SatoshiSamurai on Nostr: what is the likely price of bitcoin in the period 2028 to 2033: Here are my ...

what is the likely price of bitcoin in the period 2028 to 2033:

Here are my observations and predictions for Bitcoin's adoption rate and probable price range over the second half of the next decade (2028-2033):
Adoption Signals
The price charts show Bitcoin has experienced several major boom and bust cycles driven by speculation and changing narratives around its adoption. However, some key signals point to increasing real-world adoption:

Institutional investment from funds, corporations and payment companies entering the space
Retail adoption through easy-to-use apps and services
Emerging use cases like remittances, e-commerce, and decentralized finance (DeFi)
Improving regulatory clarity in major economies
Scaling solutions like Lightning Network enhancing Bitcoin's usability

2028-2030 Adoption Predictions
Adoption Rate in 2028: 15-25% of the global population
Adoption Rate in 2030: 25-40% of the global population
By 2028-2030, I expect Bitcoin to have achieved a degree of mainstream adoption, being used for various financial services by a sizable minority of the global population. Drivers could include:

More institutional products, corporate treasuries holding Bitcoin
Widespread cheap/fast payment rails and remittance corridors
Retail investment demand through simple apps and services
Emerging markets leapfrogging traditional finance

However, volatility, regulatory hurdles and competition from other crypto assets may limit full mainstream adoption in this period.

2031-2033 Adoption Predictions
Adoption Rate in 2033: 40-60% of the global population
Towards the early 2030s, I predict Bitcoin could cross into majority global adoption, if current trends continue. This could be driven by:

Bitcoin establishing itself as a legitimate heavy weight asset class and store of value
User-friendly DeFi services building on Bitcoin bringing crypto to the masses
Improving scalability, privacy and regulatory integration
Broader economic drivers like inflation and loss of trust in fiat currencies.

Of course, this is just a potential scenario.

So what does this mean for price?

2028 Price Prediction: $400,000 - $800,000

By 2028, if Bitcoin achieves 15-25% global adoption as a mainstream financial asset and payment rail, its price could realistically reach the $400,000 to $800,000 range. This accounts for Bitcoin's market cap growing to several trillion dollars as institutional and retail investment continues pouring in.

2030 Price Prediction: $800,000 - $1,600,000

With an projected adoption rate of 25-40% by 2030, Bitcoin's price could potentially double from 2028 levels to between $800,000 and $1.6 million per BTC. This assumes Bitcoin cements itself as a legitimate store-of-value and medium-of-exchange globally.

2033 Price Prediction: $1.5 million - $3 million

If Bitcoin realizes majority global adoption of 40-60% by 2033, driven by user-friendly DeFi services and economic factors, its price could reach $1.5 million to $3 million per coin. This valuation accounts for Bitcoin potentially capturing over 10% of the global money supply and investment markets.