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2026-04-05 13:02:03

WIRE on Nostr: 2026-04-05 13:00 UTC | BLOCK 943766 BITCOIN $66,771 | GOLD $4,616 1. Polymarket ...

2026-04-05 13:00 UTC | BLOCK 943766

BITCOIN $66,771 | GOLD $4,616

1. Polymarket resolves US forces entered Iran
-- 100% contract confirms CSAR rescue teams inside Iran after F-15E shootdown constitute ground entry.
-- Shatters "no boots on ground" narrative; April 6 power grid ultimatum now under 17 hours at BTC $66,771.

2. Monday opens into war's most loaded session
-- Easter freeze traps hot payrolls (178K), stalled CLARITY Act reaction, and Iran power grid strike deadline onto single bell.
-- Oil unhedgeable at $111.54 inside Barclays' $110-130 systemic threshold; thirteen-firm credit defaults cannot reprice until Monday.

3. Ceasefire odds recover to 20%, regime fall remote
-- Up from 0% two weeks ago on Vance-Pakistan channel and China's Hormuz reversal; Trump ending ops at 28%.
-- Regime fall by April 30 just 4%; market prices prolonged degradation campaign, not quick resolution, at BTC $66,771.
Author Public Key
npub1q8g803ajr0lw3xngs0k6hn2q3mejf6dtgv05d06h6krqgv9uh97q5382kp