calvincroll on Nostr: It is plausible that the market cycles could break in an unexpected way, like 4 green ...
It is plausible that the market cycles could break in an unexpected way, like 4 green years instead of 3, but then 2 year bear and not nearly as deep of a dip. The larger pools of money required to push the price up from here are working on longer timelines, they move at a slower pace than we are used to. That could really catch people out. I'm not going to slow down, too much of a risk that nation states actually get involved and the price just teleports to a new level and never dips back to where I was buying at before it happens. That is not my base-case, but it there is a non-zero chance.
I used to just dump any spare fiat into bitcoin as soon as I had it. So many times I would have been better off just setting a plan and not looking, would have gotten more sats. I was letting fomo guide me.
I've finally come to place where I can let the DCA ride, but have a little on the side for dips. Helps me scratch that itch when the market drops, but still do the more rational long-term strategy of buying the market a bit each week.
Published at
2025-01-10 04:02:27Event JSON
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"content": "It is plausible that the market cycles could break in an unexpected way, like 4 green years instead of 3, but then 2 year bear and not nearly as deep of a dip. The larger pools of money required to push the price up from here are working on longer timelines, they move at a slower pace than we are used to. That could really catch people out. I'm not going to slow down, too much of a risk that nation states actually get involved and the price just teleports to a new level and never dips back to where I was buying at before it happens. That is not my base-case, but it there is a non-zero chance. \n\nI used to just dump any spare fiat into bitcoin as soon as I had it. So many times I would have been better off just setting a plan and not looking, would have gotten more sats. I was letting fomo guide me. \nI've finally come to place where I can let the DCA ride, but have a little on the side for dips. Helps me scratch that itch when the market drops, but still do the more rational long-term strategy of buying the market a bit each week. ",
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