candidwolf
Candid Wolf

Forever at The Beginning of Infinity

Public Key

npub150pfv4zlu6823c6l5myd37dax255d3g2tt422mdvryszwt4y8dqq8uscgq

Profile Code

nprofile1qqs28s5k2307dr4gud06djxclx7n922xc5994649dkkpjgp896jrksq2rqg6j

Author Public Key

npub150pfv4zlu6823c6l5myd37dax255d3g2tt422mdvryszwt4y8dqq8uscgq

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Last Notes

2024-11-01 05:18:06

Straight nonsense that they get away with this stuff being allowed to be fed young kids
#note1zqf…vu73

2024-11-01 05:16:34

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Lessss gooo!

2024-10-31 14:25:53

Soon coming to a govt near your
UK borrowing costs soar day after Labour government unveiled tax-raising budget https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/31/uk-borrowing-costs-soar-day-after-labours-tax-raising-budget-.html?__source=iosappshare%7Ccom.apple.UIKit.activity.CopyToPasteboard
#fiat #bitcoin #btc #gold

2024-10-31 14:21:01

At some point you must look at stocks and look for the real return not just nominal. And truth is we are told a lie about the true inflation (ex this ex that) and then are suppose to trust the nominal and real numbers we are fed by the govt. Like the saying goes “don’t trust, verify”
Stop listening to the macro analysts and verify your own experience with inflation and then decide if you think your returns have kept pace with inflation.

2024-10-31 03:04:16

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Yes Primal. Seems like its an issue with Primal via the web. Also hate the fact that on iOS have to paste your private key into @npub18m7…q955 and @npub12vk…pugg

2024-10-31 02:50:34

@npub18am…p424 im still pretty new to NOSTR any idea why this shows as "unknown" when someone replies to me? https://m.primal.net/LniN.png

2024-10-31 02:36:50

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Curios does Amber have access to the private key? or is it encrypted away from them? also is it stored locally only if so im assuming also encrypted?

2024-10-31 02:25:54

Please list if you can. #tradfi #macro #finance #stocks #note1da5…hgyr

2024-10-31 02:24:48

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I do miss the tradfi banter a bit. Know of good macro and trader accounts to engage with?

2024-10-30 05:57:29

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Want to or going to? 😉

2024-10-29 22:49:33

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What you do with that money or power in the value..so keep going in a loop of power money sooner later you’re gonna wanna realize the value of either

2024-10-29 20:38:08

Scam seems a bit much especially when 3 of the most innovative companies aren't listed in this arguement. SpaceX, StarLink, Tesla and not to mention Neuralink. Say what you want about Tesla but the "FSD" on Tesla is pretty insane compared to anything on the road.
With SpaceX and Starlink same arguements can be made. Just don't see how these are scams.
#note12ra…9teu

2024-10-29 19:56:10

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Fair point. Power in itself is used to achieve Something, it has no value unless it’s exacted on someone. Same goes with money.

2024-10-29 19:51:11

Always love listening to @npub1tcc…e6fh
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/thoughtful-money-with-adam-taggart/id1715910847?i=1000674880229

2024-10-29 19:25:50

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No never

2024-10-29 19:25:12

“Hey what’s a Bitcoin?”
“What’s a blockchain?
“Are Sathoshi’s different?”
Types of messages incoming from your friends and loved ones
#bitcoin #btc

2024-10-29 19:20:43

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BTC near all time highs

2024-10-29 19:20:11

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Started from the bottom now we here…

2024-10-29 19:19:38

#Gold #bitcoin #BTC
🐎🐎🐎🐎 https://image.nostr.build/db593686f910fe49e6a0fe0444b8c7dba1e0f5795a431545e089f84d2a2c86e5.jpg https://image.nostr.build/bf4471208dbc066d49c8156e319c3cea0e39f8cf5b3e1c53f49e12564c618bf4.jpg

2024-10-29 19:12:31

ATH “started from the bottom now we here..”
#bitcoin #btc https://image.nostr.build/67ea80dc5157a50a4ddf49e95f9ca1b04da041154bdc27d9332858351559f88b.jpg

2024-10-29 19:09:21

When the dump?
#bitcoin #btc

2024-10-29 19:08:20

Haha amazing! #note1avh…x2tk

2024-10-29 02:19:49

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Feels like market saying recession here and printer go brrrr

2024-10-29 02:18:13

Crossing $71k #bitcoin #btc
Now if $DXY crosses 105 and TLT fades to below 90 we have some fireworks:
Yellen should be getting a nudge if that happens. Looking forward to her appearance shortly. https://image.nostr.build/fcbed311a490f009e65dc024221e74152e8f10c39dd2bef517191a3b0ae3feea.jpg

2024-10-28 06:24:21

Pretty good Nostr 101 by @npub18am…p424
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NVm_jGdwTjQ

