If you are afraid of trading on RoboSats, take a look at this.
An interesting analysis of how orders end up on my coordinator.
Data extracted from the last 90 days (Beginning on 2025-01-23 and ending on 2025-04-23)
2816 Successful orders without dispute
34 Successful orders in dispute
61 Orders punished in dispute
19 Collaborative cancellations in dispute
163 Collaborative cancellations without dispute
Orders with takers (processed): 2816 + 34 + 61 + 19 + 163 = 3093
Disputed: (34 + 61 + 19) / 3093 = 3.7%
Successful in dispute: 34 / 3093 = 1.1%
Punished in dispute: 61 / 3093 = 2.0%
Collaborative cancellations in dispute: 19 / 3093 = 0.6%
Collaborative cancellations without dispute 163 / 3093 = 5.3%
Successful: (2816 + 34) / 3093 = 92.1%
So if you are with a peer in a trade on RoboSats, know that the probability of everything ending well is approximately 92.1%. I consider this a very good success rate. 😀
If you consider that collaborative cancellations without dispute are not a problem, the chance of a successful trade or a collaborative cancellation without dispute is 97.4%.
TheBigLake /
npub17t…8wj6f
2025-04-25 19:37:47
Author Public Key
npub17t2g2h0nnf7mvxtxvm5ydxs85ycumhqgmj48gj35gdplln655yxq68wj6fPublished at
2025-04-25 19:37:47Event JSON
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"content": "If you are afraid of trading on RoboSats, take a look at this.\n\nAn interesting analysis of how orders end up on my coordinator. \nData extracted from the last 90 days (Beginning on 2025-01-23 and ending on 2025-04-23)\n\n2816 Successful orders without dispute\n34 Successful orders in dispute\n61 Orders punished in dispute\n19 Collaborative cancellations in dispute\n163 Collaborative cancellations without dispute\n\nOrders with takers (processed): 2816 + 34 + 61 + 19 + 163 = 3093\nDisputed: (34 + 61 + 19) / 3093 = 3.7%\nSuccessful in dispute: 34 / 3093 = 1.1%\nPunished in dispute: 61 / 3093 = 2.0%\nCollaborative cancellations in dispute: 19 / 3093 = 0.6%\nCollaborative cancellations without dispute 163 / 3093 = 5.3%\nSuccessful: (2816 + 34) / 3093 = 92.1%\n\nSo if you are with a peer in a trade on RoboSats, know that the probability of everything ending well is approximately 92.1%. I consider this a very good success rate. 😀 \n\nIf you consider that collaborative cancellations without dispute are not a problem, the chance of a successful trade or a collaborative cancellation without dispute is 97.4%. ",
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