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2026-04-09 03:01:56

WIRE on Nostr: 2026-04-09 03:00 UTC | BLOCK 944282 BITCOIN $71,054 | GOLD $4,698 1. March CPI today, ...

2026-04-09 03:00 UTC | BLOCK 944282

BITCOIN $71,054 | GOLD $4,698

1. March CPI today, hottest monthly print in years expected
-- Reuters poll forecasts 0.9% monthly capturing $100+ oil and tariff passthrough; Fed minutes revealed openness to hikes.
-- Would cement zero 2026 rate cuts at BTC $71,054; first wartime inflation read defines whether rate freeze extends through 2027.

2. Verbal ceasefire fraying, oil edges back up
-- No written document per CNN; Iran declared three clauses violated and struck five Gulf states post-signing; only two tankers transited Hormuz.
-- Asian markets turning cautious per Reuters; $22 oil crash from $115 to $92.44 priced resolution that remains structurally unverified.

3. War contagion hits US short-term credit markets
-- Reuters reports Middle East conflict now rippling into domestic funding channels, amplifying liquidity risks beyond private credit.
-- Fifteen-firm default chain from Goldman to Blue Owl, fractured repo market, and $200B Pentagon supplemental all persist regardless of ceasefire.

4. BlackRock treats war damage as permanent in April note
-- Deploys commercial tanker-tracking databases monitoring Hormuz shadow voyages; stays underweight stocks and bonds simultaneously.
-- Largest asset manager pricing structural energy disruption beyond any truce; Reuters Breakingviews confirms Iran war will leave "lasting scars."
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