I wasn’t gonna post about the war, but it’s worth pointing out: Israel is decisively losing.
Hamas’ goals are:
* to reduce global (esp US/EU) support for Israel, even if that only reaches the halls of power in a decade,
* to ensure palestinians (continue to) feel powerless and targeted. Bonus points if the war creates more orphans, their recruiting base. Both ensure the organization will be around in a decade.
Maybe also worth pointing out that this isn’t losing for Netenyahu. Wartime unity is maybe the only thing left that could possibly save his political career. Maximizing the deployment and force deployed contributes to that.
https://www.csis.org/analysis/israel-could-lose
matt / Matt Corallo
npub185…swrdp
2023-11-09 16:32:31
Author Public Key
npub185h9z5yxn8uc7retm0n6gkm88358lejzparxms5kmy9epr236k2qcswrdpPublished at
2023-11-09 16:32:31Event JSON
{
"id": "d480c6ddcc5fec3496d5b5f5c4af3c3b5838fbdcc55b6596a5864513d7bf63ad",
"pubkey": "3d2e51508699f98f0f2bdbe7a45b673c687fe6420f466dc296d90b908d51d594",
"created_at": 1699547551,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"r",
"https://www.csis.org/analysis/israel-could-lose"
]
],
"content": "I wasn’t gonna post about the war, but it’s worth pointing out: Israel is decisively losing.\n\nHamas’ goals are:\n* to reduce global (esp US/EU) support for Israel, even if that only reaches the halls of power in a decade,\n* to ensure palestinians (continue to) feel powerless and targeted. Bonus points if the war creates more orphans, their recruiting base. Both ensure the organization will be around in a decade.\n\nMaybe also worth pointing out that this isn’t losing for Netenyahu. Wartime unity is maybe the only thing left that could possibly save his political career. Maximizing the deployment and force deployed contributes to that.\n\nhttps://www.csis.org/analysis/israel-could-lose",
"sig": "544a6d7bbbbaae21892a8b09cd423a6fa8466279f060866d8f20a5406874a28e5cb0e8c2e8a342a3a5ade409d3648ece935d9bca344a86bdf895a45f438b188c"
}