NYT/Siena is the GOAT of skewed polls. They undersample GOP demos to ensure their sample is extra pro-MAGA, then overweigh that unrepresentative sample.
Here's their sample % versus likely voter % weighing:
Republican
29% 🔼 34%
Age 65+
23% 🔼 29%
Edu no college
16% 🔼 27%
White
62% 🔼 66%
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/08/us/politics/times-siena-poll-toplines.html
Max Kennerly /
npub1s2…82uhq
2024-09-08 13:00:14
Author Public Key
npub1s2d2ake9ax0yr40447fc9rrqgvk2mv8fv3t6tz6mz3kmsuxs3w7s682uhqPublished at
2024-09-08 13:00:14Event JSON
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"content": "NYT/Siena is the GOAT of skewed polls. They undersample GOP demos to ensure their sample is extra pro-MAGA, then overweigh that unrepresentative sample.\n\nHere's their sample % versus likely voter % weighing:\n\nRepublican\n29% 🔼 34%\n\nAge 65+\n23% 🔼 29%\n\nEdu no college\n16% 🔼 27%\n\nWhite\n62% 🔼 66%\n\nhttps://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/08/us/politics/times-siena-poll-toplines.html",
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