bitcoinlimit on Nostr: Based on the attached historic data of BTC vs USD Median Home Price: 2012 → 2024 ...
Based on the attached historic data of BTC vs USD Median Home Price:
2012 → 2024 overall factor: 4.3 ÷ 50,616 ≈ 0.000085
Over 12 intervals, that’s a yearly multiplier of √12 ≈ 0.46
i.e. on avg, each year it’s about 46% of the prior year (a 54% drop).
So if we mechanically continue that same avg shrinkage (× 0.46/year) from 2024 onward:
2024: 4.3 BTC
2025: 4.3 × 0.46 ≈ 2.0 BTC
2026: 2.0 × 0.46 ≈ 0.92 BTC
2027: 0.92 × 0.46 ≈ 0.42 BTC
2028: 0.42 × 0.46 ≈ 0.19 BTC
2029: 0.19 × 0.46 ≈ 0.087 BTC
2030: 0.087 × 0.46 ≈ 0.040 BTC
I know this looks and sounds crazy but hey, that's what the historic data says.
Published at
2024-12-23 14:53:06Event JSON
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"pubkey": "55e343e6589073d312fcab30075e4b4681369b65459eff36a7e2fe4f880acd1b",
"created_at": 1734965586,
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"tags": [],
"content": "Based on the attached historic data of BTC vs USD Median Home Price:\n\n2012 → 2024 overall factor: 4.3 ÷ 50,616 ≈ 0.000085\nOver 12 intervals, that’s a yearly multiplier of √12 ≈ 0.46\ni.e. on avg, each year it’s about 46% of the prior year (a 54% drop).\n\nSo if we mechanically continue that same avg shrinkage (× 0.46/year) from 2024 onward:\n\n2024: 4.3 BTC\n2025: 4.3 × 0.46 ≈ 2.0 BTC\n2026: 2.0 × 0.46 ≈ 0.92 BTC\n2027: 0.92 × 0.46 ≈ 0.42 BTC\n2028: 0.42 × 0.46 ≈ 0.19 BTC\n2029: 0.19 × 0.46 ≈ 0.087 BTC\n2030: 0.087 × 0.46 ≈ 0.040 BTC\n\nI know this looks and sounds crazy but hey, that's what the historic data says.\n\nhttps://m.primal.net/NEPN.jpg ",
"sig": "defb14be2c0992a6f17e55c847645be4350306371687bf0b8c97fede61789f2b3443e571ccf192a01a001777d57963cab8cdbe9f7a8aa4d54ee31a3baae2d707"
}