Philip Bump

Washington Post: National columnist. Newsletter: "How To Read This Chart." Book: "The Aftermath."

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Last Notes

2024-09-27 17:58:37

That the Trump $100,000 watch (that you can buy with your anonymous bitcoin) dropped at the same moment as the Adams influence-peddling indictment made it easy to see the echoes of the latter in the former. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/27/trump-keeps-creating-avenues-people-quietly-give-him-money/

2024-09-11 13:13:56

After Taylor Swift endorsed Harris, encouraging her fans to register to vote, Google recorded a surge in people wanting to register to vote. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/11/taylor-swift-endorses-searches-voter-registration-jump/

2024-09-05 21:05:44

Let’s imagine a world in which Elon Musk does to the U.S. what he did to Twitter. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/05/trump-musk-government-commission/?itid=ap_philipbump

2024-07-08 15:56:01

Personnel is policy — particularly when your campaign assiduously avoids policy and your past and your future personnel is publicly endorsing robust policy proposals. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/08/trump-project-2025-policy-staff/

2024-05-24 16:07:30

A pattern in Trump investigations is that they don't seem to change anyone's mind. The trial in New York seems to be following that pattern. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/05/24/trump-trials-impact/

2024-05-24 14:18:54

The exchange in which CNN's Abby Phillip pressed Byron Donalds on a particularly obvious false claim was illuminating, if only because of how little he cared about being called out. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/05/24/asked-pick-between-reality-trump-rights-choice-is-easy/

2024-05-24 11:25:56

What I saw in the Bronx.
Gift link: https://wapo.st/3yywj36

2024-05-03 16:13:56

Americans overwhelmingly say that Noem killing her dog was unacceptable. Among those who plan to support Trump in November, though, views are more evenly divided. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/05/03/kristi-noem-puppy-killing-polling/

2024-04-10 18:22:23

Trump keeps chastising Jewish Americans vote for not universally voting Republican. Since he first announced his candidacy in 2015, Jewish voters have shifted (slightly) to the left. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/04/10/trump-jewish-voters/

2024-03-16 14:09:38

How the population has shifted by county since 2020. Purple is increase; orange, decrease. https://s2.washingtonpost.com/3d154a5/65f5a62b1833b2776aaeb130/596b02b6ade4e24119ac1a18/14/63/65f5a62b1833b2776aaeb130
https://assets.journa.host/media_attachments/files/112/105/762/019/560/501/original/aed0a80530ad7909.png

2024-03-16 02:02:44

Newsletter is out in 12 hours! Free to sign up, so do.
This week:
• ARROWS
• 𝐀𝐑𝐑𝐎𝐖𝐒
• 𝑨𝑹𝑹𝑶𝑾𝑺
• 𝔸ℝℝ𝕆𝕎𝕊
• 🅐🅡🅡🅞🅦🅢
GO GO GO
https://wapo.st/readthischart
https://assets.journa.host/media_attachments/files/112/102/903/509/519/250/original/73ac18b127a8ec1b.png

2024-03-15 18:45:02

More than three-quarters of Democrats say Trump is "too corrupt" to be president. Thanks to a 12-point increase since May, the same percentage of Republicans says that of Biden. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/15/biden-trump-corrupt-poll/

2024-03-15 15:44:18

POLL: What if we did these things at the border?
GOP: Love it.
POLL: There was a bill that did these things.
GOP: Sounds great.
POLL: Trump opposed it.
GOP: Good. It sucked.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/15/immigration-polling-republicans-trump/

2024-03-15 13:48:32

House Republicans were doing a great job by themselves demonstrating that the impeachment inquiry had failed. The White House's letter calling for the probe to be ended seems as though it will only make it harder for the GOP to give up the fight. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/15/white-house-gives-house-republicans-new-reason-fight/

2024-03-14 22:00:56

78,000 Republicans voted for Nikki Haley on Tuesday in Georgia. 19,000 of those who voted in the GOP primary voted in the Democratic primary four years ago. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/14/trump-haley-georgia-votes/

2024-03-14 16:44:40

The immunity argument Trump's attorneys are deploying in his defense has now been extended to grant him the power to take ownership of any federal document he wanted. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/14/trump-documents-presidential-records-act/

2024-03-14 16:04:16

The thing about Trump's new acid-washed/email riff isn't just that it's nonsensical and false. It's that it's nonsensical and false and comes as he is claiming that *his opponent* is addled. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/14/trump-acid-hillary-emails/

