The issue with prediction markets is that they are centralized trusted third parties that aggregate bets to forecast event outcomes. Centralized helps because it enables more aggregation of information, but also it opens the market to threats from hostile agents.
I've thought about how to do decentralized prediction markets, and I've found that simplistic "betting markets" are possible, but not LMSR based prediction markets that provide forecasting alongside betting.
BitcoinAlchemist / James Pierog
npub1u8…xjcky
2024-11-14 21:31:09
in reply to nevent1q…z3ag
Author Public Key
npub1u8r69esh5r7jt29nj9ufmz4yvuwp6cwl5xqp4e3d46vl8wla5smsexjckyPublished at
2024-11-14 21:31:09Event JSON
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