NickGiambruno on Nostr: While it’s impossible to quantify the conflict precisely, we can look at the ...

While it’s impossible to quantify the conflict precisely, we can look at the various domains of World War 3, see how each side stacks up, and make projections from there.

It seems to me the advantage of NATO & Friends in financial warfare is fleeting and mostly neutralized by the advantage of BRICS+ in economic warfare.

Across most other domains, neither side has a conclusive advantage.

NATO & Friends has an edge in information warfare, but I don’t think that will prove decisive in the overall conflict.

The one domain that I think will probably determine World War 3 is proxy warfare, where BRICS+ has the advantage and momentum.

NATO & Friends could reverse the situation with the proxy wars. However, that would require them to take a bad hand and double down in a desperate attempt to get even. They may do so if they have nothing to lose, but I doubt it will change the outcome.

As it stands now, I think there is an excellent chance that BRICS+ will prevail in World War 3 as they prevail in the three decisive proxy wars in Ukraine, the Middle East, and Taiwan and also neutralize NATO & Friends’ edge in financial warfare by developing alternatives.

That means we’re likely to see the end of the unipolar world order and the emergence of a multipolar world order.