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2025-04-04 03:13:21

jsm on Nostr: Scott Alexander’s post on impressive AI predictions from 2021. Super impressive ...

https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/introducing-ai-2027

Scott Alexander’s post on impressive AI predictions from 2021. Super impressive stuff considering ChatGPT hadn’t been released yet.

The one major thing that I think Scott is mistaken on in his blog post is his idea that China will “wake up” and steal US weights. The Chinese don’t need to. Alibaba (Qwen), 01 ai (Yi), and DeepSeek are already toe to toe with the best American models. Just as we figured out in 2024 that OpenAI has no moat, we’ve learned in 2025 that neither do American companies.
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