2024-03-14 14:11:55

Nikole Hannah-Jones's "colorblindness trap" essay is very much worth reading. I dug a little more into something that she doesn't elevate explicitly: why this is so potent *now*. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/14/race-colorblindness-trap/

2024-03-13 18:26:52

Trump claimed that the videos shown during the Hur hearing were "AI" — not because they were but because the advent of AI allows him to engage in his long-standing practice of muddying the truth. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/13/trump-video-ai-truth-social/

2024-03-13 16:24:27

New polling shows that Republicans are more excited about their nominee than are Democrats and that Biden voters often see their vote as primarily anti-Trump.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/13/vote-against-trump-biden/

2024-03-13 15:37:56

Christina Bobb is a former One America host who wrote a book alleging all sorts of nonsense about fraud in 2020.
So naturally she's been tapped to run the RNC election integrity push. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/13/rnc-election-fraud-trump/

2024-03-12 20:56:02

Want to know how much a state supports legal protections for LGBTQ+ Americans? Don’t look at the percentage of LGBTQ+ residents. Look at the percentage of Democrats. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/12/lgbtq-polling-politics/

2024-03-12 19:47:04

I wrote about why you shouldn't expect polls now to predict the vote margin in November — and why you shouldn't expect the polls in November to do it either. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/12/presidential-election-polling-trump-biden/

2024-03-12 15:56:22

Jim Jordan indicated last month that he was happy to move from the impeachment inquiry to the Hur report, understandably. As it turns out, Hur's Biden interview undercuts the Comer-Jordan impeachment effort pretty robustly.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/12/gops-new-biden-attack-is-weakening-their-old-one/

2024-03-12 14:33:41

The day before Hur's testimony about Biden and classified documents, CNN published an interview that offers new reason to think that Trump kept some classified documents even after the FBI search of Mar-a-Lago.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/12/theres-new-reason-think-trump-still-has-classified-documents/

2024-01-19 16:17:11

Haley offered new comments on America's history of racism on CNN last night — framing the question in a very interesting, revealing way. Gift link:
https://wapo.st/3SoWFvK

2023-11-27 20:27:17

How risky for Biden is Arab American anger over Israel?
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/27/biden-gaza-israel-2024-voting/

2023-11-10 13:54:43

A presidential candidate can't ask a donor to give $10 million to a PAC. Peter Thiel says Trump asked him that.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/10/thiel-trump-analysis/

2023-08-25 21:18:57

Most people think Trump broke the law in Georgia. New York? Not so much. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/08/25/trump-indictments-polling/

2023-08-21 16:09:17

Trump has created a bubble within the right-wing media bubble that undergirds his disinterest in this week's debate — and Fox's eagerness to have him participate. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/08/21/trump-base-fox-news-debate/

2023-08-07 21:48:25

Mike Pence says he doesn’t know if humans are responsible for climate change, a position that most of his party can appreciate. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/08/07/intractability-republican-climate-politics/

2023-08-01 14:17:38

Here's a take: DeSantis's wimpy "I didn't start the fight over Florida's curriculum!" captures a central part of why he's getting clobbered by Trump. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/08/01/desantis-fox-interview-analysis/

2023-05-11 21:17:40

- reply

Baby boomers, when they are in their teens: Teens should be allowed to vote!
[26th Amendment is ratified]
Baby boomers, when they are retiring: Teens are too young to vote!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/05/11/long-shot-gop-candidate-wants-limit-voting-by-younger-americans/

2023-05-11 20:42:19

- reply

uh, read more here https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/696653/the-aftermath-by-philip-bump/

2023-05-11 20:41:49

Vivek Ramaswamy's proposal to limit voting for those under 25 is an obvious attempt to skew elections in his party's favor. But it's also a reflection of the overlap between age and party that's downstream from the baby boom. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/05/11/long-shot-gop-candidate-wants-limit-voting-by-younger-americans/

2023-04-25 14:52:17

Trump's approval average when he announced his reelection bid in 2019? 42.5%
Biden's now? 42.5%
A key difference? Trump doesn't get to run against Trump or Trumpism. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/04/25/biden-trump-2024-election-popularity/

2023-04-15 13:07:16

- reply

https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/696653/the-aftermath-by-philip-bump/

2023-04-15 13:07:07

https://cdn.masto.host/journahost/media_attachments/files/110/202/980/068/766/380/original/fdaf0df0aac7d054.jpeg

2023-03-30 03:16:24

There have been over 100 mass shootings so far this year that were followed by another mass shooting in less time than it took Sen. Thune to say it was "premature" to consider new laws post-Nashville.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/03/29/mass-shootings-nashville-thune/