Nate Silver / is on Nostr

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Last Notes

2025-03-31 10:02:20

Before any further selloff today, a chart from a story we're publishing later this week. US auto manufacturers, including Tesla, hit harder by tariffs than foreign ones.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GnXGDXZXAAA6HQq.jpg

2025-03-31 10:02:20

2025-03-21 05:09:50

Today's numbers.
Fun day of basketball but not much change in the toplines with top seeds looking good.
https://www.natesilver.net/p/2025-march-madness-ncaa-tournament-predictions
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GmijdcxbwAAu-CJ.jpg

2025-03-06 15:36:39

Our Trump approval ratings dashboard just published!
He starts at an even 48/48, better than a comparable point in his 1st term but down in recent days.
We’ll update this several times per week.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GlXi6j2XgAAFHch.jpg

2025-03-06 15:36:39

2024-12-17 16:16:14

- reply

Here's the article and all the data. DOGE can shove it where the sun don't shine.
https://www.natesilver.net/p/save-daylight-savings-time

2024-12-17 16:16:14

- reply

Here's the article and all the data. DOGE can shove it where the sun don't shine.
https://www.natesilver.net/p/save-daylight-savings-time

2024-12-17 16:15:50

Eliminating Daylight Savings Time is a terrible idea. I ran the numbers, and it would cost the average American 40 minutes of waking daylight per year in the summer.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfA2maSaEAABhJO.jpg

2024-07-30 12:34:21

Roughly speaking, the strategy of the Harris campaign should be to triangulate the strategy of Hillary 2016, the Harris 2020 primary campaign, and Biden 2024, and do the exact opposite.

2024-07-28 14:45:22

This is a semantic thing but I'm seeing phrasing like "Trump is the oldest person ever to run for president" and that isn't correct: Biden ran for president this year, then quit when it appeared he'd lose. Trump is the oldest person to secure his party's nomination, however.