Why Nostr? What is Njump?
2024-05-18 04:58:40
in reply to

Subjacent Banana on Nostr: What is Prevalence? Well, it's a claim about how WideSpread something is. The idea ...

What is Prevalence?

Well, it's a claim about how WideSpread something is. The idea being that if Something is Bad, but it Isn't Widespread, then it's Okay.

Q1: IS it okay if it's rare? If only 8 Black men are lynched by the KKK every year, should we point out how many Black men aren't and be satisfied? "Rare" isn't useful as a moral argument at all.

Q2: Does "rare" mean it won't happen to YOU or someone you love? No. Not even close. Prevalence has no use there. If it's very rare for a bullet to fall out of the sky and hit a child - but it hits YOUR kid, you can't plead "Prevalence". Your kid is still dead.

Q3: Does Prevalence tell us what to do? No, because prevalence would only - at best - tell you about the past (or, if your metrics are good - the present. More on that in a minute). It doesn't tell you anything about the future. If you've flipped a coin 800 times and it's always been tails, don't bet your life on it being tails for # 801

Q4: Even granting those three as "Okay". Where are our metrics? WE HAVE NO METRICS NOW TO SEE IF THESE THINGS ARE ACTUALLY PREVALENT. WE HAVE NO ACTUAL DATA. The stakeholders stopped testing, they stopped reporting, they didn't report to begin with, they shut down sewer testing, they make hospitals not report, they don't record Covid in hospitals & deaths, etc. etc. And they intentionally stick to a definition of "Covid" that keeps most "Prevalence" off the books. WE HAVE NO VALID METRICS TO TELL IF HARM FROM COVID IS EVEN PREVALENT, SO HOW CAN ANYONE USE PREVALENCE AS AN ARGUMENT FOR ANYTHING.

Conclusion: The Go Long Stakeholders are either a) high on their own farts or b) pushing the biggest, most devastatingly destructive fraud in - maybe ever.
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