Esther on Nostr: Here’s a prediction: there will not be “the next Twitter”. The era of the one ...

Here’s a prediction: there will not be “the next Twitter”. The era of the one place where “everyone” is has ended. (And it has never been “everyone”, just everyone who the people already there thought was relevant).

Under capitalism this model of the one place was always doomed to fail. It just lasted for an unusually long time due to lucky coincidences. Any further capital-driven attempts will fail much faster because more people can recognize the cracks earlier now.

Community-driven social networks will always have fragmentation and more friction, regardless of how many features and affordances are built. There’s always going to be social fault lines along different needs and priorities of different groups. This is inherently human and incompatible with a singular shared space that hosts “everyone”.