Kyle Montanio on Nostr: Just finished Neil Howe's "The Fourth Turning is Here" and 10/10 would not recommend. ...
Just finished Neil Howe's "The Fourth Turning is Here" and 10/10 would not recommend.
Howe uses historical trends to make deterministic predictions about the future - a dubious proposition at best - based on 80ish year generational cycles of which he has only 6, a tiny sample size, to draw trends from. One of those doesn't even fit his grand pattern he argues for.
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Published at
2024-06-05 14:57:32Event JSON
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"content": "Just finished Neil Howe's \"The Fourth Turning is Here\" and 10/10 would not recommend. \n\nHowe uses historical trends to make deterministic predictions about the future - a dubious proposition at best - based on 80ish year generational cycles of which he has only 6, a tiny sample size, to draw trends from. One of those doesn't even fit his grand pattern he argues for. \n\n1/4",
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