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2024-08-02 11:14:04

Ghost of Truth on Nostr: Bond market signals sharp recession A good barometer for the state of the economy, in ...

Bond market signals sharp recession

A good barometer for the state of the economy, in addition to the yield curve structure, is above all the general trend in the interest rate level of government bonds. These are currently in free fall and point to a further fall in inflation rates and a noticeable decline in economic activity in the United States. The markets are currently anticipating interest rate cuts this year by the Federal Reserve of 100 basis points. Whether this will actually happen depends on developments on the US labor market, which also appears to have rolled over in the meantime.

#USA #interestrates #bonds #recession #economy
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