Christmas week covid prevalence estimate.
About 2% of the population infectious. Gathering of random 12 folk w. no precautions is about 22% for someone +ve.
Stay home if symptoms = lower risk.
Testing on day without symptoms = lower risk
Outside = lower risk
Also because covid flows along connections & gatherings non-random:
If associates +ve or symptoms = higher risk.
If nobody in household has symptoms/+ve = lower risk
(canary in coalmine group infection).
Enjoy your white wine in the sun.
David Hood /
npub12a…hdrlg
2023-12-21 21:39:34
Author Public Key
npub12aew64q5lsxpcc98lskha0564gtjn30cw7vdueqnyj06xjqxtmksahdrlgPublished at
2023-12-21 21:39:34Event JSON
{
"id": "eb63668288fc647b043bdebf0d2b2ed7102b9eac500476762bb4b316b7277fdb",
"pubkey": "5772ed5414fc0c1c60a7fc2d7ebe9aaa1729c5f87798de6413249fa348065eed",
"created_at": 1703194774,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"proxy",
"https://mastodon.nz/users/thoughtfulnz/statuses/111620572744322304",
"activitypub"
]
],
"content": "Christmas week covid prevalence estimate.\nAbout 2% of the population infectious. Gathering of random 12 folk w. no precautions is about 22% for someone +ve.\nStay home if symptoms = lower risk.\nTesting on day without symptoms = lower risk\nOutside = lower risk \nAlso because covid flows along connections \u0026 gatherings non-random:\nIf associates +ve or symptoms = higher risk.\nIf nobody in household has symptoms/+ve = lower risk\n(canary in coalmine group infection).\nEnjoy your white wine in the sun.",
"sig": "6094bf5aef252556620b98d4b991958cd678e60559a2cb497323d0936881081de1708c797bc24d7407e5793bb1c5ba477a82f5a2cab3a9f198c04fbf6772f326"
}