are waiting for.
The real question, another one, is how low will BTC drop before that point.
Hang in there !
https://m.primal.net/KdVR.png

2024-09-04 06:37:10

#Bitcoin Daily
You can see the resistance BTC is facing with the VRVP on the right of the chart and you can see how it is pushing PA down.
Ther Big question is will we loose 56K USDT - And I thinnk there is a chance. Both MACD and RSI can drop further, though the Bulls can step in any time.
The Fear and Greed index is now at 27, Bearish but not extreme Fear and as a result, traders are taking less risks. This leads me to think that this is a great buying opportunity. We have been hovering around this level for over a month now... so..... Nothing New.
Change is coming. We just not 100% sure in which direction.
For me, we could Dip lower to ahske out Levereged positions and then rise from there.
I could obviously be wrong.
Time will tell
https://m.primal.net/KdUT.png

2024-09-03 18:09:35

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Why is this a surprise..What do you think Alexa dies ? You even give it permission to do so..same will all other apps that ask for permission to use Microphone.....The data is sold..How many read the small print that says " We reserve the right to use the data we record"

2024-09-03 16:00:36

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It does eem to be a bit convoluted doesn't it - Thanks for th eidea, I'll have a look

2024-09-03 10:40:43

I was always told, while growing up, "Never accept second Best"
ETHEREUM or BITCOIN
Never accept Second best seems to be a thing in Crypto.
This ETHBTC chart very clearly shows how BITCOIN has Massively out performed ETH since Nov 2021 and is comtinuing to do so.
SELL ETH But BITCOIN
it is that simple
https://m.primal.net/KcAY.png

2024-09-03 10:26:47

Some interesting things happening in the Crypto market as a whole.
Here are 4 charts that begin to point out these.
TOTAL CRYPTO MARKET CAP - On a fragile line of support it has used before to push to ATH
TOTAL2 - Total Market cap Minus BTC - PA has been rejected off the line it needed to hold as Support and now sits on Midline of that area of support
TOTAL3 - Total Market cap Minus BTC & ETH - This shows PA has been sitting on midline Longer than total2 and, so far, it has held 3 retests so far. Could this be the New Floor ? THIS MUST HOLD for ALT Market.
OTHERS -Total Market Cap minus Top 10 - It is THIS chart that I thinnk MANY need to see. It has already lost support, lost the retest and so now is heading lower, towards a make or break line for ALTS. The Arrows point towards previous occasions on this line and it is strong. PA is currently trying to hang onto a line of support that has proved good in the past. FINGERS CROSSED FOR ALTS
https://m.primal.net/KbzC.png
https://m.primal.net/KbzM.png
https://m.primal.net/KbzT.png
https://m.primal.net/Kbzf.png

2024-09-03 09:06:13

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The Basílica de la Sagrada Família in Barcelona is one of the best I have seen, all based on Trees and is beautiful

2024-09-03 08:32:30

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Theres an idea..Thanks, I'll have a look

2024-09-03 07:54:46

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Thanks for replying at least ;-)

2024-09-03 07:53:36

TOTAL CRYPTO MARKET CAP
We could be at a deciding point on this one.
https://m.primal.net/Kbra.png

2024-09-03 07:23:26

#Bitcoin Daily
I been posting this chart for ages on other platforms and now Its here.
I drew those Arrows on the left in April, based on retracement levels made possible by the sharp rise during the "ETF Push".
It took a while but we have hit 3 out of the 4 targets and I am not discounting the possibility of doing the 4th with a sudden dive, Long wick before we push higher.
It may not do this but the chance exists, so I have my spot order down there and a little lower than the 41700 USD suggested by the Fib line.
And I reckon that could happen before that box runs out, again, been there since around April. -
2nd week of September..A time to watch, or there abouts...and the problem for me, I will Not be near a computer...
"WHAT ? Is that possible" ? YUP.. By choice ;- )
https://m.primal.net/KbpR.png

2024-09-03 07:00:56

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PLEASE could you do a quick Wick down to 37K to Grab my Spot order and then turn around and fly up to 75K and then Hold there for a week before continued Rise. Thanks.

2024-09-03 06:50:05

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I want in to ALBY but I need an invite..do you have one ?
I love what I have heard......

