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2024-09-11 13:17:30

Real Man Sports on Nostr: This is good gambling content ...

This is good gambling content

It was great having football back. The 49ers and Chiefs continue to dominate, the Raiders, Jets, and Donkeys continue to disappoint.

I only made two picks last week. The Raiders money line was a dud, but my parlay of the Steelers money line with the under was a big hit. Unfortunately, freebitcoin hasn’t put any NFL games up, yet. Hopefully they get around to it at some point.

I really like this type of parlay. The house treats outcomes as though they’re independent, but I don’t think that makes sense. In the event of a Steelers’ win, the under was far more likely than the over, because their offense stinks and the game was likely a defensive slog.

In line with that thinking, I made two parlays this week:

  1. Raiders money line with the under (7:1): yes, I’m going back to the Raiders. They’re probably going to lose, but if they win, it will be because of awesome defense.
  2. Bengals money line with the over (4.5:1): Maybe Joe Burrow stinks this season, but maybe the Bengals had been looking ahead to KC. The Chiefs offense is phenomenal again, so the Bengals are only likely to win if this turns into a shootout.

Are there any odds you’re excited about (doesn’t have to be football)?

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/679894

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