What if :-
- Unemployment is down
- Vacancies are falling
- The long term sick are "economically inactive" because they can no longer do their old job.
- The long term sick actually do want a job. They just can't find one they can do.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/aug/17/its-time-to-end-blame-culture-over-benefits-bill-says-labour-minister