Why Nostr? What is Njump?
2023-10-27 10:08:45
in reply to

David Benfell, Ph.D. on Nostr: npub1ddpuk…e2tax npub1r9kwe…0st4e It appears you are relying on survey ...

It appears you are relying on survey methodology in your assessment. To put it mildly, this is unreliable.

https://disunitedstates.com/human-science/human-science-inquiry/human-science-inquiry-quantitative/report-phone-polls-arent-dead-yet/

Even before we get to response rate issues (which doom the methodology), it's much too early. in the cycle.

I discount survey results because of the response rates. But long before these became an issue, the standard advice was that while you don't ignore these results, you don't take them too seriously either. There's just too much that can happen between now and election day and too much time for it to happen in.

And the simple fact has been that abortion has mattered a great deal. The burden of proof lies on you to show it won't.

https://disunitedstates.com/illiberalism/gilead/supreme-court-to-hear-case-that-threatens-roe-v-wade/
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npub1c2kuky4l8uxgmem8pqhxx2fkx8nxxkz32tvkyqee8tfr4nrd876qce7v7s