Dr. Robert Rohde on Nostr: A single year above 1.5 °C would not automatically mean the that the IPCC's target ...
A single year above 1.5 °C would not automatically mean the that the IPCC's target to limit warming to 1.5 °C has failed, as those targets are based on long-term averages.
However, it would highlight the very limited time remaining.
In addition, we note that different analysis groups have slightly different estimates of long-term trends.
It is possible, and in this case likely, that 1 or 2 may have final values for 2023 that slightly exceed 1.5 °C while others are slightly below 1.5 °C.
11/
Published at
2023-10-11 22:45:29Event JSON
{
"id": "257514cb38712f8a8a1d0c6df06e615fa9fa24619135642dc01a8c170fae069a",
"pubkey": "dd34380a8986339a465dcfb9fd8f2d2b61ad3957178adeca2e9084e89465a221",
"created_at": 1697064329,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"e",
"37defb1258831ca99728726edcf9597b727671e3c37e41025ccff92ef92520f7",
"wss://relay.mostr.pub",
"reply"
],
[
"proxy",
"https://fediscience.org/users/RARohde/statuses/111218807904636900",
"activitypub"
]
],
"content": "A single year above 1.5 °C would not automatically mean the that the IPCC's target to limit warming to 1.5 °C has failed, as those targets are based on long-term averages.\n\nHowever, it would highlight the very limited time remaining.\n\nIn addition, we note that different analysis groups have slightly different estimates of long-term trends.\n\nIt is possible, and in this case likely, that 1 or 2 may have final values for 2023 that slightly exceed 1.5 °C while others are slightly below 1.5 °C.\n\n11/",
"sig": "a75879173dec188bcfed0aaf31727ca2932f0242d48523f7f0fda3a20400777655767fd367710f4e3f336e0fa7c5c2a2401a695e1bd277ed84bd05c95a528b5e"
}