2024-09-03 06:48:33

I been following this idea for a long time now and of all the previous cycles, this one is the closest.
The 2013 -> 2017 ATH's overlaid on current PA from Nov 2021 ATH
This idea can break at anytime and it should be remembered that there is no guarentee this will continue but until it stops, then it works.
And if this does continue, Just look at that New ATH in September Next year !
https://m.primal.net/Kbnm.png

2024-09-02 19:23:05

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That is a shame.....BUT there must be reasons surely...Maybe he should have approched distributions more closely and then seen adoption grow via reccomendations

2024-09-02 16:00:05

So, Whats BULLISH for #Bitcoin right now ?
So many things. We can go into the ON CHAIN side and see Sell side pressure has rediced, Profit / Loss stats are leveling out and so on but lets go Traditional and easy.
Bollinger Bands are envelopes plotted at a standard deviation level above and below a simple moving average of the price. Because the distance of the bands is based on standard deviation, they adjust to volatility swings in the underlying price. Bollinger Bands use 2 parameters, Period and Standard Deviations, StdDev.
The orange Dots are the BASIS or Average.
See the Lower line, where the arrows are ? See how PA moved higher when PA was on that lower line for any length of time ?
We have been sat on that line for a while now and the Odds are for a move higher.
But there is no promise of that, so, be cautious but I think we may well see a Dip lower ( maybe) and then a Shoot higher.
If you use Leverge...STUPID..You have not learnt your lesson yet have you ?
https://m.primal.net/KajE.png

2024-09-02 15:47:56

All those Negative people who keep talking about #Bitcoin returning to 30K USDT
What is the basis of their argument ?
To put it simply, when you are the top, the only way is down.
I do not adhere to this argument on this occasion though but Technically, it would be Stupid to ignore it completely.
That Red line down near the Trend line is the 50 Week SMA, which, if you look back, Has acted as support.
So, If PA Looses to the Bears, that is a very real possibility but I do not think we will loose out to the Bears, Not yet.
So, We keep an eye open
https://m.primal.net/Kahy.png

2024-09-02 15:21:21

Here is something a lot of people seem to have forgotten about.
THE BITCOIN HALVING and the number of days AFTER that we tend to get a new ATH
So heres a little chart to refresh your memories. Please understand, this is a monthly chart so day count have a lee way of + - 15 days but near enough
Nov 2012 Haling - New ATH 365 days later Dec 2013
July 2016 Halving - New ATH 518 days later Dec 2017
May 2020 Halving - New ATH 304 days later March 2021
and again 518 days after Halving in Nov 2021
And NOW, We had a Halving in March 2024 - we are only 153 days after halving.
So, we have a way to go. and if the count works again, ATH will be around Dec, as so many charts point to and as has happened twicwe in the past
SO just hang in there Guys and Gals
https://m.primal.net/KafF.png

2024-09-02 10:30:15

As a contrast to the BTC USD chart just posted, the PAXG BTC ( tokenised GOLD pegged 1:1 like a stable coin ) is loosing Value to BTC
BTC is THE gainer rigth now, beating the US $ and GOLD
https://m.primal.net/KaNM.png

2024-09-02 10:25:34

#Bitcoin USD Index LOG
PA gaining against the USD this morning and plenty of room to continue this push higher.
The MACD is below Neutral ( bottom indicator) and RSI has just touched Neutral.
We could easily see 60K + today if this continues
https://m.primal.net/KaNB.png

2024-09-02 07:23:17

This is a chart I developed a while back and it shows the Range BTC has been in since it casme into channel back in 2013. There are many reasons as to why this happened and I can explain if required.
But as you see, the ATH's are above the upper limit and on each occasion, remain up there for longer
The Lower line has never been broken since PA entered.
So I find this a great gauge and , as you can see, we are Near the lower end of range..This leads me to think we have some very good action to come in the next few months.
That is providing, we can get moving higher.
And just to keep this short, I am expecting a similar PA move to that of the First ATH on the left ( 2013 ) to the Next one along, (2017)
If that plays out, we are looking at a near $500K BTC by the end of 2025 latest
But, as ever, no promises
https://m.primal.net/KaCI.png

