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2025-05-30 00:58:18

Vhtech777 on Nostr: Yes, the United States is currently burdened with an enormous national debt, ...

Yes, the United States is currently burdened with an enormous national debt, exceeding $34 trillion, and it continues to rise. The idea that "printing more money" (i.e., expanding the Fed's balance sheet or quantitative easing – QE) is the only way out isn't entirely accurate — it's just one possible approach, and it comes with significant risks.

1. Printing Money: A Double-Edged Sword

Printing money (essentially issuing more USD and buying back government bonds) can help:

The government repay nominal debt more easily.

Stimulate short-term economic growth.


But the consequences are:

Rising inflation or even loss of trust in the USD if it gets out of control.

It reduces the real value of debt, but also reduces citizens' purchasing power.


Example: During 2020–2021, after COVID-19, the Fed injected trillions of dollars into the economy, leading to the highest inflation in 40 years by 2022–2023.


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2. Alternatives to Printing Money

The U.S. still has other options, but all come with trade-offs:

a. Real Economic Growth

If GDP grows faster than debt, the debt-to-GDP ratio can decline.

However, this is difficult to sustain, especially with an aging population and high military/healthcare spending.


b. Raise Taxes / Cut Spending

The government can increase revenues to service debt.

But this is politically unpopular and may lead to a recession.


c. Controlled Inflation (Debt Repricing)

A subtle strategy is to maintain moderate inflation (3–4%) over time, which erodes the real value of debt.

This approach was used by the U.S. after World War II.


d. Selective Default / Debt Restructuring

Unlikely in the near future, but in a severe crisis, renegotiating bond terms could become an option.



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3. What Is the U.S. Doing Now?

Continuing to issue more debt to roll over and pay existing obligations (a form of "debt spiral").

Keeping interest rates high to combat inflation, even though this raises borrowing costs.

Geopolitical tensions, war expenses, social spending, and election cycles make it difficult to impose austerity.



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Conclusion:

> Printing money is not the only option, but it is the easiest short-term fix, despite its long-term consequences. This is why assets like Bitcoin, gold, and real estate are often seen as safe havens when trust in fiat currencies declines.




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