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2023-10-28 23:07:36
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In the age of digital innovation and financial disruption, the world is witnessing a fascinating showdown between traditional assets and the new kid on the block: Bitcoin. Gold, long regarded as the ultimate store of value, is now facing a formidable challenge from the rise of cryptocurrency. While some may dismiss this rivalry, it’s essential to delve deeper into the current landscape and understand why gold might be under threat.

Bitcoin’s meteoric rise, with a staggering peak of $34,000, left investors stunned and piqued the interest of many. The debate now revolves around just how much Bitcoin one needs to enter the top 1% club or change their life. To answer this question, we need to unravel the mathematics and research behind the scenes.

While many are aware of Bitcoin’s scarcity, the real question is: do you truly grasp its scarcity? The often-quoted figure of 21 million Bitcoins may be misleading. To understand this, we must consider the concept of Bitcoin halving, which cuts the supply in half every four years. The last Bitcoin is set to be mined in 2140, and no new Bitcoin will be created after that. This fact alone is intriguing, but there’s more to the story.

Gold, traditionally deemed the most valuable and scarce asset, has a market capitalization of a staggering \(13.5 trillion, overshadowing Bitcoin's \)678 billion. But here’s the twist: new discoveries of gold reserves on Earth and even in asteroids could potentially alter this dynamic. Recent news of a mission named “Sike” aiming to harvest gold from an asteroid estimated to be worth $10 quadrillion only underscores the abundance of gold not just on our planet but across the universe.

Bitcoin, on the other hand, is enigmatic in its own right. Unlike gold, which can be found and lost, Bitcoin operates on the principle of finality. When it’s lost, it’s lost forever. As Bitcoin’s creator noted in 2010, “lost coins only make everyone else’s coins worth slightly more, think of it as a donation to everyone else.” The scarcity created by these lost coins leads to higher prices.

So, how many Bitcoins are actually available? According to Cane Island Digital Research, there will never be more than 14 million coins, accounting for approximately 4% of the supply being lost each year. This puts the current available supply at roughly 13.9 million coins, significantly below the 18.3 million total supply figure, a statistic consistent with prior research.

Now, let’s address the burning question: How much Bitcoin does it take to become part of the top 1%? In 2020, Decrypt published an article on this topic, indicating that owning 0.28 BTC statistically guaranteed you a spot in the richest 1% of Bitcoin holders. This calculation was based on a world population of 7.5 billion people. Fast forward to 2023, with an estimated 8.06 billion people, and factoring in lost coins, you’d need only about 0.17 BTC to achieve the same status. This means that even at Bitcoin’s current price, under $6,000, you could potentially break into the top 1%.

Skeptics might argue that this scenario assumes global Bitcoin adoption, but data suggests that we are moving steadily in that direction. Global adoption estimates and user statistics reveal an increasing trend, pointing towards the potential for Bitcoin’s continued growth.

In this evolving financial landscape, the battle between gold and Bitcoin is heating up. It’s not just about being in the 1%, but also about understanding the intricacies of these assets. Whether you stand with the traditional or embrace the digital, one thing is clear – the world of finance is changing, and it’s essential to stay critical and informed. The ultimate winners of this financial revolution are yet to be decided, and only time will tell how the scales tip in this extraordinary contest.

But before we wrap up, consider this: all the math we’ve explored was based on calculations encompassing the entire global population. However, it’s worth noting that in the world of Bitcoin, there are already significant players. The top 1% isn’t just about owning a fraction of a Bitcoin – it’s often about the big players with holdings of over 1,000 BTC.

So, as you contemplate the future of finance and the fascinating duel between gold and Bitcoin, keep in mind that the landscape is dynamic and complex. The ultimate winners of this financial revolution are yet to be decided, and only time will tell how the scales tip in this extraordinary contest.

Stay critical, stay informed, and, as they say in the crypto world, “HODL” on. I’m out Gang .

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