2024-10-28 03:36:21

🤓🤓🤓 #note154l…setm

2024-10-28 03:04:45

So life / economy / markets go back to normal after elections? If yes can you remind me what’s normal? If no how does it get worse?
#bitcoin #fed #bonds #reserveasset

2024-10-27 22:36:25

Are we close to the peak? https://image.nostr.build/fee2a5eeaa5a3b771c8c3b03c28b62815e28a214a822ec50b894a6eea206e84d.jpg

2024-10-27 18:14:19

Yes this is the scariest house! 😆
#note1qju…lnd6

2024-10-27 17:03:13

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Sadly, doesn’t matter until it matters 🤓 1 year 10 years when it will matter? More people have lost money waiting for bad stuff to happen than bad stuff happening..have a long term view and keep stacking! #bitcoin

2024-10-27 15:01:06

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If they decide they want it they will get it. Question with self custody is how long you think you can hold out and if the pain is worth the hold. Flip side if it’s mass adoption then govt also has a problem, how hard can they push when the populous wants to keep their bitcoin. The real battle is in education and mass adoption (self custody) before the ETF’s take over

2024-10-23 23:38:22

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Thanks for taking the time to provide the additional details! 💪

2024-10-23 22:42:15

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If it gets to $10M you’ll have far bigger problems to deal with and selling won’t be an option.

2024-10-23 22:41:30

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It’s a fair question to ask. Depends on your perspective, if Bitcoin is meant as an exit from fiat then answer is NEVER. If it's an insurance policy for debasement then sell when you can trust debasement is over.

2024-10-23 21:51:24

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Yes and nothing you can do to stop it except find an exit (physically from the state which enshrined it). And that leaves the question where do you go? And it’s back to same problem because if they are doing it here believe me capital flight is already thought through and doors shut.

2024-10-23 18:43:34

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Agreed recently shifted over from X and can’t say I miss it. There is still critical mass on X but I see more and more of that shifting over here.
Do you think platforms like X at some point shift and build on top of NOSTR?

2024-10-23 18:14:12

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Yup! Basically this

2024-10-23 15:27:06

Tik Tok Tik Tok almost time for Yellen to show up and pump the world "Reserve Asset"
We hit 105 on the DXY and it showtime!
https://m.primal.net/Lfhk.png
#gold #Treasury #federalreserve #fiat #bitcoin

2024-10-23 15:06:29

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no doubt the collective is. Collective was also pretty strong in holding Gold when 1933 showed up...just saying the whole purpose of this thread was the fact that this does happen time and time again in history.

2024-10-23 14:35:37

Vitalk is not happy with you @npub15dq…lm5m
https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/saylors-comments-bitcoin-custody-are-batshit-insane-buterin
#bitcoin

2024-10-23 14:06:40

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How so? Seems pretty easy to track once you purchase on a KYC exchange no? Curious how you avoid that?

2024-10-23 06:29:12

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Until the bank hands that over due to an executive order...

2024-10-23 05:43:42

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Pretty sure the response would be “NOP (not our problem)”

2024-10-23 05:42:34

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Checkout what @npub1lr2…dl6a and others are doing in pursuing education of the political class..there is a way and many are after it. It doesn’t have to end everything falling apart

2024-10-23 05:39:42

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Thank you taking the time to dig this up! The case example is quite insightful to look over

2024-10-23 05:20:25

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Shame? yes. Unrealistic? Nope. Has Happened many many many times in history. Listen to Revolutions podcast (https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/revolutions/id703889772) Every revolution was fundamentally a money problem.

2024-10-23 05:17:55

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Parallel economy doesn’t work in a single govt rule. Love the enthusiasm just not sure how would you implement something to be a parallel economy? Education, mass adoption and political cover is what is the middle ground which doesn’t cause all the systems to burn down

2024-10-23 04:14:21

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💯 agreed @npub1lr2…dl6a is putting in some good work on the education of the politicians on his end

2024-10-23 04:06:35

This is the education & approach that will save bitcoin. Joe putting in the hard work for the entire team 🙏 #note1xvw…tfgm

2024-10-23 03:56:39

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If you choose the latter that’s a bold step which rarely leads to good outcomes for anyone esp if you have been KYC’ed. Though I understand and agree with self custody it’s not the easiest of positions to be holding onto something the govt doesn’t want you to have

2024-10-23 03:40:49

This is important #note1p4s…8qpy

2024-10-23 03:38:17

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Yup not happening youre KYC’ed. Only way was the OG’s who are never moving their coin

2024-10-23 03:33:07

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Agreed education, mass adoption & political pressure

2024-10-23 03:31:32

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Yup

2024-10-23 03:31:03

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Feels that way right? Political pressure + education + mass adoption seems like a path of least resistance

2024-10-23 03:30:08

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If the govt bans or confiscates via tax as Lyn mentioned it’s basically all out war and game over. Political and education path seems the path of least resistance.

