Up early. GM. Couldn't sleep. Let's rant:
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Biggest buyers of U.S. goods in order:
Canada
Mexico
China
Japan
United Kingdom
Countries purchasing the most U.S. debt in the form of U.S Treasuries:
Japan US $ 1 Trillion
China US $ 800 Billion
Therefore, which 2 countries does the U.S. rely on the most?
What happened on Tuesday was they refused to buy more Treasuries/debt. The market flipped at this dire situation. The biggest bank CEOs all spoke out saying we'd go belly up. Even DOGE Lord Elon Musk pleaded with Trump to end tariffs.
Trump spoke with Japan and got them to buy the next day's Treasuries. They did. If they didn't, the USA money printing machine would have go to brrrrr to buy them instead. Japan honored. Trump backed down on tariffs.
But we still have a trade war, particularly with China. Americans will tighten their wallets in this uncertainty--no matter what. The damage is done. And everything is made in China, which just got a whole load more expensive. (They estimated that building the new iPhone in America would push it's price up to $3,500 to paint a picture).
Back to Treasuries. Now what if China slows down buying US debt? Forget about the craziness if China decided to dump some of that debt--BAM!--the USA would collapse (because no one can print money that fast, lol!) and take the world down with it.
Basically, money printing is here to stay. America's cycle is ending as the global powerhouse. These are the last dying cries of going down with a fight. Stagflation next, briefly, and inflation will give us the blow off top we have before everything crashes in a heap, I expect, next year, second quarter 2026.
This has little to do with politics, and more with market cycles. What's happening was inevitable. It's just that Trump has exacerbated this cycle end to make it more dramatic. Ironically, the only person who will do well out of all this, when we're standing amongst the rubble, is Trump. He'll be rich, and in a special oligarchy clubhouse along with Putin and Xi.
To put a downer on it all, if you get really bored, read up on what happened in the lead up to World War 2, and look for the commonalities with today. I had to stop reading.
What's the paradigm that rescues the world and makes most of the above obsolete? Yeah, #Bitcoin
But it's going to take time. We'll get there, but there's going to be some teething troubles.
And hopefully I'll be living in a remote paradise by then, away from the madness and spending my sats in retirement.
13itcoin
npub1vw…3ccrl
2025-04-10 05:12:02
Author Public Key
npub1vwfnc3qgfalagrhxrqverqn92w0r7lflxw0rt5kenq54jsa4s6js93ccrlSeen on
wss://kitchen.zap.cookingPublished at
2025-04-10 05:12:02Event JSON
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"content": "Up early. GM. Couldn't sleep. Let's rant:\n\n~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~\n\nBiggest buyers of U.S. goods in order:\n\nCanada\nMexico\nChina\nJapan\nUnited Kingdom\n\nCountries purchasing the most U.S. debt in the form of U.S Treasuries:\n\nJapan US $ 1 Trillion\nChina US $ 800 Billion\n\nTherefore, which 2 countries does the U.S. rely on the most?\n\nWhat happened on Tuesday was they refused to buy more Treasuries/debt. The market flipped at this dire situation. The biggest bank CEOs all spoke out saying we'd go belly up. Even DOGE Lord Elon Musk pleaded with Trump to end tariffs.\n\nTrump spoke with Japan and got them to buy the next day's Treasuries. They did. If they didn't, the USA money printing machine would have go to brrrrr to buy them instead. Japan honored. Trump backed down on tariffs.\n\nBut we still have a trade war, particularly with China. Americans will tighten their wallets in this uncertainty--no matter what. The damage is done. And everything is made in China, which just got a whole load more expensive. (They estimated that building the new iPhone in America would push it's price up to $3,500 to paint a picture).\n\nBack to Treasuries. Now what if China slows down buying US debt? Forget about the craziness if China decided to dump some of that debt--BAM!--the USA would collapse (because no one can print money that fast, lol!) and take the world down with it.\n\nBasically, money printing is here to stay. America's cycle is ending as the global powerhouse. These are the last dying cries of going down with a fight. Stagflation next, briefly, and inflation will give us the blow off top we have before everything crashes in a heap, I expect, next year, second quarter 2026.\n\nThis has little to do with politics, and more with market cycles. What's happening was inevitable. It's just that Trump has exacerbated this cycle end to make it more dramatic. Ironically, the only person who will do well out of all this, when we're standing amongst the rubble, is Trump. He'll be rich, and in a special oligarchy clubhouse along with Putin and Xi.\n\nTo put a downer on it all, if you get really bored, read up on what happened in the lead up to World War 2, and look for the commonalities with today. I had to stop reading.\n\nWhat's the paradigm that rescues the world and makes most of the above obsolete? Yeah, #Bitcoin\n\nBut it's going to take time. We'll get there, but there's going to be some teething troubles.\n\nAnd hopefully I'll be living in a remote paradise by then, away from the madness and spending my sats in retirement.",
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