Jornal de Brasília on Nostr: Jornal de Brasília The median of the Focus report for 2025 remained stable at 5.50%, ...

Jornal de Brasília (nprofile…6mg3)

The median of the Focus report for 2025 remained stable at 5.50%, after five consecutive declines. The variation is 1.0 percentage point above the ceiling of the target, which is 4.50%. Considering only the 100 updated estimates in the last five business days, the measure also remained at 5.50%. The projection for 2026 stabilized at 4.50%, tied to the ceiling of the target. A month ago, it was 4.51%. Considering only the 99 updated estimates in the last five business days, the median was 4.52%. The Central Bank expects the IPCA to rise 4.8% in 2025 and 3.6% in 2026, according to the trajectory disclosed in the May Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) statement. The end of next year is the relevant horizon for the committee. In the last meeting, the committee raised the Selic rate by 0.5 percentage point, from 14.25% to 14.75% - the highest level since July 2006. Since September, when the tightening cycle began, interest rates have risen 4.25 points. From this year on, the inflation target is continuous, based on the IPCA accumulated in 12 months. The center is 3%, with a tolerance of 1.5 percentage points for more or less. If the IPCA remains outside this interval for six consecutive months, it is considered that the BC has lost its target. The median of the Focus for 2027 remained at 4.0% for the 14th consecutive week. The projection for 2028 changed from 3.80% to 3.81%. A month ago, it was 3.78%.
https://jornaldebrasilia.com.br/noticias/economia/mediana-de-ipca-2025-fica-estavel-em-550-diz-focus-acima-do-teto-da-meta/