Apparently it's not just my personal impression, the smart people are really dying out: https://www.uncorrelated.xyz/p/smart-extinction-projecting-the-future
TLDR from the article:
- Global IQ is declining at 1.1 points per decade, with 35.5% of this decline attributable to dysgenics (fertility differences between individuals)
- The high-IQ working age population peaked between 1990-2040 and is now in decline; those with IQ ≥ 131 will decrease by 73.4% by 2100 (relative to 2025)
- By 2100, nearly 40% of the world's working-age population will have IQ <70, up from levels comparable to the 115-130 IQ bracket in the 1950s
- The +2SD IQ threshold (top 2.3% of population) will drop from 128 to 116 by 2100
- Global innovation capacity will halve by 2100, resulting in a loss of approximately 18 years of innovation potential this century
npub1w2…evxf5
2025-04-01 05:05:44
Author Public Key
npub1w2yv0c25urmhcr9q6n4d72sjxnmtu4ulqw3h936dhktuaxc8vrjs7evxf5Published at
2025-04-01 05:05:44Event JSON
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"content": "Apparently it's not just my personal impression, the smart people are really dying out: https://www.uncorrelated.xyz/p/smart-extinction-projecting-the-future\n\nTLDR from the article:\n- Global IQ is declining at 1.1 points per decade, with 35.5% of this decline attributable to dysgenics (fertility differences between individuals)\n- The high-IQ working age population peaked between 1990-2040 and is now in decline; those with IQ ≥ 131 will decrease by 73.4% by 2100 (relative to 2025)\n- By 2100, nearly 40% of the world's working-age population will have IQ \u003c70, up from levels comparable to the 115-130 IQ bracket in the 1950s\n- The +2SD IQ threshold (top 2.3% of population) will drop from 128 to 116 by 2100\n- Global innovation capacity will halve by 2100, resulting in a loss of approximately 18 years of innovation potential this century",
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