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I saw a discussion about the calculation of the probability of an asteroid impact, and because the accuracy of the prediction increases over time as more observations are made, the typical graph shows an increasing likelihood of impact until the accuracy is enough to determine the asteroid will miss, when the probability (obviously) drops to zero.
So I'm sort of comforted each time I hear that the impact likelihood has edged up a bit, because that means there's more orbit info, and the calculation is a bit more accurate, and hopefully a bit closer to determining that it will definitely be a near miss.
isol /
npub1fc…qra6n
2025-02-15 09:10:38
in reply to nevent1q…0zuk
Author Public Key
npub1fcq2gdm4jgd6pdtwz2ved4mn446c9xss7nf9u2rxx4echtc7mdmqyqra6nSeen on
wss://relay.nostr.bandPublished at
2025-02-15 09:10:38Event JSON
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