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2023-10-11 22:44:53

Dr. Robert Rohde on Nostr: A single year above 1.5 °C would not automatically mean the that the IPCC's target ...

A single year above 1.5 °C would not automatically mean the that the IPCC's target to limit warming to 1.5 °C has failed, as those targets are based on long-term averages.

However, it would highlight the very limited time remaining.

In addition, we note that different analysis groups have slightly different estimates of long-term trends.

It is possible, and in this case likely, that 1 or 2 may have final values for 2023 that slightly exceed 1.5 °C while others are slightly below 1.5 °C.

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