Sometimes it is more true than others.
I am not saying ALL coders will loose their job but a huge quantity of them will be concern. The same for lawyer, and any job that is not "manual"...
Why ?
Because it will do a better job than a coder. Not a perfect one. Not a controlled one, but a work that your boss will consider enough acceptable to replace you.
And it is all that matter for business.
I remember, a long time ago, when i had told about security issues when it was not so "fashion" to talk about it. The answer was : "it is just useless to think about it, we will not put any money for theses issues". We know now security of software are very important in a world of hacking, piracy, cyberattacks... The same people would pay for it now they understand the risk.
AI will be used because it will be easy, faster, no resistance, no vacancy... the perfect "employee".
This will seems perfect for boss. But only at the beginning, and why ?
Because the code and action really done by the AI will not be really release in control. It will be a problem for security, and no control of what is really happening in the code.
Facts are here. AI is really growing fast, and not for good reason even if it is what is showed to us with the ghibli picture, or starter pack fun.
You can't say it will just be a tool, it means you don't see how fast it grow.
It will do a better optimized code than you do, play chess better than anyone, translate a huge document in a minute, generate an ads video in few minutes.
It will not be perfect, and "bug" free, but it will be enough for your manager to replace you with it.
I am not so "optimist" about the deadlines, a year is short for this change. But you can be sure it will happen.
The only job that will be free is improving the "interface" between human and AI, like feeding AI, add some rules / limits, try to "control" it.
The jobs that will remain for humans will be the ones that computer can't do at a low cost of resources or energy.
And in past they are example of things that have really changed some jobs :
- Tickets validator in public transport
- All administration job that have been replace with computers
Here i am not talking about the funny AI companion that some have probably tested to display a part of code and help coder in their task.
I am talking about AI where you describe your project and it build it, you can rectify it just by chatting with it. This behavior already exist even if for code it is not perfect nowadays, it will be soon.
Where do you think you could be useful in this future process when it will be 100% up ?
We could also do an analogy with bitcoin in 2009 what would people say about BITCOIN that year ? just a shitty ponzi pyramid.
You know what it is now.
I am not AI maximalist, i just watch the progress AI do day after day, and it is not a fiction to imagine it more performant than we can be.
But of course it is only my point of view.