nemesis on Nostr: back in the mid-to-late 2010s I made three very controversial AI predictions: that ...

back in the mid-to-late 2010s I made three very controversial AI predictions: that level 5 self driving would happen in the early 2020s, that 90%+ of programming jobs would be automated by 2030, and that language models would be able to pass the turing test without needing true AGI. a success rate of 2/3 isnt perfect but I feel proud for having foreseen the progress of LLM-like stuff before even GPT-2 came out