2024-09-02 07:02:24

#Bitcoin Weekly
Candle closed RED for last week, no surprise there.
It cannot be denied now, PA is under pressure and it is not relaxing.
However, the MACD is now so close to the Neutral line that is could give PA a breather and has room to move.
As you will learn, I am a firm believer in FIB Circles and that Red line we are currently butted up against is a 236 Fib circle. They can be lines of strong resistance.
If you look to the left on the chart, you can see the last 2 occasions we hit one. PA walked through it and then rose higher.
So, as a result, I am ready to sit tight this weel and wait, while being Cautious.
That is what this chart offers me.. I will post other charts and we shall get a better idea of what is really going on.
https://m.primal.net/KaBL.png

2024-09-01 17:54:51

Since the 2008 Low, the US $ has gained 58.5 %
In the same time span, GOLD has gained 158.4%
Created in 2008, Bitcoin has increased in price by 36,221% - YES you read that correctly
https://m.primal.net/KZGD.png
https://m.primal.net/KZFX.png
https://m.primal.net/KZFK.png

2024-09-01 11:12:07

This is the Bitcoin PAXG ( tokenised Gold) on Binance
So, While everyone else was Loosing out with USD back stablecoins, If you had sold your BTC to PAXG ( or dierectly to GOLD on Bitfinex) you continued to make moeny.
No brainer
It is touch and go right now as to which is the better option but over all. PAXG is beating BTC but we are coming to resistance.
be cautious
https://m.primal.net/KYfW.png

2024-09-01 11:01:48

Bitcoin / Gold Bitfinex BTCXAUT
BTC still holding its gains over Gold since the beginning of 2023.
However, the traditional markets are turning to Gold as the "Safe Haven" and since Oct, Gold has seen a steady rise in Value.
The NEW thing to do is IGNORE THE US $, it is loosingin value and so are you when you sell your BTC out to USDT.
When you trade your BTC out to XAUT ( Bitfinex) or to PAXG ( Binance etc) you manage to hold or increase its value in REAL terms.
Trade Wisely my friends
https://m.primal.net/KYen.png

2024-09-01 10:46:50

Another of my #Bitcoin daily charts
We are back in the red zone but we do not tend to remain here for too long
The same chart bit as a Weekly puts it all in scale
https://m.primal.net/KYeL.png
https://m.primal.net/KYeC.png

2024-09-01 10:24:03

#Bitcoin Daily
Got to be said that Bitcoin is beginning to look a little Bearish and yet at the same time, we do have support and so, while a max Drop for me is around 51K, we may not go all that way.
But, again, it has to be said, 51K is the lower trendline on the channel we been in since March. It is possible to arrive there again.
We have been posting a series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows.
This is con good if it continues HOWEVER, it could also be said we are still printing the handle of a CAP AND HANDLE Pattern and untill the handle drops below the Cup rim, it is still valid.
So, in short, PA is at a Cross roads and undecided
It needs a Kick up the backside to get it started
Sometimes, technicals just do not Cut it.
https://m.primal.net/KYcN.png

2024-08-31 12:31:22

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SPELLING MISTAKES _ NO EDIT< CANT FIX ! -

2024-08-31 11:57:52

The Problem for #Bitcoin is shown if we use a LOG chart..that Long Term resistance trend line REMAI~NS as that
Simple #Bitcoin Weekly chart using the Linear format
That is called a Bullish pennant and PA has supposrt on a long term trend line
Which one do you want to use ?
https://m.primal.net/KWzC.png
https://m.primal.net/KWyt.png

2024-08-31 07:35:45

#Bitcoin Daily
Nice and easy chart - PA in Middle ground of channel. Bearish Alerts have Rung and yet, when BTC PA is this oversold, usualy we see a push higher.
It is the weekend, it is the last day of the month and people are hesitant.
Could go either way
HODL
https://m.primal.net/KWin.png

2024-08-30 13:53:53

Please find below, the monthly chart i have been posting on Trading View and X ( not for much longer) and now Here, in the new World.
The Monthly Close Colours of #Bitcoin since August 2011. These historical sequences can normaly lead to an understanding of "Flow". However, I do feel things have changed a little, even though the ETF's are a small % of the total Bitcoin Market.
So, The hope was that this month would close GREEN as in the past, this has been a the case during a bull run, or lead up to it, after the previous months sequence of colours.
There have been 3 occasions with a Green July followed by a Red August and 2 of them had a Red September also.
all 3 occasions could be said to have been in a BEAR, the last 2, near the end.
HOWEVER, I haqve said before and I will say it again, PA seems to be following the 2013-> 2017 run and the 1st one of these 3 occasions was in August 2015, when the candle sloced red after months of near static Range PA, as we have just had,..September was a small green candle but we then carried on to the 2017 ATH.
August 2016 also closed RED with a Green September following.
Interesting days ahead as I also have a number of charts that point towards September being a positive month for Bitcoin.
We will find out in the next few weeks if they are Valid or not.
https://m.primal.net/KVNl.png

2024-08-30 13:31:22

Can anyone give me an invite to ALBY ?

