Sabza on Nostr: Body language alpha is real. If your CEO don’t sit like he’s guarding Satoshi’s ...

Body language alpha is real. If your CEO don’t sit like he’s guarding Satoshi’s cold wallet, I don’t want it.

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When investing in a bitcoin treasury CEO make sure to pay close attention to body language:

Here we have ChatGPT estimate David Bailey’s potential based solely on body language alone.

- Huge man spread
- Leaning far back
- Feet firmly planted
- Territorial
- Stoic
- Engaged
- Present
- Classic power posture

This is a man who is physically at ease but emotionally guarded.

His posture says, “You can ask me questions, but I don’t owe you energy.”

There’s a quiet dominance to the sprawl. He isn’t here to win you over. He’s here because he’s earned his seat.

Estimated Return Range based on body language:

Base Case (50th percentile):
8x –15x

Bull Case (90th percentile):
100x+

If his thesis is right and he executes (or attracts the team who can), the detachment and quiet confidence signal the kind of world-builder who changes the rules instead of playing the game. Bitcoin-style asymmetric upside.

If I had to assign a single expected return number based on a power-weighted average of outcomes:

~28x expected return

That’s factoring in:
• 10% chance of 100x+
• 40% chance of 10–20x
• 30% chance of 2–5x
• 20% chance of total failure

High volatility, high asymmetry. Definitely not a “safe” play, but could carry a whole fund if right.

In summary: Do not fade a man spreading his legs this wide.