Toni Michel / is on Nostr

Looking at Domestic Politics in the Post-Soviet Space.

Last Notes

2025-06-14 19:14:02

"Die EU agiert in einem unberechenbaren globalen Kontext höchst anfälliger Rohstofflieferketten, in dem die USA revisionistisch geworden sind und Russland weiterhin ein wichtiger Akteur bleibt."
https://www.zois-berlin.de/publikationen/zois-spotlight/neuordnung-des-welthandels-welche-rolle-spielt-russland

2025-06-03 18:08:59

A conversation well worth listening to not only because of #Portnikov|s sober look at the state of and incentives working around #Ukrainian - #russian negotiations - but because of the just epic voice of one of the hosts.
https://open.spotify.com/episode/7ehMQfsk7JTLiTEjdcevqE?si=DxDYS5qTSNehy33SRgDHwQ

2025-04-27 03:44:37

With a good chance that #Berdymukhamedov|s daughter Oguljahan Atabayeva might be eyed to become speaker of parliament, will #Turkmenistan|s 3 highest political post soon be occupied by one family? @nprofile…jzxt
https://www.intellinews.com/pannier-turkmenistan-follows-the-rise-and-rise-of-arkadag-s-eldest-daughter-oguljahan-atayeva-376648/?source=turkmenistan

2025-04-27 03:35:50

#Ukraine is developing its border infrastructure with its Western neighbours by building new rail lines with the #European 1435mm track standard - vs 1520mm in the rest of the country. #Uzhhorod - Chop is finished in summer, more is planned.
https://epravda.com.ua/power/koli-i-de-v-ukrajini-pobuduyut-yevrokoliji-805074/?_gl=1*k6hnbz*_ga*ODMzNjMyNzQ4LjE3NDMxNTU0ODU.*_ga_6ELQ7YCNBS*MTc0NDEwOTU4MC4xMi4xLjE3NDQxMDk2MDQuMzYuMC4w
https://s3.eu-central-2.wasabisys.com/mastodonworld/media_attachments/files/114/407/830/087/345/862/original/c175520914e0f7f0.jpg

2025-03-15 10:50:35

From 2024, still valid.
Six Obstacles to Compromise Between Kyiv and Moscow
@nprofile…nsdq https://sceeus.se/en/publications/why-russo-ukrainian-peace-negotiations-make-little-sense-today-six-obstacles-to-compromise-between-kyiv-and-moscow/?utm_source=Nyhetsbrev+SCEEUS&utm_campaign=363d272944-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2023_03_06_08_41_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_-355540c55d-441747073

2025-02-11 23:51:23

Three years of war in Ukraine: the Chinese-Russian alliance passes the test
https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/osw-commentary/2025-01-20/three-years-war-ukraine-chinese-russian-alliance-passes-test

2025-02-11 23:51:23

Three years of war in Ukraine: the Chinese-Russian alliance passes the test
https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/osw-commentary/2025-01-20/three-years-war-ukraine-chinese-russian-alliance-passes-test

2024-12-13 13:21:16

"Российское МИД на первый взгляд невероятно стабильно — министр Лавров руководит им уже 20 лет, но в реальности это ведомство претерпело глубокие изменения, которые ведут к милитаризации рос дипслужбы, не имеющей аналогов даже во время Холодной войны."
https://agentura.ru/investigations/mid-na-vojne/

2024-12-12 23:44:28

A nuanced and important interview with Kateryna Cherepacha here @HromadskeUA on the increase in number and reporting of domestic violence in #Ukraine.
A conversation that does not avoid the really difficult places.
https://hromadske.ua/suspilstvo/235272-nayvazche-koly-ne-mozesh-dopomohty-abo-koly-vze-pizno-chomu-v-ukrayini-zrostaye-nasylstvo-shchodo-zinok
https://s3.eu-central-2.wasabisys.com/mastodonworld/media_attachments/files/113/642/507/463/772/541/original/fb0b8b0e18d97454.jpg

2024-08-04 13:31:08

Germany’s Real Challenges are Aging, Underinvestment, and Too Much Red Tape
https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2024/03/27/germanys-real-challenges-are-aging-underinvestment-and-too-much-red-tape
https://s3.eu-central-2.wasabisys.com/mastodonworld/media_attachments/files/112/903/996/316/210/246/original/faec5551b5505f98.jpg
https://s3.eu-central-2.wasabisys.com/mastodonworld/media_attachments/files/112/903/996/473/615/903/original/55d1b93e6e56cfd1.jpg

2024-02-29 20:31:06

The #russian language in #Turkmenistan still has several strongholds within officialdom and the population - though less than in other #CentralAsian states - in a context of lukewarm promotion by the authorities, @npub1w5a…v5qm writes.
https://www.rferl.org/a/turkmenistan-demand-for-russian-language/32834522.html

2024-02-05 17:55:46

An increasingly common phenomenon in the post #Soviet space is the failure of centralised heating systems in harsh winters bc of decades of negligence, often due to #corruption.
This now reinforces existing legitimacy crises in instable systems - like #russia & #Kyrgyzstan.
https://fergana.media/articles/132819/

2024-01-31 07:38:44

#Ukraine has been conclusively failing at strategic communication recently - particularly when it comes to the shot-down Ilyushin & the rumours of a #Zaluzhniy resignation.
At a time, when trust is a key resource in the context of #russian disinformation.
https://open.spotify.com/episode/20DpXxzRPNckpbhSZCOdIP?si=VI8WSw26SH2LWSnm-vxruw

2024-01-07 21:47:48

#Ukraine's successful use of cheap and quickly produced (f.e. 20 Magura V5/week) naval drones is leading to a tectonic strategy shift in naval doctrines both in offensive and defensive operations. @npub1hxe…30cm
https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/09/navies-face-dreadnought-moment-ukraine-destroys-more-russian-warships-british-admiral-says/390271/?oref=defenseone_today_nl

2023-10-31 09:53:01

In #Central Asia, the impact of the #IsraelPalestineWar creates distinct #radicalisation risks in the context of existing tensions, low critical media reception as well as deep and institutionalised penetration of #russian propaganda. @npub1d6w…m6ww
https://cabar.asia/ru/palestino-izrailskij-konflikt-mozhet-sprovotsirovat-novuyu-volnu-radikalizatsii-v-tsentralnoj-azii

2023-09-12 17:08:32

Squaring the complex of strategies, available systems, doctrine and logistics of #Ukraine's offensive.
@npub14uk…jjnm
Perseverance and Adaptation: Ukraine’s Counteroffensive at Three Months
https://warontherocks.com/2023/09/perseverance-and-adaptation-ukraines-counteroffensive-at-three-months/

2023-08-16 14:17:20

"Virtual war is not a war between soldiers, tanks or airplanes, but a clash between algorithms. Here victory means the ability to build the basic rules determining how the world works. Inferior algorithms will simply operate according to the rules and outcomes set by more foundational software. Geopolitics used to mean the struggle to control the physical world. In the future it will be about the struggle to build a virtual one."
https://time.com/6293398/palantir-future-of-warfare-ukraine/