2024-08-30 07:42:49

This is the Current #Bitcoin PA from Nov 2021 with the Fractal from ATH 2013 ti ATH 2017 laid over the top.
For me, we are following this pretty close and that includes the Current retrace, which on this occasion was -31% and back in 2016 it was -28%
If this plays out fully, we due a big push in the near future.
But this should be remembered, PA is not following ON the line.., so we could drop a little further, we may not.
But I am hopeful
https://m.primal.net/KUpQ.png

2024-08-30 07:36:32

#Bitcoin Daily
Last day of the week
Last day of the month
and we have to wait to see what happens once Data from the USa comes out about personal spending and Income.
ANYWAY, Not looking to good for a Green candle this month which then rolls over into creating a negative outlook. However, so long as we continue to Range, this is not a loss.
Resisyance above is strong but the longer #BTC PA ranges, it is cooling off and so has more strength to push through.
So, Lets wait and see what happens later today and then how the next month candle starts
https://m.primal.net/KUpB.png

2024-08-29 17:08:58

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I hope that is an individual and not a Corporation.. Long Live the Small Guys ( and Gals)

2024-08-29 15:35:17

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Bingo !

2024-08-29 14:35:15

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Resistance is Futile
https://m.primal.net/KTkm.png

2024-08-29 13:04:30

And here is one I been watching for a long time now. Each Vertical line is a Year span.
#Bitcoin is following the 2013 -2017 Fractel near perfectly. The smaller arrows are showing you were the path is and the large arrow is showing you the place we are at now, and the same point in 2016, which also happens to be August
The retrace in by the end of August 2016 was -28% - We have just seen a -31%.
IF we conrinue to follow this patteren, this will lead to a 800K USDT BTC by Nov 2025 !
Will it happen ?
Time will tell
The retrace in https://m.primal.net/KTcl.png

2024-08-29 12:46:36

While we see the US $ loose Value, it is a false increase in price to see #Bitcoin increase in valule against the $.
THE sensible alternative, in my view, is to use the BTC / GOLD pair.
This is directly available on Bitfinex or asa BTC PAXG on exchnages such as Binance.
AND, as you can see in the chart below, BTC has seen a 273.6% increase in value against GOLD since Jan 2023.
since March this year, we have seen a small retrace that has led us to the upper trend line of that channel created. We saw the Lower trend line tested as support in early August this year.
We shuold watch this as I am expecting a bounce.
If we do not see that, the Lower trend limne may get revisted.
If we stay on upper trend line, the apex is 2nd Week October.
PA will react before that point, it always does.
But it is worth noting that the Bullish trend signals recieved are running low now., However, GOLD itself isd getting exhausted.
This could be very good. I doubt it will be very bad
https://m.primal.net/KTbO.png

2024-08-29 12:31:21

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I heard they are planning to do the same to any aliens that maybe here too !

2024-08-29 11:48:42

I have been very critical of the BBC RADIO 2 in recent years but listening to the DJ Jeremy Vine getting his Legs waxed for the first time ever is just priceless HAHA
I am not to sure he enjoyed it and a Song was played Very VERY soon after

2024-08-29 08:45:59

#Bitcoin Daily LOG chart
Today, once again, #BTC PA waits for Economic Data from the USa and today, it is the QoQ GDP.
Once this come in and if it goives confidence, then we should see a continued rise in PA.
We will have it fairly easy to around 60800 and then pockets of resistance exist. Today and Tomorrow could be interesting.
Idealy, This months candle needs to close Green, September is often a red month and so this could lead to confidence issues in the market.
Lets see what happens in the next Few days, which happen to be a Weekend also.
https://m.primal.net/KTLn.png

