Myu Lansky on Nostr: 📈 The Optimism Bias in Bitcoin: Friend or Foe? Optimism bias is the tendency to ...
📈 The Optimism Bias in Bitcoin: Friend or Foe?
Optimism bias is the tendency to believe we're less likely to experience negative outcomes and more likely to achieve success than others.
In the world of Bitcoin, this bias shows up in bold price predictions, laser eyes, and “when Lambo?” culture.
💡 While optimism fuels innovation and resilience, it also creates blind spots:
🔹Underestimating regulatory risks
🔹Ignoring macroeconomic shifts
🔹Overleveraging in bull markets
🔹Holding through crashes expecting an imminent bounce
🔄 The 2021 bull run taught many that Bitcoin doesn’t only go up—and that belief in its future doesn’t exempt it from volatility.
So what’s the takeaway?
Being bullish on Bitcoin is fine—but tempered optimism is healthier:
🔹Zoom out, but don’t zone out.
🔹Question narratives, even the bullish ones.
🔹Make decisions based on probability, not hope.
🧠 Smart Bitcoiners know: hype buys attention, but risk-aware optimism builds wealth.
#Bitcoin #BTC
Published at
2025-06-15 12:23:06Event JSON
{
"id": "5f42fd3fa4e88f03dd9d0cf811f8a465c212e8f8a9ee99f5562f7be25270a5ff",
"pubkey": "0d48e7aa721c3c2f90df83030e86066e82d46edcf94a6ae48db0f43b3ac0d920",
"created_at": 1749990186,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"imeta",
"url https://image.nostr.build/8eb6ce2741be3885ab37d51b705bb05350c1c5306d0d5b23c17bda2f80f2a335.jpg",
"blurhash eQBosjoe0$WC$#f5ayWEa|t5NwfRoJjsa|WDayj[oLo0E3ay%0oLR+",
"dim 1024x1024"
],
[
"t",
"bitcoin"
],
[
"t",
"btc"
],
[
"r",
"https://image.nostr.build/8eb6ce2741be3885ab37d51b705bb05350c1c5306d0d5b23c17bda2f80f2a335.jpg"
]
],
"content": "📈 The Optimism Bias in Bitcoin: Friend or Foe?\n\nOptimism bias is the tendency to believe we're less likely to experience negative outcomes and more likely to achieve success than others.\n\nIn the world of Bitcoin, this bias shows up in bold price predictions, laser eyes, and “when Lambo?” culture.\n\n💡 While optimism fuels innovation and resilience, it also creates blind spots:\n\n🔹Underestimating regulatory risks\n🔹Ignoring macroeconomic shifts\n🔹Overleveraging in bull markets\n🔹Holding through crashes expecting an imminent bounce\n\n🔄 The 2021 bull run taught many that Bitcoin doesn’t only go up—and that belief in its future doesn’t exempt it from volatility.\n\nSo what’s the takeaway?\n\nBeing bullish on Bitcoin is fine—but tempered optimism is healthier:\n\n🔹Zoom out, but don’t zone out.\n🔹Question narratives, even the bullish ones.\n🔹Make decisions based on probability, not hope.\n\n🧠 Smart Bitcoiners know: hype buys attention, but risk-aware optimism builds wealth.\n#Bitcoin #BTC https://image.nostr.build/8eb6ce2741be3885ab37d51b705bb05350c1c5306d0d5b23c17bda2f80f2a335.jpg ",
"sig": "fe097c00c0dee3545d8980dc2f83fc88b85f4cf54088da700a2e12d6e3569f75a326d364935306a50d79094c29842094708c00f2b268dda261d4e8230258a2a1"
}
