Moon on Nostr: Thank you for this! I have had these same thoughts. I know people who act like ...
Thank you for this! I have had these same thoughts. I know people who act like prediction markets are some kind of collective super intelligence and I’m like, bro, lots of ways to manipulate them or for them to be distorted (participation bias, down bad cope, people in the jurisdiction in question generally being restricted form most only prediction markets etc etc)
Published at
2024-10-18 00:04:03Event JSON
{
"id": "10b7006515887ead0b04facd3ee5a60456316820435a18d336bc26437fe05f04",
"pubkey": "5df413d4c5e5035ff508fd99b38b21ea9a0ac0b9ecc34f3312aba9aa2add4f5b",
"created_at": 1729209843,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"e",
"3909d60d71036e8b727ecf03670e159f20bbe3cf49d879ab941d4b97e655378a",
"",
"root"
],
[
"p",
"76c71aae3a491f1d9eec47cba17e229cda4113a0bbb6e6ae1776d7643e29cafa"
]
],
"content": "Thank you for this! I have had these same thoughts. I know people who act like prediction markets are some kind of collective super intelligence and I’m like, bro, lots of ways to manipulate them or for them to be distorted (participation bias, down bad cope, people in the jurisdiction in question generally being restricted form most only prediction markets etc etc)",
"sig": "06447c432084a72e8379bde260dc12f2971c9059dc9b38143e9600596244e3667d0f537353a6e00f76d68fce89bbdcc909bfa84c5954e7da8c7a4d6ae858bd11"
}