Why Nostr? What is Njump?
2024-10-16 17:46:06
in reply to

John Carlos Baez on Nostr: npub1c9m22…z9xjd npub1ky223…rghvc no, your doubts are not legiimate. First, if ...


no, your doubts are not legiimate.

First, if "there is only one Universe" was a legitimate argument against using probability and statistics in cosmology, it would also be a legiimate argument against using probability and statistics when playing poker. "There is only one Universe, and in this Universe you either have a royal flush or you don't. It makes no sense to say you have one with probability 0.005%." "But we could repeat this experiment many times!" "But not in this room on Wednesday October 16th at 2 pm!"

I believe you are stuck in a frequentist interpretation of probability theory which is just not up to the job for cosmology. Maybe try taking a more Bayesian stance.

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