Mark :wa: :nd: :kh: on Nostr: These are the best post RFK polls we have with Nate silver's weighting. Top poll is ...
These are the best post RFK polls we have with Nate silver's weighting.
Top poll is of 1200 *LIKELY* voters (the gold standard). this is the only poll that is 100% after RFK's endorsement of Trump. It has Kamala 7 points ahead!
The second highest weighted poll has 7,800 registered voters but also includes the day RFK endorsed that has Dems up 4 points.
If Kamala is up 4 points on election day she has about a 90-95% chance of winning. 2 pts is roughly 50/50.
#USPol
Published at
2024-08-28 01:28:10Event JSON
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"content": "These are the best post RFK polls we have with Nate silver's weighting.\nTop poll is of 1200 *LIKELY* voters (the gold standard). this is the only poll that is 100% after RFK's endorsement of Trump. It has Kamala 7 points ahead!\nThe second highest weighted poll has 7,800 registered voters but also includes the day RFK endorsed that has Dems up 4 points.\nIf Kamala is up 4 points on election day she has about a 90-95% chance of winning. 2 pts is roughly 50/50.\n#USPol\nhttps://weirdautos.files.fedi.monster/media_attachments/files/113/037/034/352/595/464/original/4b103df20856f879.png\n",
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