2024-10-23 01:34:28

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Thank you @npub1a2c…w83a I always appreciate your thoughtful replies!
I always wrestle with the question of if bitcoin does too well it’s just as much of a problem for those that own it because surely there will be consequences.
Suggests to one there’s power in numbers and best way to prevent this outcome is radically increasing public awareness and adoption of Bitcoin through self custody.
Can the govt track Bitcoin is the question you raised. Feels like all the KYC and legal requirement to share transactions almost surely makes sure all the new purchasers are tracked.
Hence the only people who can “HODL the gold bars for 40 years” are those who really kept strict anonymity during their HODL’ing
Rest must rely on political measures to ensure safety of their assets.

2024-10-22 23:42:41

@npub1s5y…6q7z @npub1a2c…w83a @npub1sg6…f63m @npub1cn4…3vle so gold was confiscated in 1933 but was it really? What were the actual consequences of not turning in your gold? Are there legit stories of people being put behind bars for not reporting?
Also was it confiscation at bank level or at individual level? Just trying to understand how this actually worked.
#bitcoin #gold

2024-10-22 15:44:45

Feels like the MAG7 trade is about to come back when everyone looks for safety from the TLT and all other equities

2024-10-22 15:42:12

"Financial crisis' percolate for years and blow up in days" - Paul Tudor jones on CNBC today saying (summarized)
Debt is unsustainable
Deficits as far as the eye can see
Will we have a Minsky moment in debt markets
Owns 0 fixed income
Have to let Tax Cuts expire
To reduce Debt / GDP - Run inflation high, small tax, interest rates below inflation, nominal growth above inflation
Need to be Dovish WITHOUT letting inflation run wild
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VhJ9k9Ojyg4

2024-10-22 00:52:17

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What Saylor said about the confiscation of gold really gets me and leads to a wider point, which I struggle with a lot when I comes to self custody. Assuming you self custody Bitcoin and the govt declares it illegal to hold bitcoin, what do you do now? Yes you have your bitcoin, but now you are taking massive legal risk holding onto it. If you live in a chaotic state, i can see a reason to leave, but lets assume its US (in current social status) and you have a family and yes economocally things are falling apart which may lead to unrest but there is no place in the world you would rather go either (personal view of this exercise). Realistically I feel most people would turn in the bitcoin due to the level of punishments which would be associated with not doing so. So in this case, whats the difference between self custody and custodial? Curious what you think

2024-10-22 00:47:24

What Saylor said about the confiscation of gold really gets me and leads to a wider point, which I struggle with a lot when I comes eto self custody. Assuming you self custody Bitcoin and the govt declares it illegal to hold bitcoin, what do you do now? Yes you have your bitcoin, but now you are taking massive legal risk holding onto it. If you live in a chaotic state, i can see a reason to leave, but lets assume its US and you have a family and yes economocally things are falling apart but there is no place in the world you would rather go either. Realistically I feel most people would turn in the bitcoin due to the level of punishments which would be associated with not doing so. So in this case, whats the difference between self custody and custodial? Curious what you think @npub1a2c…w83a
#note19m2…gxkn

2024-10-22 00:36:58

Current state of the world : DXY 103.98, SPY / QQQ / GOLD - ATH, Bitcoin $5k from ATH, inflation "2.3%", Residential Homes - ATH, 401k Portfolios ATH, Debt to GDP 122.3%, Fed Fund Rate 4.75% - 5%.
Here's a few more indices which I checkin on throughout the day. these really do give you the lay of the land for the market any given day.
https://m.primal.net/LdsS.png
The fed just started their rate cutting cycle and the market has a fairly optimistic scenario priced in. But here's the funny part, since the rate cut cycle began the long end is puking and starting to spike. The 10Y is now at 4.19% as of today. The learn more about this dynamic listen to this Podcast episode from Odd lots
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/odd-lots/id1056200096?i=1000673814115
I'll start to put more of these updates as I start build up my posting on here and how i'm seeing the market, the world and life.

2024-10-21 20:23:25

“An unproblematic state is a state without creative thought.” - David Deustch, The Beginning of Infinity.
Problems help proper us forward by allowing us to create explanatory knowledge to solve the problems.
Like Jensen said “I wish upon you suffering”
Suffering through problems, solving them and then tackling new problems is the human experience.

2024-10-21 20:13:34

Matter, Energy and Evidence

2024-09-01 18:52:11

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If you’re getting 5.5% with a cash like instrument you are not going to want the long duration treasury at 4% recognizing that the treasury reduces sales of longer duration and feeds the short duration need. If treasury was to sell more longer duration the market would want a higher rate which the fed / treasury does not want right now. When they reduce front end rates then the long end will be more valuable. Unless inflation picks up. Then if treasury want to go out into the direction curve the market may demand higher rates. The treasury again has a choice pump more short term tbills until someone comes to the table who is willing to own longer duration. There has to be some incentive to do so (higher rates is usually the incentive for holding duration).

2023-07-31 04:49:40

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