2024-08-29 07:47:34

#Bitcoin Daily
Chart from March 2021 to the end of that apex in June 2025.
A LOT has happened in that time and is about to Kick off again...or is it ?
YES - That is a Bullish pennant. Sentiment is strong, Corporations have entered the field and #BTC is now recognised for what it is.
PA broke through the Fib Circle that rejected PA in Nov 2021 ( Bold white Arc on image ) and has tested it as support numerous times. And now we Rise on that long term trend line that was Resistance until Feb 2024.
But as you can see, PA is entering a Zone of High resistance and Support. And PA will get Squeezed.
PA must break out of that rising converging channel before it gets pushed down.
You can see the effect Fib circles have on PA and we hit the next one in September sometime.
PA certainly has the ability to push higher now with the weekly MACD near Neutral and the Daily only just over Neutral, having risen from the Low.
We are just playing a waiting game right now......
But remain cautious until we rise above 73K and hold that.
Have Fun
https://m.primal.net/KTHq.png

2024-08-28 15:49:42

When I began using #Crypto to try and generate an income, I had NO idea of the real Wealth that was inside that world.
The People - the open Minds, the debates, the knowledge and the real truth that all that exposed.
We really are on the dawn of a new world and I am privileged to seen even just a part of that

2024-08-28 10:44:33

#Bitcoin Daily
Got a nice bounce on its way and it is possibly syustainable.
All depends on Bullish intent.
I have recieved a Bullish signal on anotehr chart so I am looking at this closely but untill we break 72K USDT, we remain in long Term range
https://www.tradingview.com/x/xjg9BUte/

2024-08-28 08:57:36

HELP - I can like and Zap today but what ever I do, I cannot reply to any post
does anyone have an idea why ?
I am new here so...could be anything lol

2024-08-28 08:05:27

Been getting some Bullish signals on #Bitcoin
We need that, we have just 3 days to get a GREEN monthly candle, which, following on on previous Monthly candle closes, we need to get so that we can get some confirmation of Bullish intent for a Newer ATH later this ytear or Early Next year.
In the shorter term, we can see the resistance over head.
We have a tough fight on our hands but we have had worse.
https://m.primal.net/KRLO.png

2024-08-27 20:06:14

#BITCOIN 4 HOUR CHART
I been posting this chart on X since about Jan 2023 and in its current Zoom since March this year.
All but the last level the arrows are poiinting to have been met. It should not be thought that the 4th cannot be reached, though it is becoming increasingly unlikely.
I do believe we are about to rise up out of the channel but we may get held back by that rising line of resistance,
I am a strong believer thatr Fibonacci Circles can often be used as Flags and I will not change on that front.
And we are approching one from 2nd week of September, a time that many belive is to be Bullish.me included.
But caution never hurt anyone.
Have plans in place
https://m.primal.net/KQUM.png

2024-08-27 19:53:15

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i JUST JOINED. lEARNING THE ROPES AND WHILE i AM EXPERIENCED IN THE COMPUTER / INTERNET WORLD, i SEE MY CAPS LOCK CAN STILL sPRING A SURPRISE OR TWO

2024-08-27 12:09:28

This one of my Favorite charts.
Monthly candle colour on Close.
Patterns are formed and we can see how trends follow on from previous cycles.
And Looking back over previous years, should this month close GREEN, it is a ~VERY Bullish signal after the last 6 months colours.
We have one week to wait.
and we are a RED Hammer currently.
All to play for
https://m.primal.net/KPce.png

2024-08-27 11:59:13

#Bitcoin Weekly simple chart showing centre line....and a Xoomed version s howing the current position on it https://m.primal.net/KPbt.png
We aer below the centre line but maybe about to find support

2024-08-27 11:47:12

This is my Long Term Bitcoin Idea.
We went into channel in March 2013, having previously tested the line as resistance in May 2011
From this point, we went into ATH in Nov 2013, tested upper trend line as resistance and then went back down. And the "Cycles" began
Trendlines become Valid with a minimum of 3 touches and Both these lines have multiple tests.
It is obviously possible to break out of the Channel , as it is possible to break over it.
Currently, we have just risen over a "central " line and testing as support.
The Orange line is a Fibancci Spiral that acted as resistance till PA broke out in October 2020.
See how the deep bear tested that as support in Nov 2022.
there is so much more to this but that is the simple version and what I have based my Bitcoin strategies on.
I am still in profit
https://m.primal.net/KPZn.png

2024-08-27 11:30:19

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Hello Check - Glad to see you here Matey....

2024-08-27 11:26:48

I Just signed up to NOSTR - Tired of the X pollitics and Crap - I LOVE BITCOIN and that is all I will post about