npub1w30vkgl4p4s6rg6jqnqc9p0c96a97wjslvp5fe9znlkr3djvlsxq0qdh68 (npub1w30…dh68)
Careful repeating this, it contains a lot of misinformation; perhaps disinformation. The only source for the attribution to the Houthis is a single anonymous Twitter account. It's actually three cables not four (Seacom and TGN are the same cable on that segment) and the interarrival time of these outages is not out-of-the-ordinary.
Also, there's no observed effect yet, in the sense that all traffic observed thus far is being successfully re-routed, so there's no "harm" in the sense of public impact.
To my view, the most important issue is that cable repair ships are, while well-insured, also slow and expensive to build, so it may be that the reason we've stacked up three outages at once is because nobody feels like risking the future revenue of a cable ship that ventures into an area with live anti-ship missile fire.
Also worthy of note that we've been in exactly this situation before, in 2008 and 2011.
Bill Woodcock /
npub1gm…hj3a6
2024-02-27 09:01:11
in reply to nevent1q…4ah0
Author Public Key
npub1gm7kmn7whsqch2054mk8dfsl3nt4dpjy5j6822msfprumr0yc8ys2hj3a6Published at
2024-02-27 09:01:11Event JSON
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"content": "nostr:npub1w30vkgl4p4s6rg6jqnqc9p0c96a97wjslvp5fe9znlkr3djvlsxq0qdh68 \n\nCareful repeating this, it contains a lot of misinformation; perhaps disinformation. The only source for the attribution to the Houthis is a single anonymous Twitter account. It's actually three cables not four (Seacom and TGN are the same cable on that segment) and the interarrival time of these outages is not out-of-the-ordinary.\n\nAlso, there's no observed effect yet, in the sense that all traffic observed thus far is being successfully re-routed, so there's no \"harm\" in the sense of public impact.\n\nTo my view, the most important issue is that cable repair ships are, while well-insured, also slow and expensive to build, so it may be that the reason we've stacked up three outages at once is because nobody feels like risking the future revenue of a cable ship that ventures into an area with live anti-ship missile fire.\n\nAlso worthy of note that we've been in exactly this situation before, in 2008 and 2011.",
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